Match Prediction: AS Monaco Gambit - NaVi | Dota 2
ESL One. DPC 2021: Season 1 - CIS Upper DivisionThis is perhaps the hottest match of today, even of the month, I would say. Why hot? Because LTW finally found their organization, and made an important replacement for their core position. Specifically, they replaced FN with Noone, which, in principle, strengthened the lineup. It remains only to understand how much they practiced specifically with the nun. Nun himself played a lot of publics and streamed in his free time, it is unlikely that he sank much in skill. And the question also arises whether they gathered for the bootcamp, most likely not.
NaVi show a brilliant game throughout the tournament, even the laziest did not notice this. It can be seen that the bootcamp was good for them. And the iceberg's motivation has not disappeared anywhere, which is, in principle, important for this team. Vtune will be stronger than Dream.
The outcome of the meeting.
NaVi are already going to the Major, it remains to decide which stage, playoff or group stage. And this match will be one of the solutions. Gambit, they are fighting for a maximum of the third slot - Wild Card, or for survival, they are unlikely to be eliminated from the first division. Judging specifically by the match, the situation in the mid lane will be decisive, Noone can show its maximum on the courage, and the iceberg may not cope with it and tilt, but this outcome is unlikely. For the most part, Vitiun will definitely outplay Dream, if there is no very unprofitable matchup for him. The teams did not meet together, so it is difficult to judge by any statistics. I think there will be a very entertaining match of 3 cards, you can safely take total over 2.5. And it seems to me that if there is no wild salting from Noone in all 3 maps, then NaVi will win.
NaVi wins. Total on cards is 2.5 more.
An amazing match awaits us today between Natus Vincere and ASM.GMB (ex-Live to Win).
NAVI have 4 victories over Team Empire, NoTechies, EXTREMUM and Team Unique. ASM.GMB has not a single match in the new roster, in the roster with fn they lost to Virtus.pro and Team Spirit, but outplayed NoTechies and Team Empire.
What about drafts?!
Natus Vincere
- On carry Morphli n g/Lifestealer, on the five they have Naga Siren/Disraptor/Phoenix
- Offlane on the top three, the pool at NAVI: Mars, Beastmaster, Enigma, and on the four Chen, Nyx Assasin, Earth Spirit
- Doom mid, but full of variety, Abaddon/Kunkka also appears there
- Banned Natus Vincere: Batrider/Keeper of the Light/Void Spirit/Mars
- Ban against NAVI: Chen, IO, Phoenix
ASM.GMB
- Riki/Ember Spirit are rated on carry, on five: Nature`s Prophet/Grimstroke/Keeper of the Light and Crystal Maiden
- In hard, on top three they have: Bloodseeker/Legion Commander, and on four: Nyx Assasin, Earthshaker, Tusk, Earth Spirit
- In the mid it is not yet clear what they will take for No[O] ne, most likely they will give up Void Spirit, but will play with Puck/Batrider
- ASM.GMB bans: OD/Monkey King/Batrider/Death Prophet
- Nyx Assasin, Nature`s Prophet/Batrider/Keeper of the Light are prohibited against ASM.GMB
Forecast for the match NAVI vs ASM.GMB
Bookmakers single out Natus Vincere as a clear favorite - the odds for their victory are 1.296, and on ASM.GMB - 3.68. I join the opinion that NAVI will outplay Gambits without any problems, even with No[O] ne. iceberg is now not a bit weaker than No[O] ne, and maybe even stronger, due to the fact that Vova played offlane and lost a lot of competitive experience in the center.
It is obvious that NAVI will win, they are still at the bootcamp. This victory will allow them to get to the Major, as they will have 5 wins and not a single defeat. The guys must show their maximum 100% and they really deserve a slot in a major tournament in Singapore. There is no understanding yet why ASM.GMB continued to play without fn, what they will show with No[O] ne, so I prefer NAVI, they will win 2: 0 on maps - a fire ratio of 2.15 and guarantee themselves a place in Singapore Major 2021...
Forecast: NAVI will outplay ASM.GMB with a score of 2: 0 on cards (coefficient - 2.15)
Bookmakers & Statistics
NaVi are listed as the favorites of the match in the majority of bookmakers and odds on them are equal to 1.274. AS Monaco Gambit, in turn, are the outsiders of the match. Odds on their victory are about 3.664.
If you stand in solidarity with bookmaker companies and think that NaVi will prevail, at you will find the best odds on the team — 1.33. If in your opinion, the outsider achieved victory in the match, you can make the most profitable bet on AS Monaco Gambit at because odds on their triumph are equal to 4.5.