Match Prediction: OG - Team Liquid | Dota 2
The Berlin Major 2023 ESLWelcome to EGamersWorld.
We've made a betting tip on Team Liquid vs OG in the first round of the play-offs of the ESL One Berlin Major 2023. A European derby in the play-offs Major tournament is just what you need for Monday.
A rather unexpected pair of teams meet in the first round of the ESL One Berlin play-offs, especially considering the level of play of the clubs throughout the year. However, there's a Major here, which means we don't really care about the results.
Let's see who will be stronger in the first leg of the Berlin Major play-offs, advancing to the next round.
Let's get started.
Team Liquid form
Let's start the review of the game with analysis of Team Liquid's form. In this matchup they will play as the favourites.
Bookmakers put the odds at 1.4 for Liquid's victory. This number by the tag does not come out of nowhere: The Liquid have earned it.
Over the course of the year, TL have been rapidly approaching the status of the best team in the world. The latest step towards this title is victory at The Berlin Major 2023. Before the German tournament TL had twice won their league title in Western Europe, but were a little less fortunate on the international stage.
In The Lima Major 2023, Team Liquid made it safely out of the group and also progressed to the grand final until the final of the top flight. In the penultimate match of the tournament, the Liquid were faced with Gaimin Gladiators and in addition to this, had to play with substitutions and the result was not long in coming.
Team Liquid lost the top set final, but returned to the grand final from the bottom set, where Ledge or Gaimin Gladiators again. The chance to get even with Gaimin Gladiators was at DreamLeague S19, already in full strength.
- Team Liquid's line-up: micKe, Nisha, zai, Boxi, Insania .
DreamLeague S19 began with Liquid winning their subgroup and then winning the next stage. In the play-offs Liquid made it to the grand final on the top grid, but then another defeat by GG.
Team Liquid's most popular heroes
In the top picks for The Berlin Major 2023, Team Liquid has Crystal Maiden with 7 games and 6 wins.
In addition to Crystal Maiden, the picks are Doom (4 games, 100% wins), Sven (4 games, 75% wins), Skywrath Mage (4 games, 75% wins).
Rubick (4 matches, 25% wins), Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins) appear in spades, Underlord, Pangolier, Storm Spirit each have 3 matches and all have 2 wins.
If you're ready to believe in the success of the first team in Western Europe, bet on Team Liquid to win at odds of 1.45.
We will talk about the OG phenomenon at ESL One Berlin and what they can offer against Team Liquid in the battle to advance to the next round.
OG Form
We continue the breakdown of the OG vs Team Liquid match with an analysis of OG's form. In this match, they will play as an outsider, as the bookmakers are pointing out.
The odds of OG winning this match are estimated at odds around 2.6. It is important to note that the gap between the teams is not even double, and that says a lot.
In general, to see OG essentially on an equal footing with Team Liquid is already The International. It was difficult to imagine such a state of affairs before the Berlin Major 2023, because OG did not look like a team capable of reaching the play-offs of a championship of this level.
As the season progressed, OG almost failed twice in the regular league. In the first DPC 2023 season they finished 5th and missed out on the next The Lima Major 2023, but after that they managed to reach the Top 4 of DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division and earned themselves a ticket for The Berlin Major 2023.
However, the Berlin Major 2023 was reached in a rather modified format. They had to resort to two stand-ins at once.
- OG line-up: Yuragi, bzm, Mind_Control, Taiga, Kitrak.
DM and Chu didn't get their visas to Germany and as a consequence, went to the audience hall. But MC and Kitrak, who replaced them, unexpectedly joined the OG squad.
All through the group stage, OG played with heart, which was evident in their performance. In Group B, OG unexpectedly finished second without losing a single match.
The team played out 4-4, drawing with top favourites Spirit, Tundra and Shopify Rebellion as well as Invictus Gaming.
No small credit must go to the same MC and Kitraka who, given the chance to play in the Major for the first time in a long time, didn't let it slip away.
