Match Prediction: Evil Geniuses - Tundra Esports | Dota 2
ESL One Stockholm 2022 MajorWe continue to get acquainted with the participants of the group stage of ESL One Stockholm 2022. Next in line is a couple of Evil Geniuses and Tundra Esports.
This match can and in theory should become the central confrontation of the round. Both teams claim high places and you should not expect an easy walk for one of the clubs.
We are trying to figure out what to expect from the fight and whether someone will be able to secure a victory in this b2 match.
Tundra Esports Uniform
Tundra Esports will be the favorite in this match. The coefficient for the victory of the European team is 2.6.
Such a figure is a well-deserved marker for the Tundra. First of all, it is justified by the considerable gaming experience of the Saksa team.
Tundra Esports roster
- skitter
- Nine
- 33
- Saksa
- sneyking
The team is combat-ready, but more importantly, it has experience of real battles.
Tundra Esports Latest Match Results
- 2-0 victory over Brame
- 2-0 victory over PuckChamp
- 2-0 victory over Team Liquid
- 2-0 victory over Tundra Esports
- Lost to Team Liquid 1-2
Before the start of the tournament, Tundra managed to practice at Gamers Without Borders, where they were successful. They lost only in the final, which indicates a good form of Tundra.
Heroes Tundra Esports
Tundra Esports Most Picked Heroes: Gyrocopter (8 matches, 87% win rate), Sand King (7 matches, 57% win rate), Monkey King (6 matches, 83% win rate).
The most successful heroes of Tundra Esports: Io (5 matches, 100% wins), Invoker (3 matches, 100% wins), Pangolier (3 matches, 100% wins).
Evil Geniuses Form
Evil Geniuses will act as catch-ups in this match. Their success is estimated by a coefficient in the region of 3.6.
As for me, the game practice of the teams became the basis of the evaluation. While Tundra are participating in local tournaments, Evil Geniuses are locked in their region, where, by the way, they are successful.
Evil Geniuses line-up
- Arteezy
- Abed
- nightfall
- Cr1t-
- JerAx
The main intrigue is connected with EG - the return of JerAx and Nightfall to the big stage. The first has not played since 2020, and the second, due to a transfer from VP, also missed a large part of the season.
The result of the last matches of Evil Geniuses
- 2-0 victory over Quincy Crew
- Lost to EG 0-2
- 2-0 victory over Team DogChamp
- 1-0 victory over Quincy Crew
- 1-0 victory over TSM
EG have finally regained the title of the strongest team in North America and are now eager to take this success to the world stage.
Heroes EG
Most Picked Heroes of Evil Geniuses in Patch 7.31: Enchentress (3 matches, 66% win rate), Bane (2 matches, 100% win rate), Ember Spirit (2 matches, 100% win rate).
The most successful Evil Geniuses heroes in patch 7.31 are: Bane (2 matches, 100% win rate), Ember Spirit (2 matches, 100% win rate), Viper (2 matches, 100% win rate).
History of personal confrontations
Previously, these teams did not play each other in official matches.
Match outcome
In this fight, I play as safe as possible. I put +1.5 on EG.
Result: +1.5 on EG.
Prediction for the match between Evil Geniuses and Tundra Esports in the group stage of Stockholm Major 2022.
Evil Geniuses confidently went through the regular season in DPC - North America, came out from the first place, they have 6 wins and 1 loss; 13 maps won and 3 lost; in replays, they defeated Team SoloMid and Quincy Crew. The only defeat for EG was from Team SoloMid 1:2. Most of the matches ended with their victory with a score of 2:0.
Tundra Esports made it to the Major from 4th place at Stockholm Major 2022, they had 4 wins and 3 losses; 10 cards won and 7 lost.
Evil Geniuses line-up
- Arteezy
- Abed
- nightfall
- Cr1t-
- JerAx
Tundra Esports roster
- Skiter
- Nine
- 33
- Saksa
- sneyking
Tundra Esports latest results - 5 matches counted
- The result of the match with Team Liquid is expected - May 8
- Victory in the match with Nigma Galaxy with a score of 2:0
- Winning the match with PuckChamp with a score of 2:0
- Victory in the match with Nemiga Gaming with a score of 1:0
- Victory in the match with Brame with a score of 2:0
Evil Geniuses latest results - 5 matches counted
- Victory in the match with Team SoloMid with a score of 1:0 - April 22
- Winning the match with Quincy Crew with a score of 1:0
- Victory in the match with Team DogChamp with a score of 2:0
- Lost in a match with Team SoloMid with a score of 1:2
- Winning the match with Quincy Crew with a score of 2:0
Obviously, the level of competition in Western Europe and North America is completely different, so Tundra for me in this match will be a minimal favorite, 60% to 40% in their favor against Evil Geniuses, the most likely outcome of this match is a draw.
