Match Prediction: Nigma Galaxy - Entity | Dota 2
DPC 2023 Tour 2: WEU Division I (Upper)We continue to look at what's happening in DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division. The competition is gaining momentum, with Nigma Galaxy and Entity gearing up for their debut match.
The European clubs had very different experiences last week. While Entity made it to the majors at the end of DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division - Tour 1 and did very well there, Nigma Galaxy barely managed to clinch the top division for the second round.
Entity finished 4th in the regular season last cycle. After finishing the league at 4-3, the team found themselves in a round-robin replay with three teams that managed to secure a slot in the Lima Major 2023.
Nigma Galaxy finished in the first round with a score on the borderline, 6th place. The team played out the event with a score of 2-5, managing to pull themselves together at the last minute.
Sorting out the teams' chances of winning the first match. Let's try to see who will earn the first points in the second DPC round.
Entity Form
We start the showdown with an analysis of Entity's form. They will be playing this match as favourites.
The bookmakers clearly believe in Entity's success. The odds on the club's victory are estimated at around 1.25.
A pretty crushing figure for a first leg, but there's not much they can do about that. Entity did look good in the majors, and Nigma have been suffering from instability for a number of years now.
Entity lineup
The team held one last shutdown before the start of the first round. No changes to the roster were seen after that.
Entity players
- watson
- Stormstormer
- Tobi
- Kataomi
- Fishman
The squad is good, but at the Lima Major 2023 Entity had big problems. In their last games the team was not like themselves, they played lame dota, trying to stifle with their strategies, but nothing came out of it.
Entity's performance
Entity finished DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division - Tour 1 in fourth place. The team played the regular season 4-3 before heading to round-robin replay with Tundra Esports and OG.
After going through the tiebreaks Entity went to the Lima Major 2023. The Peruvian tournament started well but ended badly.
After the group stage, Entity made it to the top of the playoffs before losing to the eventual champions from Gladiators. In the bottom set, they looked helpless against Talon Esports.
Also Entity have been playing in outside tournaments. At the BB Xmas Show, the team finished in the Top 6, but that was a long time ago and not true.
The Entity heroes are.
Treant Protector who has appeared in 8 games has a 62% winning percentage. On a par with Treant is Rubick, who has also appeared 8 times and has a similar winning percentage.
Slightly worse is Undying with 50% win rate in the same 8 matches. Almost the only team playing the Invoker. Stormstormer rolled their signature 6 times and won 4.
Given the recently released patch 7.32e, Entity will be fumbling for meta. Wouldn't be surprised to see a conditional Abaddon cary and a Hoodwink middling.
Nigma Galaxy uniforms.
Nigma Galaxy will stand on the other side of the barricades. The team will play as underdogs, as if it could be otherwise.
The odds of a Nigma Galaxy win are said to be in the region of 3.2. At the start of the season, that number per team is still OK, it could be worse, considering
Last season, Nigma Galaxy tried to tweak the game with a revamped squad. It came out with mixed success, but they kept their first league slot, and that's what counts.
Nigma Galaxy line-up
There are no changes to Nigma Galaxy's active roster for the second season. Miracle seems to be in no hurry to return from holiday, and it's not certain he needs it.
Nigma Galaxy players
- SumaiL
- ATF
- MinD_ContRoL
- GH
- KuroKy
If we are talking about players, they are all in place, that's a fact, but still, Nigma have made spot changes in the roster. ImmortalFaith, who has been in the position for one season, has left the team.
Perhaps the specialist who replaced him will be able to pull the star-studded squad out of stagnation, but I find it hard to believe. However, the new patch may help freshen things up.
Nigma Galaxy's performance
Nigma Galaxy failed in the first round of the DPC, but they survived the collapse. They finished the season 2-5, which was enough to secure their place in the top division.
In the course of DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division - Tour 1, Nigma Galaxy lost to just about anyone, but managed to take two matches towards the end of the season. First, they beat their main rival for the top division, Team Secret, and then they kept OG out of the majors.
Even before the start of DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division - Tour 1, Nigma Galaxy played at the BB Xmas Show, where they finished top 8, with a direct playoff inquest in mind.
Nigma Galaxy Heroes.
Io (6 matches, 66% wins), Death Prophet (5 matches, 60% wins), Chen (5 matches, 60% wins), Dawnbreaker (4 matches, 75% wins), Earth Spirit (4 matches, 75% wins) appeared most often in spades.
From last season, you can see that Nigma played a bit of "their" Dota, often discarding the conventional canons. This approach almost brought Nigma to the critical point, but at the last moment they managed to stay afloat.
With the new patch, the Nigma pool will remain distinctive, and all because of the distinctive characteristics of the performers. We are waiting for new ATF carriages.
History of personal confrontations
The teams played each other in the first round of DPC 2023: WEU Upper Division - Tour 1. In that match, Nigma Galaxy failed to claw their way to victory and KuroKy and company lost 0-2.
Match result
In this match, the logical option would be to pick Entity as the winner. Compared to Nigma, they play better Dota, but there is one big "but" - it's a freshly released patch.
Since these will be the first official games with the updated metha, I wouldn't be in a hurry to pour all the money in the world on Entity. As far as I'm concerned, Nigma has a chance to snag one map, which is what the betting will be on.
Bottom line: +1.5 for Nigma Galaxy.
The spring DPC tour, where Nigma Galaxy and Entity will play, is the first DPC division in Western Europe. Analytics and forecast for this match, where the favorite seems to be obvious.
Analytics by Nigma Galaxy team
It is not yet clear how they play, what they play and so on. There are a lot of rumors that Mind_ContRoL will now be in the first position, and ATF will return to its usual offlane. It is unlikely that this is exactly the change due to which they will be able to compete for access to the Major. Yes, it will be difficult to prepare for them now, especially in the opening. But it is unlikely that a team that was one micro step away from relegation from the first division will quickly change their playing style with a new patch and shoot. Also quite a significant factor is that March is now their trainer instead of ImmortalFaith.
Analytics by Entity command
By the start of this DPC season, they had scammed the roster. Pure left the team and watson joined them. Together with him, they managed to take 5th-6th place at The Lima Major 2023. Weaknesses are Tobi's game, strong points: they have a good lane in the easy Fishman + watson, Batrider for Stormstormer in the center and Tiny for Kataomi. Good and stable heroes are precisely these, on which they will focus. Entity can only be trusted if Tobi is offlane Death Prophet.
Prediction for the match Nigma Galaxy vs Entity
You will not envy both teams, because they absolutely do not know what their opponents are playing. Especially if Nigma Galaxy always has swap positions. Here 2.4 on Nigma is not completely clear, but I would believe in 1 card from them for 1.52, exactly the same quotes are given on Entity. Knowing Tobi and his performances, Nigma Galaxy should definitely be able to squeeze out one card.
Prediction: Nigma Galaxy will beat Entity on one map
Predictions and analytics for Dota 2 in Telegram: t.me.flzbets
Bookmakers & Statistics
According to leading bookmakers predictions, the team Entity are the favorite with average odds 1.177 at the moment. Respectively, bookmakers consider Nigma Galaxy to be the outsider of the match with odds on a victory in the sum of about 5.597.
What the team performance statistics say
Last Matches | Nigma Galaxy | Entity |
5 matches (wins) | 2 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 2 | 7 |
It will also be necessary to mention the history of face-to-face meetings between the opponents.
The participants in the battle before the meeting played 3 matches with each other.
In these matches Nigma Galaxy won 0 times, Entity active consisits of 3 wins.