Match Prediction: BIG - NaVi | CS2 (CS:GO)
IEM Rio Major 2022BIG and NAVI will play in the fifth round of the main stage of IEM Rio Major 2022. It seems that the "Born to Win" were very lucky with the opponent, as the German team dug their chances to reach the playoffs with their own hands.
Perhaps BIG is one of the three remaining teams that definitely cannot compete with NAVI in this round. And the Germans are not impressive at all in terms of the game, because after two victories in BO1, the guys expectedly swam and began to disappoint.
In general, I see absolutely no intrigue in this series, since the Born to Win got completely angry with themselves and began to get out of the hole where they had driven themselves at the start of the championship. Well, BIG can only wish good luck, while they will probably have to look for happiness on Dust 2.
Form BIG
The fourteenth team in the world ranking had a very strong start at IEM Rio Major 2022, where they got three wins and ended with only one loss to the Bad News Eagles. As a result, the Germans made their way into the "legends", although few people expected this from them.
Then BIG continued to surprise as they started their journey in the main stage with two victories over Sprout and MOUZ. Already here it began to seem that the team would lift the curse and finally reach the playoffs.
But the further game from the team, as well as the defeats from FURIA and fnatic, put everything in its place. As a result, we see a clearly overestimated team that does not know how to win back against a strong default at all.
Latest BIG results:
- Victory over 9z with a score of 2:0.
- Victory over Sprout with a score of 16:11.
- Victory over MOUZ with a score of 16:7.
- Defeat from FURIA with a score of 0:2.
- Defeated by fnatic with a score of 0:2.
Best BIG cards:
- Mirage - 57% of wins.
- Dust 2 - 50% win rate.
Let's not forget that the German team continues to refuse the Ancient map.
Form NAVI
The fourth team in the world ranking had a good start at IEM Rio Major 2022, where they got a laborious, but still victory over Vitality on the Mirage map.
But then the Ukrainian team significantly complicated their task, as they lost in one gulp to Cloud9 and Team Liquid with an offensive score. Although the game, the "Born to Win" had problems that were evident after the change of sides.
Fortunately, the day before, NAVI managed to cope with the Bad News Eagles, and in such a way that they regained their self-confidence. And after this, the team is clearly ready to go to the playoffs, otherwise it began to wake up.
Latest NAVI results:
- The victory over the Outsiders with a score of 2:0.
- Victory over Vitality with a score of 25:21.
- Defeat from Cloud9 with a score of 14:16.
- Lost to Team Liquid with a score of 14:16.
- 2-0 victory over Bad News Eagles.
The best NAVI maps:
- Dust 2 - 80% of wins.
- Mirage - 73% of wins.
- Inferno - 57% of wins.
In this case, the "Born to Win" should again refuse the Vertigo card.
BIG vs. NAVI match statistics
Within the framework of the current season, the teams held two meetings:
- NAVI's victory at PGL Major Antwerp 2022 with a score of 16:8.
- NAVI's victory at BLAST Premier Spring Final 2022 with a score of 2:0.
I note that in the last match the teams played on Dust 2 and Mirage maps.
Prediction for the match BIG — NAVI
I have no reason to believe that BIG will even try to fight. Still, after two 0-2 defeats from FURIA and fnatic, it makes no sense to think about anything more.
In turn, "Born to Win" did not lose heart after two defeats in BO1 and found the strength to get into the fifth round. Yes, somewhere the Ukrainian team was lucky with an opponent, but after all, all the old favorites were eliminated.
Therefore, in this case, I would recommend betting on the victory of the NAVI team with a score of 2:0.
Natus Vincere:
World ranking - 4
Win rate for 3 months - 63.2%
Best maps in 3 months - Dust2(80% for 5 maps), Mirage(72.7% for 11 maps), Inferno(57.1% for 7 maps)
Best player in 3 months - s1mple(Rating 2.0 - 1.30)
Average age of players - 23.5
BIG:
World ranking - 14
Win rate for 3 months - 47.8%
Best cards in 3 months - Mirage(57.1% for 7 cards) Dust2(50% for 12 cards), Vertigo(42.9% for 6 cards)
Best player in 3 months - tabseN(Rating 2.0 - 1.14)
The average age of the players is 23.8.
Bookmakers & Statistics
Now, the majority of bookmaker companies believe in NaVi victory. Odds on them are equal to 1.109. According to bookmakers data, BIG are the outsider and odds on their victory amounts 6.42.
What the team performance statistics say
Last Matches | BIG | NaVi |
5 matches (wins) | 3 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 6 | 6 |
Gamblers will definitely be interested in the statistics of personal meetings between the teams. The teams played 18 matches with each other before. In these battles BIG got 6 victories while NaVi managed to take 12 matches.