The most popular OG characters
Among the favourite OG characters in the ESL One Berlin Major: Keeper of the Light (6 matches, 83% wins), Phantom Lancer (5 matches, 60% wins).
Among the most successful: Crystal Maiden (4 games, 100% wins), Underlord (4 matches, 100% wins), Alchemist (3 matches, 100% wins), Storm Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins), Storm Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins), Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins).
If you believe in continued success of OG - bet on OG with odds 2.6.
We will review the history of head-to-head games between OG and Team Liquid.
History of head-to-head encounters between Team Liquid and OG
The teams have played each other 4 times during the season. In all games OG has not won a single series, and the total score on the cards is 8-1 in favor of Liquid.
Match outcome
In this matchup OG may have a historic chance to outplay Liquid and clinch passage to the next round of play-offs. However, I'm still inclined to believe in the Liquid's success.
Although the team looks sluggish in this tournament, that doesn't mean they'll play one handed. However, I do admit a card from OG.
Bottom line: Liquid win.
Team Liquid is the 2nd team in the world rankings. On the DPC, the boys have no problems at all. They finish in 1st place in both rounds. But at bigger events they cannot get past Gaimin Gladiators. Both on Lima Major and DreamLeague are in the final table immediately after them on the 2nd place. But still, they are an incredibly strong team and in comparison with other organizations at the tournament, they stand out a lot.
OG is the 6th team in the world ranking. In the first round, DPC didn't manage to advance to Lima major, being in the 5th place. The second round of DPC was a little better and the team still managed to qualify for the Berlin major. In addition, the boys played quite a good game at the Dreamleague, taking 5th place there. With the figures they had before the tournament, this is a terrific result. Playing in this tournament with substitutions in the form of DM'a and Chu to Mind_Control'a and Kitrak.
In the bo2 format I would still be able to believe in the OG card, but to believe in their full-fledged victory is still impossible. The team depends very much on bzm's good play.
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Prediction: Liquid wins!
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The toughest Western European derby between OG and Team Liquid - prediction and analysis on this top-flight play-off clash. Liquid are the clear favourites, but OG are the dark horses.
Team Liquid analysis
Despite the unsuccessful performance at the start of the group stage, when they were in the relegation zone, they managed to pull themselves together and are now on a series of 5 wins in a row. They've found their comfortable heroes: Sven/Medusa/Terrorblade appears at the core; Nisha is taking on Ember Spirit, Void Spirit, and Pangolier. There are often questions about zai's play, his heroes for this match are Beastmaster, Dark Seer, Underlord. Chen/Enchantress for iNsania. Rubick/Skywrath Mage for Boxi.
OG team analytics.
Very much depends on bzm's performance in the centre. I just can't rely on Yuragi and mc in OG games. For me, it's very telling how Taiga is holding this championship. Always have to remember his Keeper of the Light. Of the key heroes for them are Medusa/Alchemist/Phantom Lancer for Yuragi; Storm Spirit/Ember Spirit for bzm.
Yuragi said in one interview that in the match against Shopify Rebellion - bzm tilted and wanted to write "GG" quickly. I think with Nisha it will be even harder.
Conclusions on Team Liquid vs OG
I expect probably 3 cards and a win for Team Liquid. For me Nisha and bzm are very top players in their positions and about the same level. Because of the pool of heroes I would have more faith in Nisha; zai (60%) vs. mc (40%); Taiga plays better than Boxi; iNSaNiA is stronger than Kitrak, and miCKe is more stable than Yuragi. Better to watch in LIVE and drafts, of course, but with a focus on a Team Liquid win.
Prediction: Team Liquid vs OG for 1.6
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Bookmakers & Statistics
According to leading bookmakers predictions, the team OG are the favorite with average odds 2.346 at the moment. Respectively, bookmakers consider Team Liquid to be the outsider of the match with odds on a victory in the sum of about 3.735.
How did the participants perform in the last matches
Last Matches | OG | Team Liquid |
5 matches (wins) | 5 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 8 | 4 |
The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 45 matches with each other. In these matches OG won 11 times, Team Liquid active consisits of 31 wins.