Team Liquid and Alliance will play on the last game day of the ESL One Fall 2021 group stage. What could be better than the European derby of the TOP teams?
Yes, almost anything. It just so happens.
At the autumn (summer) ESL, both teams do not play very well, to put it mildly. That Alliance and Liquid don't look like teams ready to snatch victory with their teeth.
A certain laxity is visible in their game. However, it is she who can make their face-to-face meeting very interesting.
Let's figure out what to expect from the Europeans and whether they will please us with a high-quality dota.
Alliance Form
Let's start with the nominal favorite of the meeting, which is still there. This is Alliance.
The fact that it is the Swedish organization that is approaching the meeting as a favorite is due, perhaps, to the tournament situation. In fact, for me personally, Alliance does not look stronger than Liquid at all.
Alliance Recent Results
- Lose at T1 0-2
- Defeat Team Empire 2-0
- Draw with SG e-sports 1-1
- Lost to PSG.LGD with a score of 0-2
- Draw against Beastcoast 1-1
So far, of the main competitors and teams on a level equal to Alliance, they managed to beat only Beastcoast on 1 map. However, Liquid is doing much more regrettable.
Alliance heroes
Alliance's Top Picks are Sand King (3 matches, 66% win rate), Beastmaster (3 matches, 66% win rate), Keeper of the Light (2 matches, 100% win rate).
The most successful Alliance heroes are the same Kotl (2 matches, 100% win rate), Alchemist, Faceless Void and a number of other heroes who appeared once and have 100% wins.
Liquid form
Now let's move on to Team Liquid, who are playing catch-ups in this match. No questions about Liquid's status.
The team is really going through hard times right now, and this is noticeable not only at ESL One Fall 2021. Starting with the closed qualifiers at TI, it became clear that Liquid seemed to have fizzled out.
Team Liquid Latest matches
Lose to Nigma 1-2
Draw against SG e-sports 1-1
Draw against Beastcoast 1-1
Draw against Team Empire 1-1
Lost against PSG.LGD with a score of 0-2
It seems that the "liquid" ones pull out their glasses with their last strength, they do it strained and unnaturally difficult. Moreover, they do it against teams, obviously of the lower echelon.
Liquid Heroes
Most played heroes are Void Spirit (4 matches, 50% win rate), Earth Spirit (3 matches, 33% win rate), Omniknight (2 matches, 100% win rate).
The most successful ones can be considered Mars, KotL, Monkey King, but all these heroes only have 1 match.
Personal meeting history
Earlier, Liquid and Alliance had time to meet with each other during the competitive season. For 3 fights, the leadership for Alliance is 2-1.
Match outcome
Honestly speaking, making a prediction for a match between these two in such conditions is a very bad business. Yesterday, that one, that the second showed DotA, to put it mildly, not very much. Liquid are on the last line and they really need points if they plan to continue their performance in the tournament. Let's imagine that this is so and put a head start on the "liquid".
Result: handicap +1.5 on Liquid.