Match Prediction: Team Tempest - NaVi | Dota 2
The International 2022: Last Chance QualifierWe are following the start of events at The International 2022 Last Chance Qualifier. We got to the final meeting of the second line of the debut day as part of the Last Chance Qualifier, and what else.
In group B, the first day of confrontations will be closed by NaVi and Tempest. What could be better?
In fact, a lot of things, but now is not about that. We have a potential sensation here.
Which one - we will try to find out when parsing the game. And in general, perhaps nothing extraordinary will happen here.
We figure out whether there will be a place for surprise or a nominal favorite will beat an outsider.
Form NAVI
In the status of a favorite before the match, “born to win” will play in this confrontation. The chance of winning for the yellow-black bookmaker is estimated by odds around 1.7.
As for a prematch, the position is clear. But do not forget that for the teams this will not be a debut confrontation, not only in the tournament, but in a day.
Before that, NAVI will play against Nouns and Polaris. Frankly speaking, the yellow-blacks were lucky with the start: there are no impenetrable teams here, and on paper the “born to win” will go on vacation with a score of 6-0 after the first day.
But, that's what NAVI and NAVI are for, to destroy stereotypes and sound logic. In the match against Nouns, I can give preference to the “yellow-blacks”, but with Polaris NAVI they won’t get out of the water dry.
Moving away from the games inside the LCQ, we can recall a difficult season for the Solo team. The team took TOP-6 in the playoffs of the first round, after which they finished in second place in the second round, playing ingloriously at the PGL Arlington Major (TOP-14).
At the NAVI qualifiers, they performed extremely mundane. There were also problems with the outsiders of the region, not to mention the top teams.
NAVI roster
- V tune
- No[o]ne
- laise
- sweden strong
- Solo
Not to be disingenuous, but this seems to be Solo's last roster as an active player. The honored captain found young talents in the face of laise and swedenstrong, but their training drains Alexey of too much energy, and therefore the V-Tune and Solo doubles often do not work.
It is very interesting to look at the updated NAVI in the atmosphere of LAN.
Heroes of NAVI
Most picked NAVI heroes: Primal Beast (4 matches, 50% wins), Batrider (3 matches, 33% wins), Undying (3 matches, 33% wins), Snapfire (3 matches, 0 wins), Pudge (2 matches, 100% wins).
Form Tempest
Tempest will play as an outsider in this match. The team's chance of winning is estimated at a coefficient of around 8.
Objectively speaking, well deserved. Even considering that the opponent is NAVI, I can’t take the 4th team of South America seriously, no way.
The fact that Tempest got here is already a peak result for them. It is not worth waiting for attempts beyond your capabilities.
No matter how lousy NAVI performed at the PGL Arlington Major, no matter how spineless they gave thousands of gold advantages in qualifiers at The International, it's still better than everything Tempest has.
The Peruvians' chance of success is as follows: they somehow outplay Secret, at least on one map, and then do the same with Vici. Well, it's hard to even imagine.
Compared to NAVI, Tempest's starting day is nowhere worse. However, when you are the first team to be eliminated, almost any match seems very difficult and unequal for you.
Team Tempest roster
- Mnz
- sebas
- DrakenN
- slad1n-
- Mjz
Heroes Team Tempest
The selection of matches from Team Tempest is useless. We can only focus on the LCQ qualifiers, where the Peruvians favored Earthshaker (5 matches, 80% wins), Viper (3 matches, 66% wins), Ember Spirit (2 matches, 100% wins), Phoenix (2 matches, 100 % wins).
History of personal confrontations
Previously, the teams did not play each other in official matches. This fight will be the debut face-to-face confrontation for the teams.
Match outcome
I do not want to rant for a long time about this match. If Solo wants to get a chance for a beautiful exit from the TI series, he and his teammates should run over such opponents without looking back.
I break the first betting rule and choose NAVI as the winners. Risky? Undoubtedly! So often with Natus Vincere.
Outcome: victory for NAVI.
Prediction for the match between NAVI and Tempest in the Last Chance Qualifier group stage for The International 11. Natus Vincere will have time to play with nouns and Polaris; Tempest will face Team Secret and Vici Gaming. This is probably the only match where there is 90% faith in Natus Vincere, although even the guys from South America may surprise, but it is doubtful.
Composition Tempest
- Mnz
- sebas
- DrakenN
- slad1n-
- Mjz
NAVI roster
- V tune
- No[O]ne
- laise
- sweden strong
- Solo
NAVI's path to the qualifiers for Last Chance (The International 11):
- Expected result of the match with Polaris - October 8
- The result of the match with nouns is expected - October 8
- Lost in a match with BB Team with a score of 0:2 - September 7
- Lost in a match with the Outsiders with a score of 0:2
- Victory in the match with BB Team with a score of 2:1
- Victory in the match with HellRaisers with a score of 2:1
Frequently used NAVI heroes in public:
- V-Tune: Drow Ranger/Faceless Void/Morphling
- No[O]ne: Primal Beast/Morphling/Slark/Queen of Pain/Ember Spirit
- laise: Enigma/Undying/Visage/Primal Beast/Venomancer
- swedenstrong: Techies/Marci/IO/Shadow Shaman/Ancient Apparation/Primal Beast
- Solo: Dawnbreaker/Jakiro/Undying/Chen/Disraptor/Abaddon
The Tempest Path to The International 11
- The result of the match with Vici Gaming is expected - October 8
- The result of the match with Team Secret is expected - October 8
- Victory in the match with Infinity with a score of 2:1
- Winning the match with Hokori with a score of 2:0
- Lost in a match with Infamous with a score of 0:2
- Lost in a match with Hokori with a score of 0:2
Frequently used Tempest heroes in public/official games:
- Mnz: Morphling/Terrorblade/Faceless Void/Bloodseeker/Medusa
- Sebas: Ember Spirit/Puck/Batrider/Storm Spirit
- DrakenN: Death Prophet/Viper/Timbersaw/Visage/Venomancer
- slad1n-: Earthshaker/Dark Willow/Tiny/Nyx Assassin
- Mjz: Phoenix/Bane/Viper/Undying/Grimstroke
Individually, NAVI is definitely stronger than Tempest, but they can underestimate the team from South America and lose on one map. In general, Tempest can win on one map only due to strategy, while NAVI as a whole will probably now build around No[O]ne and play on it. Against frankly weak teams, Natus Vincere still has a chance, but there will definitely be problems with conditional Vici Gaming/Team Secret and Polaris.
Definitely better to bet in LIVE, after the draft, with a pre-match for NAVI, but it's important to see how both teams start.
- NAVI win - odds 1.73
- Tempest win - odds 8.7
- Draw - odds 2.44
Prediction: NAVI will win Tempest - odds 1.73
Bookmakers & Statistics
Now, the majority of bookmaker companies believe in NaVi victory. Odds on them are equal to 1.63. According to bookmakers data, Team Tempest are the outsider and odds on their victory amounts 8.03.
What the team performance statistics say
Last Matches | Team Tempest | NaVi |
5 matches (wins) | 2 | 2 |
10 matches (wins) | 5 | 4 |
Gamblers will definitely be interested in the statistics of personal meetings between the teams. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 0 matches with each other. In these matches Team Tempest won 0 times, NaVi active consisits of 0 wins.