Match Prediction: Alliance - Team Liquid | Dota 2
ESL One Fall 2021Team Liquid and Alliance will play on the last game day of the ESL One Fall 2021 group stage. What could be better than the European derby of the TOP teams?
Yes, almost anything. It just so happens.
At the autumn (summer) ESL, both teams do not play very well, to put it mildly. That Alliance and Liquid don't look like teams ready to snatch victory with their teeth.
A certain laxity is visible in their game. However, it is she who can make their face-to-face meeting very interesting.
Let's figure out what to expect from the Europeans and whether they will please us with a high-quality dota.
Alliance Form
Let's start with the nominal favorite of the meeting, which is still there. This is Alliance.
The fact that it is the Swedish organization that is approaching the meeting as a favorite is due, perhaps, to the tournament situation. In fact, for me personally, Alliance does not look stronger than Liquid at all.
Alliance Recent Results
- Lose at T1 0-2
- Defeat Team Empire 2-0
- Draw with SG e-sports 1-1
- Lost to PSG.LGD with a score of 0-2
- Draw against Beastcoast 1-1
So far, of the main competitors and teams on a level equal to Alliance, they managed to beat only Beastcoast on 1 map. However, Liquid is doing much more regrettable.
Alliance heroes
Alliance's Top Picks are Sand King (3 matches, 66% win rate), Beastmaster (3 matches, 66% win rate), Keeper of the Light (2 matches, 100% win rate).
The most successful Alliance heroes are the same Kotl (2 matches, 100% win rate), Alchemist, Faceless Void and a number of other heroes who appeared once and have 100% wins.
Liquid form
Now let's move on to Team Liquid, who are playing catch-ups in this match. No questions about Liquid's status.
The team is really going through hard times right now, and this is noticeable not only at ESL One Fall 2021. Starting with the closed qualifiers at TI, it became clear that Liquid seemed to have fizzled out.
Team Liquid Latest matches
Lose to Nigma 1-2
Draw against SG e-sports 1-1
Draw against Beastcoast 1-1
Draw against Team Empire 1-1
Lost against PSG.LGD with a score of 0-2
It seems that the "liquid" ones pull out their glasses with their last strength, they do it strained and unnaturally difficult. Moreover, they do it against teams, obviously of the lower echelon.
Liquid Heroes
Most played heroes are Void Spirit (4 matches, 50% win rate), Earth Spirit (3 matches, 33% win rate), Omniknight (2 matches, 100% win rate).
The most successful ones can be considered Mars, KotL, Monkey King, but all these heroes only have 1 match.
Personal meeting history
Earlier, Liquid and Alliance had time to meet with each other during the competitive season. For 3 fights, the leadership for Alliance is 2-1.
Match outcome
Honestly speaking, making a prediction for a match between these two in such conditions is a very bad business. Yesterday, that one, that the second showed DotA, to put it mildly, not very much. Liquid are on the last line and they really need points if they plan to continue their performance in the tournament. Let's imagine that this is so and put a head start on the "liquid".
Result: handicap +1.5 on Liquid.
Alliance and Team Liquid will play against each other at ESL One Fall 2021. The match will be held within the framework of group "B", it is very important, since one of these teams, in case of defeat, can be eliminated.
Alliance has 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss, while Team Liquid has 3 draws and 1 loss.
Alliance is played by: Nikobaby, Limmp, s4, Handsken, fng
for Team Liquid: miCKe, qojqva, Boxi, Taiga, iNSaNiA
Team Liquid results at ESL One Fall 2021
- Draw with beastcoast
- Draw with SG Esports
- Draw with Team Empire
- Defeat from PSG.LGD
Alliance results at ESL One Fall 2021
- Defeating Team Empire
- Draw with beastcoast
- Draw with SG Esports
- Defeat from PSG.LGD
Alliance's tournament status is more pleasant, they are in third place, they have 4 won cards and 4 lost ones. Team Liquid tied for 4th place with Team Empire and SG Esports, being in the relegation zone. Let me remind you that 2 teams are leaving the group and it will be someone from Team Liquid/Empire/SG Esports. Alliance will arrange a draw in the match with Team Liquid, but “Liquid” must win if they want to make the playoffs.
During the last 3 matches between these teams, Alliance won 2 times, and 1 time the fight ended in a draw. Based on the performance from both teams at ESL One Fall 2021, most likely there will be a draw here, I absolutely can't believe it and I don't want to root for Alliance, but neither for any Team Liquid.
Bookmakers give 3.095 odds on Alliance, a draw is estimated at 2.072 and Team Liquid's victory is 4.22. The coefficient of 4 for Liquid is not clear, perhaps this can be used.
I don't really believe in a draw, the result is too obvious in this match, I want to see Team Liquid win.
Prediction: Team Liquid will beat Alliance at ESL One Fall 2021 - odds 4.22
Two unstable teams meet in today's match, they know how to throw a decent advantage, and we saw this in the previous matches of these teams. I'm leaning towards a draw here, Alliance is already at The International and can afford to play relaxed, while Liquid is just waiting for the second DPC season. There they will fight for getting to the Major and other tournaments, do not forget to bet live on this match, the odds will be and this is a fact.
Bookmakers & Statistics
All bookmakers have agreed that Alliance is the favorite. This can be noticed because odds on them are 2.805. This number in the favor of Team Liquid amounts 4.697. Respectively, the last ones are the underdogs of the upcoming match.
In the case of solidarity with the bookmaker’s position about the possible winner of the match, a bet at will be more preferable where odds 3.34 are given on Alliance victory. If you are confident that analysts provide a totally wrong prediction, you should risk and make a bet on Team Liquid success at - the team’s victory is evaluated with the high odds 8.