Match Prediction: NaVi - Astralis | CS2 (CS:GO)

NAVI and Astralis will compete for the right to get to the grand finals of IEM Cologne 2022. Ah, a few years ago, this couple could collect millions of views at the peak and pulled them to the finals of the major. However, now the Danes are far from what they used to be, just as NAVI is once again trying to get in optimal shape in order to go on a break as a full-fledged leader of the scene.

However, there is no doubt that the "Born to Win" will find the key to the Astralis game, which, I do not argue, continues to surprise with a fairly strong game.

And yet, it must be said that NAVI is one of the main contenders for victory in Cologne, and few people think that the Danish team can prevent it from reaching the grand final. The only advantage of Astralis is the game in the quarterfinals the day before, where the team was able to warm up and even show character.

Form NAVI

The first team of the world ranking managed to get stronger in the updated roster, having won the BLAST Premier Spring Final 2022 a month ago. Yes, then the team had misfires, as, for example, in the opening match with OG, but still the guys got together and won the first one in a few months championship.

As for the start in the group stage of IEM Cologne 2022, here NAVI went through MOUZ and NIP almost without a chance. Yes, "Born to Win" managed to lose to the "mice" on Mirage, but then there was no chance.

The team gave the Spaniards from Movistar Riders a little more chances, who took the Inferno map from NAVI. And yet, the team once again played in the class, thereby developing their unbeaten streak to seven matches.

Latest NAVI results:

• Victory over OG with a score of 2:1.
• Victory over Vitality with a score of 2:0.
• Victory over MOUZ with a score of 2:1.
• Victory over NIP with a score of 2:0.
• Victory over Movistar Riders with a score of 2:1.

The best NAVI maps:

• Dust 2 - 100% win rate.
• Overpass - 100% wins.
• Ancient - 80% of wins.
• Mirage - 75% of wins.
• Nuke - 67% of wins.
• Inferno - 55% win rate.

Recall that the "Born to Win" consistently refuse the Vertigo card.

Astralis shape

The eleventh team in the world ranking somehow failed at the start of IEM Cologne 2022, as they managed to lose to 00NATION on the Mirage map.

Nevertheless, then the Danish team confidently coped with Complexity and BIG, thanks to which they made it to the group stage of the championship. Here Astralis, it seems, finally found its game, as it won two matches out of three, and at the same time confidently rushed to the playoffs.

Well, in the quarterfinals the Danes managed to stop MOUZ. And if the team did not succeed at Mirage at all, then on Nuke and, especially in the attack on Ancient, Astralis looked incomparable.

Astralis latest results:

• Victory over BIG with a score of 2:1.
• Victory over FURIA with a score of 2:0.
• Victory over Cloud9 with a score of 2:0.
• Defeated by FaZe Clan with a score of 0:2.
• Victory over MOUZ with a score of 2:1.

Best Astralis cards:

• Nuke - 85% win rate.
• Overpass - 62% of wins.
• Inferno - 60% of wins.
• Ancient - 55% win rate
• Mirage - 50% of wins.

I note that the Danish team is increasingly refusing the Vertigo card.

Match statistics NAVI — Astralis

Within the framework of the current season, the teams held two meetings:

• Astralis won at BLAST Premier Spring Groups 2022 with a score of 19:17.
• NAVI's victory in the ESL Pro League Season 15 with a score of 2:1.

However, in each of the two matches, the teams played in different compositions.

Prediction for the match NAVI — Astralis

Let's run through our favorite stats (no):

• Over the past month, NAVI has the best attack in LAN tournaments. In turn, the Danish team is only on the fourth line (among the playoff participants), lagging behind by almost 10%.
• At the same time, Born to Win has the strongest attack (considering the same sampling parameters). Well, the Danes show only the fifth result among all participants in the playoffs of IEM Cologne 2022.
• In addition, NAVI is noticeably ahead in terms of winning back in 5 vs 4 and 4 vs 5 situations.

Summing up, Astralis actually has nothing to boast of, except for experience. However, NAVI cannot be blamed for this parameter, which continues to move forward and rush to the grand final.

Hand on heart, I don't know what needs to happen for the Danish team to beat the favorite. In all respects, NAVI is simply stronger. If we consider the cards, then Mirage, given the quarterfinals, we immediately give in favor of the "Born to Win". Well, it will work out somehow.

Therefore, here I would recommend betting on the victory of the NAVI team.