Match Prediction: Team Liquid - OG | Dota 2

Welcome back to EGamersWorld.

We continue to furrow the expanse of season 3 of DPC 2023 and today's Western Europe roundup is on, along with a betting tour of the Team Liquid vs OG match. If the game doesn't seem to matter much, it doesn't.

However, let's leave the jokes aside. As far-fetched as it may sound, indeed every match today carries a certain amount of The International heresy.

Here, for example, the fate of OG is decided. The team is in a very delicate position before the Long Sogneg of this match and needs to take every match into their piggy bank.

Liquid don't need anything, but it was nice to make it three wins a season. To do that they need to win every game, including this one.

Let's see who will be stronger in this clash, and who will have to deal with the consequences in the form of defeat.

Team Liquid form

We begin our analysis of the match by analyzing Team Liquid's form. In this match they play as the favorite, which has become a tradition in the West European Dota 2 this season.

The bookmakers are clearly on the side of Team Liquid. The odds of them winning are estimated at around 1.3.

Obviously, Team Liquid deserve the laurels of the favorites, because they have proved their ability to win in previous events. At the DPC 2023 they have already indicated the direction for the further promotion to the TOP 1 of the league, with which they have no problems so far.

Liquid's expansion began at the beginning of 2023, more specifically after the conclusion of The International 2022. The Top 3 at the major tournament last year led to a rearrangement of the squad, but only to the maximum extent.

Nisha, who replaced MATU, fit in well and the results were immediate. In the 2023 season, Liquid were almost unbeaten.

The first round of DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 ended in first place at 7-0. Next up was The Lima Major 2023 followed by a top-2 there.

Second round of DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 Liquid played virtually the same, losing only 1 match to Gaimin Gladiators. Then there was The Berlin Major 2023 and again TOP-2 and again against GG.

  • Team Liquid line-up: miCKe, Nisha, zai, Boxi, Insania .

In the new segment of the DPC 2023 professional league, Liquid play with no changes. Both in terms of roster and results.

Until Long Songpeg, Liquid share first place with Tundra Esports. The team has 3 wins (against Secret, D1 Hustlers and Gaimin Gladiators) and one loss against Entity.

Team Liquid's most popular heroes

The team has taken Chen 4 times (75% win rate). The Enchantress and Disruptor have a perfect win rate with 3 appearances, while Pangolier, Underlord and Shadow Fiend have a slightly worse rate with 2 wins out of 3.

The successful characters include Necrophos, Beastmaster, Undying, Monkey King, Rubick, Sven and Ember. They all appeared in spades 2 times each and won both matches.

After a frankly bogged down Long Cogpeg league, Team Liquid have picked up sharply as the tournament has progressed. Yes, they played pretty hard against outsiders like Secret and D1 Hustlers, but defeated their crucial rival Gaimin Gladiators. OG, meanwhile, have nothing to boast about.

OG Form

We continue the dissection of the game with the story about OG and their combat conditions. In this match, they are destined to be the underdog in the match, which, again, is quite logical.

The bookmakers do not believe in the success of OG, but they are not going to bury the team. The odds are very much in the cards for a win, given the current realities.

And the realities are this: OG are playing poorly in the regular season. And this is not a fantasy or personal assessment, these are facts.

In the first round of DPC 2023: WEU Division 1, OG finished 5th, missing the first Major of the season. In the second season, the situation could have been repeated, but at the last minute OG cheered up and made it to The Berlin Major 2023.

On the international stage, and that was the ESL One Berlin Major 2023, OG finished in the top 6 of the Major, which was a positive result but not quite. OG played with substitutions and like last year, the substitutions in OG look somehow cheerful and perhaps better than the original roster.

  • OG roster: Yuragi, bzm, DM, Taiga, Chu .

Probably the biggest problem with the current OG roster remains the lack of a charismatic leader. When Ceb was at the ESL Stockholm Major it was better, when MC was at the ESL One Berlin Major it was good.

Now the story is very similar to the situation in previous rounds. OG has a 1-2 to start (win against Secret, losses to Tundra and Quest) and they seem to be getting closer to 1-3 after playing Liquid.

OG's most popular heroes

Clockwerk (3 matches, 100% wins), Pangolier (2 matches, 100% wins), Silencer (2 matches, 50% wins), Death Prophet (2 matches, 0 wins), Rubick (2 matches, 0% win rate).

The season is going very slowly for OG. But it's necessary to get together, especially after the ESL One Berlin Major 2023 entry that gives a ghostly chance for direct passage to The International 2023.

History of head-to-head encounters

The teams have previously played each other five times in a year. Only 1 (at ESL One Berlin Major 2023 in the top draw) was won by OG.

The outcome of the match

From the parsing above, it may seem like I'm burying OG. In fact, it's not that hopeless.

Even though the team lost two out of three matches, it was a struggle everywhere and everywhere OG showed a determination to win. This match should not be an exception even considering the fact of the game against Liquid. The latter are poorly motivated to play this season, and therefore I will believe in one card from bzm and company.

Bottom line: +1.5 on OG.

Now, the majority of bookmaker companies believe in Team Liquid victory. Odds on them are equal to 1.227. According to bookmakers data, OG are the outsider and odds on their victory amounts 5.419.

How did the participants perform in the last matches

Last MatchesTeam Liquid OG
5 matches (wins)31
10 matches (wins)76

Also it makes sense to remember the statistics of the matches between the teams. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 46 matches with each other. In these battles Team Liquid got 31 victories while OG managed to take 12 matches.