Match Prediction: Evil Geniuses - RNG | Dota 2
The International 2022: Group StageWe continue to observe what is happening in the group stage of The International 2022. We have one of the central confrontations in Group A ahead of us.
The face-to-face meeting will be held by Royal Never Give Up and Evil Geniuses. Both teams are contenders for the upper bracket of the playoffs and will most likely go there.
To consolidate confidence in this, you need to win here and here. It will not be easy for one of the parties to do this, because the rivals deserve each other, which we saw during The International 2022.
Let's figure out who will be stronger in this confrontation and earn important points to advance to the top of the playoff bracket.
Evil Geniuses form
Evil Geniuses will play as the favorite in this match. The chance of success for a club from North America is estimated at a factor of around 3.
Such a figure, and in such a match, suggests that there is no favorite here at all. In fact, I think it will.
In general, it is still unusual to talk about EG in a positive way. Since the team did not give any reason for this throughout the season. Remember their performances on the international stage and you understand why there was no faith in EG.
At The International Evil Geniuses itself, they have become more like the good old EG, who play well at events of this level. So far, it has not been possible to get rid of all the problems, and this affects the performance, but progress is on the face.
Evil Geniuses results at The International 2022
- 2-0 victory over PSG.LGD
- 2-0 victory over OG
- Lost to Liquid 0-2
- 2-0 victory over Hokori
- 2-0 victory over BetBoom Team
So far, as we can see, EG look great both against the favorites of the group, and against teams with a lower rank. Royal Never Give is definitely one of the first.
Lineup EG
- Arteezy
- Abed
- nightfall
- Cr1t-
- Fly
The arrival of Fly in May of this year is taking its toll. A strong captain is what Evil Geniuses needs, because their players are good and strong, and communication problems in the game were noticeable during the season.
Heroes Evil Geniuses
At The International EG is played meta, I would even say as the legislators of this very meta. They pick Primal Beast, Broodmother, Shadow Fiend, Sven, Undying, Marci. The Evil Geniuses do best with Primal Beast (5 games, 100% win rate) and Shadow Fiend (4 appearances, 100% win rate).
Royal Never Give Up Form
In the status of catching up, Royal Never Give Up will suit this match. The success of the Chinese team is estimated by a coefficient of around 3.7.
As we have already said, in this match we are waiting for parity in terms of strength. Although, after today's games, it looks like RNG don't want or can't play DotA.
Brilliant debut days, incredible pressure and then the Singaporean incidents. Either Somnus` M will become infected with Covid-19, or a technical defeat in the group stage will be issued.
In general, strange things happen with Royal Never Give Up on the third game day of the group stage of the tournament. The classical discipline of Chinese teams, responsibly approaching each series, has gone somewhere.
It is not yet entirely clear how a player infected with Covid cannot play in the series against PSG.LGD, but after it he plays in the match against Hokori. Strange, but so what.
Royal Never Give Up results at The International 2022
- 2-0 victory over BB Team
- 2-0 victory over BOOM
- 2-0 victory over Soniqs
- 2-0 victory over Gladiators
- Lost to PSG.LGD 0-2
Let's add here the given map in the match against Hokori (at the time of writing the forecast, there is a second map). I can't deny Somnus`M's problems, but it looks kind of weird. In any case, the state will affect the game, that's for sure, since you have to take a technical defeat on the map of the group stage of The International.
Royal Never Give Up line-up
- Ghost
- somnus
- Chalice
- kaka
- xNova
Let's see if the legendary Chinese mid player recovers from the morning's problems, and how his teammates who have been in contact with him for at least two days will feel.
Heroes Royal Never Give Up
RNG play for their mid player. The most popular characters for them in patch 7.32 were Puck (3 matches, 100% win rate), Queen of Pain (3 matches, 100% win rate).
Also picked Chen (3 matches, 66% win rate), Tiny (3 matches, 66% win rate).
The International is played “wide”: pick Naga Siren or Anti-Mage to position 1, take Drow Ranger and Lone Druid. In general, they play with all the most popular and effective, which is bearing fruit. I also note that RNG are incredibly worth the lanes - I have never seen them fill the lanes.
History of personal confrontations
Previously, the teams did not play each other in these rosters. The match will be the debut face-to-face confrontation between the teams.
Match outcome
Considering the misadventures of RNG in the morning and EG's good warm-up after the victory over BB Team, I am inclined to believe in the victory of the Americans. Evil Geniuses should seize the chance and close the “sagging” RNGs.
Outcome: victory for Evil Geniuses.
Bookmakers & Statistics
At the moment, the majority of bookmakers unanimously see the team Evil Geniuses as the favorite of the game with average odds on a victory in the sum of 1.874. RNG chances to prevail are evaluated with average odds 7.887 by bookmakers.
Team statistics in recent matches
Last Matches | Evil Geniuses | RNG |
5 matches (wins) | 3 | 5 |
10 matches (wins) | 4 | 6 |
The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets. The competitors have held 2 matches. And Evil Geniuses won 2 times while RNG correspondingly became the winner 0 times.