Match Prediction: NaVi - Outsiders | Dota 2
DPC EEU (CIS) 2021/2022 Tour 3: Division INAVI will play against the Outsiders - forecast for replays in Eastern Europe. All teams are already in the Major, the difference is how much they will receive in terms of money and, most importantly, in terms of DPC points, the difference is 200-300 points.
NAVI had problems with Rune Eaters, with One Move, having given away the first map, Outsiders easily closed Mind Games 2:0.
In general, NAVI now has 6 wins and 1 loss; 12 won cards and 5 lost; the Outsiders have 6 wins and 1 loss; 12 won cards and 4 lost.
NAVI defeated BB Team (2:0), Mind Games (2:1), Outsiders (2:0), Pari Parni (2:0), One Move (2:1), Rune Eaters (2:1), defeat from Team Spirit (0:2).
Outsiders were stronger than Team Spirit (2:0), BB Team (2:1), Mind Games (2:0), Pari Parni (2:0), One Move (2:0), Rune Eaters (2:1), defeated by NAVI (0:2).
NAVI roster
- V tune
- No[O]ne
- laise
- sweden strong
- Solo
Outsiders line-up
- RAMZES666
- gpk
- DM
- yamich
- Xakoda
I would definitely be afraid of Dawnbreaker from laise, NAVI needs to come up with something against Lycan/Beastmaster/Dazzle/Marci, there will definitely be a fight for the first characters for sure.
I follow the trend of how the Outsiders get in shape during the season, including the victory over Mind Games, and how unstable NAVI play, they often make mistakes, a lot of indistinct moves. As if we had already achieved the maximum goal - to go to the Major, but what happens next - do not care.
gpk is definitely stronger than No[O]ne now; laise and swedenstrong can go down in big games like this, especially BO1. Yes, the Outsiders lost to them in the regular season, but now there are other Outsiders and completely different NAVI. The BO1 factor is taken into account, but I'm 100% for Outsiders, a lot of heroes, you can't outbid everyone and it's hard to prepare for the draft. There is also Visage from DM.
I have not found any odds yet, apparently the bookmakers are not yet ready to name a favorite, I expect approximate quotes there at the level of 1.7 - 1.8; they can give Outsiders - 1.6 maximum, but even this is quite good. I found it, 1.87 on NAVI and 1.87 on Outsiders, I'm definitely for the "bears", they are objectively stronger now, but RAMZES666 often has a curse in games against the Natus Vincere tag.
Prediction: Outsiders will beat NAVI in replays - odds 1.87
Bookmakers & Statistics
At the moment, the majority of bookmakers unanimously see the team Outsiders as the favorite of the game with average odds on a victory in the sum of 1.502. NaVi chances to prevail are evaluated with average odds 4.987 by bookmakers.
Team statistics in recent matches
Last Matches | NaVi | Outsiders |
5 matches (wins) | 4 | 4 |
10 matches (wins) | 7 | 8 |
Also it makes sense to remember the statistics of the matches between the teams. The teams played 1 matches with each other before. In these matches NaVi won 1 times, Outsiders active consisits of 0 wins.