- More esports betting on Telegram: t.me/flzbets
Bookmakers give odds of 2.728 on Tundra Esports, draw 1.984, on Evil Geniuses - 4.16. For 1 card from EG - 1.43. Very strange quotes, I would believe that one of the teams will win - the odds are 1.78. In such a game, it is better to bet LIVE, since the teams are approximately equal, Tundra is the minimum favorite, but EG can come up with something interesting, don't forget about their Storm Spirit.
Prediction: Tundra Esports will win Evil Geniuses - odds 2.728
Both teams have chances to win, but no one knows what kind of performance to expect from the players of the Evil Geniuses team.
TUNDRA
Let's start with the more obvious. The Tundra team shows a strong Dota, defeated LIquid, who, by the way, came here to tear and throw. That's from whom, from whom, and from Tundra one should expect a decent competitive Dota. I bet these guys will be one of the first to go to the winner's bracket.
Advantages:
1. 33 in uniform and his hero pool is a treasure for the Tundra.
2. Nine is a fairly stable midlaner and even if he doesn't win the lane, he leaves it at least in a stalemate.
3. Saksa shows very strong performance, it's not for nothing that he played at the last TI with the golden lineup of OG, which, alas, they did not win for the 3rd time.
4. Sneyking is not a bad position 5 player, you shouldn't expect a filling from him either. With the departure of Fata, they have become even stronger.
5. Incredible teamwork. They punish worse mistakes than Team Spirit.
6. Don't forget that Tundra have beaten reigning TI champions multiple times.
7. At all past tournaments, this team won prizes. This is an excellent indicator of the shape of the Tundra.
Disadvantages:
1. Skiter loves to lick lines)
2. They know how to punish for mistakes, but sometimes they forget to prevent them. There are missplays and this is a fact.
3. And lastly, Draft standards, that is, characteristic of the Tundra. Show me the drafts of any two European teams where there is Tundra and I will tell you where the draft of this team is. That is, they are not quite flexible, well, not critical, of course, but there is such a thing. Consider this.
That is, the team is really strong, both in micro and macro. The odds for winning Tundra 2:0 are approximately 2.90. Let's just say, we are waiting for a powerful game from Tundra. Let's go further.
EVIL GENIUSES
The American team is a kind of dark horse of this tournament, about which nothing can be said. Absolutely. She's first in her division, and yes, that's definitely cool, but throw a rock at me if the North American region is strong. Dogchamp and the like show disgusting DotA, and this is the first division. So it's silly to say that they came here prepared for teams like Tundra. On the other hand, they beat TSM and Quincy Crew, and these are not such weak teams. So it's not clear.
Advantages:
1. Arteezy - a good old carry who can take a lot of different heroes.
2. Crit is an experienced player.
3. Jerax is a two-time TI champion.
4. Nightfall is a former Virtus Pro player and a great positional carry.
5. I like the whole EG line-up and I have no complaints about it.
Disadvantages:
1. Nightfall is a great carry, yes. But in this team, he plays in the 3rd position, not 1. He plays well, but sometimes he is kicked, then he is taken again, in general, it is not clear.
2. Lack of practice against really strong teams.
3. Instability, it happens that they fill in everything that is possible, where even sometimes it is impossible. Sometimes you can see that they are struggling with alcoholism)
Again, no one has any idea what form they are in. Me too. Therefore, it is silly to procrastinate this topic. The coefficient for their victory is approximately equal to 4.20.
Without further ado, I bet on a draw 1:1, although I don’t really trust this forecast.
I expect a draw from this match, just equal opponents meet today and that's it. Yes, Evil Geniuses is somewhere stronger in terms of names and experience, but they can give away one card and that's a fact. The beginning of the tournament, maybe somewhere they will catch the jitters, somewhere they will start uncertainly and give up the advantage, in general, we'll see. A lot will be decided by the chosen heroes in this match, i.e. live betting is recommended! The best of 2 format is very inconvenient for betting, but what can you do, I bet twice on this match, before it starts and live. We have seen that Evil Geniuses are not perfect, but Tundra Esports is a serious team, they can easily take advantage of the mistakes of their rivals.
Tundra Esports play their own DotA and achieve some success, the guys have been playing together for a long time and understand each other perfectly. I think that they will easily take one card in this match, but you need to evaluate their heroes at the stage of character selection, I think that at all stages of the game they will show themselves well. I expect performance from certain players of this team, the guys are experienced and skillful, I see no reason not to bet on a draw in this match. The teams are really equal, any mistake can lead to defeat on the map.
Evil Geniuses and Tundra Esports will play to a draw.
Bookmakers & Statistics
At the moment, the majority of bookmakers unanimously see the team Tundra Esports as the favorite of the game with average odds on a victory in the sum of 2.292. Evil Geniuses chances to prevail are evaluated with average odds 8.157 by bookmakers.
How the teams played in the last matches
Last Matches | Evil Geniuses | Tundra Esports |
5 matches (wins) | 4 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 8 | 6 |
It will also be necessary to mention the history of face-to-face meetings between the opponents. The teams played 0 matches with each other before. And Evil Geniuses won 0 times while Tundra Esports correspondingly became the winner 0 times.