Match Prediction: OG - AS Monaco Gambit | Dota 2
ESL One Summer 2021After the completion of WePlay AniMajor 2021, high-end Dota 2 was not long in coming. A very important tournament starts today - ESL One Summer 2021.
The ESL Summer Tournament is important, first of all, because it is a kind of preparation for the regional qualifiers for The International. And the lineup of the participants here is very solid.
This is very clearly evidenced by the opening match between OG and AS Monaco Gambit. We haven't seen inter-regional battles between Europe and the CIS for a long time. Even more excitement is caused by the recent changes in both teams: Ana left OG and SumaiL came, and AS Monaco Gambit faced staffing problems in the Major.
Let's try to predict the outcome of the starting fight. It will be easy.
Form OG
Whatever one may say, the favorite of this meeting is seen by OG, which they are rather de facto. The name works for OG, although the European five have not shown their former results for a long time.
Notail and company missed two Majors this season, playing as loose and frivolous as possible. This is indicated by the performance in recent matches of OG.
OG Latest Results
- Win over Secret 2-0
- Lose to Nigma 0-2
- Lose to Liquid 0-2
- Win over Brame 1-0
- Lose at Tundra 1-0
OG miraculously remained in the top division in the second season. Perhaps the problems were related to motivation within the roster: OG recently announced the departure of ana, who retired from his career.
When the first position player leaves after the season, you can guess that things were not going very smoothly in the team. Whether it is true or not, we will not know, but we already know that Ana will replace SumaiL.
AS Monaco Gambit Form
AS Monaco Gambit had a very difficult season. After the departure of SoNNeiKo and Noone, the team remained bloodless and in an emergency mode they had to look for replacements for the eliminated players.
They found this replacement and showed a decent result on WePlay AniMajor. AS Monaco Gambit weren't whipping boys, which is good news.
AS Monaco Gambit Latest Results
- Draw with Team Secret 1-1
- Defeat the Nigma 0-2
- Draw against Execration 1-1
- Lose at Vici Gaming 0-2
- Draw vs IG 1-1
In very unfavorable conditions, Gambit managed to impose a fight and squeezed the card from Secret, the champions of the last season IG and Execration, which already commands respect.
After the Major, the team trained hard for the closed qualifiers. I think that already at ESL One Summer we will see the first fruits of these trainings.
Personal meeting history
OG and AS Monaco Gambit managed to play several episodes among themselves. It is noteworthy that out of the last 5 games, Gambit won 4 meetings, while OG won only 1 time.
Match outcome
Despite the fact that OG are a clear favorite, in this match, as for me, you should not expect an easy walk.
AS Monaco Gambit have already shown their character and desire to win, and I think they will continue to do so at ESL One Summer 2021.
Outcome: handicap +1.5 on Gambit.
It will be interesting, of course, to watch Sumail play today, he did not play very well at the Major for Liquid, but at this tournament he can reveal himself and prove his superiority. OG do not want to miss the Dota World Championship and now they will have to play in such tournaments, Sumail is an experienced guy and I think that he can calmly provide some benefit to the team. AS Monaco Gambit showed teeth at the Major in Kiev, but could not achieve the desired result, but we perfectly understand why it did not work out. The team then left two key players before the DPC tournament and only due to the motivation and execution of AS Monaco Gambit were able to squeeze the cards from the favorites. OG will beat them today, but with what score it is still unknown, perhaps live it will be possible to catch a good odds.
This match will be won by OG.
An interesting confrontation awaits us at ESL One Summer 2021 between ASM.GMB and OG. Both teams have recently changed their rosters.
Ana announced his retirement as a professional Dota 2 player, and was replaced by SumaiL, he will play as a carry.
ASM.GMB also changed the roster compared to Weplay Animajor 2021, instead of 633, the top five will be eine from Prosti Esli.
OG took 6th place in the regular season and earned $ 24,000 per team, ASM.GMB at the recent Weplay Animajor 2021 failed to qualify from the Wildcard group, took 6th place, but managed to squeeze out one map each with Team Secret, Execration and iG. They have the last place in the Major.
ASM.GMB is played by: dream, Lorenof, Afterlife, Immersion, eine
For OG are: SumaiL, Topson, Ceb, Saksa, N0tail
Match prediction: ASM.GMB vs OG in ESL One Summer 2021
ASM.GMB starts the CIS qualifiers for The International 10 on June 23, they have HellRaisers in the first round. OG will have qualifiers for Intu as early as July 7, their opponents are Vikin.gg. This is important in the sense that conditional OGs can show their maximum in a tournament and work out other strategies in 10 days, while Gambits will have to hold some heroes. By the way, boo1k (coach of ASM.GMB) in a recent interview said that he alone will now be responsible for drafts in the team and this may also affect the results.
Regarding OG, SumaiL was recently in the mid of Team Liquid, and is now a carry with another European team. Whether he will cope with this position, because he has not played at the top level for a long time is an interesting question.
The main thing in the match: dream - very unstable, OG should focus on it; there is no understanding about the game of SumaiL on carry; it is worth banning Morphling/Templar Assasin for Lorenof.
Bookmakers give odds of 1.352 for OG and 3.1 for ASM.GMB. I advise you to believe in 2: 0 from the OG for 2.155.
Prediction: OG will have no chance to win ASM.GMB at ESL One Summer 2021 - coefficient 2.155
Bookmakers & Statistics
According to leading bookmakers predictions, the team OG are the favorite with average odds 1.311 at the moment. Respectively, bookmakers consider AS Monaco Gambit to be the outsider of the match with odds on a victory in the sum of about 3.753.
If you stand in solidarity with bookmaker companies and think that OG will prevail, at you will find the best odds on the team — 1.42. If in your opinion, the outsider achieved victory in the match, you can make the most profitable bet on AS Monaco Gambit at because odds on their triumph are equal to 7.5.