Match Prediction: Vici Gaming - Team Secret | Dota 2
The International 2022: Last Chance QualifierWe continue to review the start of the main event of the year. There is one small Last Chance Qualifier left before The International 2022, the matches of which we will discuss from October 8 to October 12.
Today, a very curious confrontation is next in line, of which there are not so many within the LCQ. Team Secret and Vici Gaming will play for points in the group.
For the teams in the updated rosters, this will be the first face-to-face confrontation. For spectators, the fight will be interesting not only for the presence of big names on the sign, but also for the fundamental confrontation between Western Europe and China, albeit at such early stages of the championship.
We figure out who will be stronger in the match and get an important victory in the LCQ.
Team Secret uniform
The favorites of the confrontation will be Team Secret. The chance of a European club to win is estimated at around 1.9.
The figure is pleasant, but in the Bo2 series I would not call it profitable. It's not so much about the coefficient itself, but about the level of Secret's game.
When analyzing the form, we do not take as a basis the starting LCQ, where Secret will play against Tempest in the first match. It's easy to imagine how the 2nd team in Europe will cope with the 3rd team in South America. Another thing is the Chinese.
Secret for the season managed to both please their fans and upset. Moreover, they fit both the first and second at the end of the season.
Secret's significant progress in the game began at Riyadh, where Resolut1ion made his debut for the team, eventually replacing iceiceice. There also happened a merger of old teammates represented by Reso and Zayac.
The change benefited the team: Riyadh Masters Team Secret finished in the TOP-4, and at ESL One Malaysia 2022 they got into the TOP-3. An incident happened to Secret at the last moment, when the team lost the TI qualifier final with a score of 0-3.
Team Secret roster
- crystallis
- Nisha
- Resolution
- Zayac
- Puppey
Puppey's company for this tournament is very atypical. It kind of reminds me of the Secret line-up with MP, KheZu and MidOne. And the results of that period can be repeated.
Team Secret Heroes
In patch 7.32, Secret played their own DotA at premium tournaments. Their most common spawns were Tusk (7 matches, 85% wins), Witch Doctor (5 matches, 80; wins), Monkey King (5 matches, 60% wins), Pangolier (4 matches, 50% wins), Death Prophet (4 matches, 50% win rate).
Vici Gaming Uniform
Vici Gaming will face Team Secret as the favorite in this match. The victory of the Chinese team is estimated by a factor of around 6.
Pretty devastating gap even for the Bo2 series. As for me, Secret is not so much better, although it may seem otherwise.
Vici Gaming had an unremarkable season. After getting into the TOP-6 of the past, The International Vici left the Chinese reshuffle shabby.
Changes in the roster lasted almost the entire season, and from that the corresponding performance: twice TOP-5 in the home league and, like a cherry on the cake, relegation in the third round from the first division in 7th place.
At the qualifiers for The International 2022, Vici took 3rd place.
Vici Gaming roster
- Erika
- xm
- baby
- Frisk
- Yang
All eyes on the roster are on Xm. It's a headliner and if it fails, the whole team collapses.
Heroes of Vici Gaming
The most common picks for Vici are Marci (5 matches, 80% win rate), Queen of Pain (5 matches, 80% win rate), Primal Beast (4 matches, 75% win rate), Timbersaw (4 matches, 50% win rate).
They play - metovo and this is a fact. They use Marci and Primal Beast, which is not noticeable from Secret with their Earth Spirit and Witch Doctor.
History of personal confrontations
In this match, the updated rosters of Secret and Vici will play their debut face-to-face match.
The outcome of the fight
Prematch I'm not ready to call a clear winner. Still, there is a feeling that the most logical option here would be a draw.
Vici will block Crystallis' air by banning him with MK and Razor, and Secret, in turn, can answer Nisha in the midline. I would carefully take +0.5 on VG.
Outcome: Vici take one card/draw.
Prediction for the duel between Team Secret and Vici Gaming in the group stage of the Last Chance Qualifier for The International 11. For Vici Gaming, this will be the first match in the qualifiers, while Team Secret will play with Tempest, who should be beaten.
Vici Gaming roster
- Erika
- xm
- baby
- Frisk
- Yang
- Fenrir (coach)
Team Secret roster
- crystallis
- Nisha
- Resolut1on
- Zayac
- Puppey
- Heen (coach)
Team Secret qualifier results for The International 11
- Winning the match with Into the Breach with a score of 2:1
- Lost in a match with Entity with a score of 0:2
- Victory in the match with Nigma Galaxy with a score of 2:1
- Winning the match with Into the Breach with a score of 2:1
- Victory in the match with Team Liquid with a score of 2:1
- Lost in a match with Entity with a score of 0:3
Frequently used Team Secret heroes in public/official games:
- Crystallis: Razor/Monkey King/Bloodseeker/Viper/Morphling/Sniper
- Nisha: Kunkka/Pangolier/Timbersaw/Invoker/Morphling/Batrider
- Resolut1on: Monkey King/Mars/Leshrac/Bloodseeker/Dark Seer
- Zayac: Chen/Earth Spirit/Phoenix/Skywrath Mage/Elder Titan/Enchantress
- Puppey: Chen/Centaur/Tidehunter/Oracle/Clockwerk
Vici Gaming results for The International 11 qualifiers:
- Lost in a match with Xtreme Gaming with a score of 0:2 - September 12
- Winning the match with iG with a score of 2:0
- Victory in the match with CDEC with a score of 2:0
- Victory in the match with Ybb Gaming with a score of 2:0
- Winning the match with Fusion with a score of 2:0
Frequently used Vici Gaming heroes in public/official games:
- Erika: Morphling/Phantom Assassin/Lifestealer/Terrorblade
- Xm: Queen of Pain/Viper/Primal Beast/Puck
- bab: Timbersaw/Viper/Primal Beast/Pangolier/Tidehunter/Mars
- Frisk: Marci/Oracle/Snapfire/Shadow Shaman
- Yang: Undying/Dazzle/Rubick/Omniknight/Disraptor
The teams never played each other in 2022, Vici Gaming just didn’t play at LAN events, but Team Secret successfully kicked YapzOr and iceiceice and started playing just during the Riyadh Masters 2022.
Everything will depend on Nisha versus Xm in the mid lane; in other roles, no matter how badly Erika plays, he is definitely not weaker than Crystallis with a pool of 3 heroes.
- Vici Gaming win - odds 4.58
- Team Secret win - odds 2.25
- Draw - odds 2.08
Good quotes for 1 card from Vici Gaming - coefficient 1.61; the most logical is a draw for such a confrontation.
Prediction: Vici Gaming will take 1 card from Team Secret - odds 1.61
Bookmakers & Statistics
Now, the majority of bookmaker companies believe in Team Secret victory. Odds on them are equal to 2.82. According to bookmakers data, Vici Gaming are the outsider and odds on their victory amounts 6.855.
What are the successes of the teams in the last games
Last Matches | Vici Gaming | Team Secret |
5 matches (wins) | 4 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 5 | 5 |
The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 17 matches with each other. And Vici Gaming won 5 times while Team Secret correspondingly became the winner 9 times.