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The PGL Bucharest 2025 playoffs are nearing their climax. Of the 16 teams that started the battle for the $200,000 grand prize, only 4 teams remain.
Complexity and G2 are among the remaining quartet. They will determine the second participant of the Grand Final with their face-to-face Bo3 match.
Let's try to find out which of the pair G2 - CoL will be stronger and will qualify for the PGL Bucharest 2025 Grand Final.
Let's go.
G2 Esports uniforms
Let's open the G2 vs CoL match with an analysis of G2's form. In this match, the Samurai play the first number one with odds to win at around 1.4.
Their rise as a top team started with BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2023 and IEM Katowice 2023. Both G2 championships went confidently and at two tournaments they deservedly became champions.
Next, the "samurai" were stormy. Last season ESL Pro League Season 17 G2 Esports finished on the 9-12 line, which is clearly not the level of the team that recently won Katowice 2023.
After a frankly weak performance at EPL Season 17 G2 Esports played at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023. In Paris, NiKo and company had a real fiasco, as the tournament for them ended at the TOP-14 stage, which certainly did not fit into G2's plans.
- G2 Esports line-up: huNter, HeavyGod, m0NESY, malbsMd, Snax.
Before ESL Pro League Season 18, G2 Esports made their mark on several other major tournaments. These were BLAST Premier: Spring Finals and Fall Groups, where G2 took top 4 and top 8 respectively.
Next up was IEM Cologne 2023 and finally a win. In the Grand Final they beat ENCE 3-1, thus taking another IEM title for the year.
The last championship was Gamers8. The biggest commercial tournament of the season ended with G2 Esports in the top 4.
G2 Esports started off ESL Pro League Season 18 with a betting tirerable win. They beat Lynn Vision 2-0 in their opening match, but to be fair, they were close to a fiasco on the first map. However, G2 Esports subsequently made it to the play-offs, and straight into the quarter-finals, where they met MOUZ. The Mice outplayed G2 Esports and later became EPL S18 champions.
G2 Esports attended two more events before competing at BLAST Premier: World Finals 2023. These were BLAST Premier: Fall European Showdown 2023 and IEM Sydney 2023. Both tournaments saw the team finish in the Top 4 stage. There was also CCT Online Finals #5, where G2 showed a frankly mediocre result. The titular European club failed to make it to the Top 2 and get a slot to the Global Finals, and settled for only Top 4.
Prior to the PGL CS 2 Major Copenhagen 2024 Europe RMR G2 Esports played at three top tournaments before the Long Convergence PGL CS 2 Major Copenhagen 2024 Europe RMR G2 Esports. BLAST Premier: World Final 2023, BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2024 and IEM Katowice 2024 and they finished in the top 6. Looks good, but it's still not the same for the G2 Esports level.
Then PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: European RMR A G2 Esports played at their level. The level that you expect from them, i.e. Top 2 and a slot in the Copenhagen CS2 Major Legends.
Later G2 Esports played at the PGL CS2 Major Copenhagen, where they managed to reach the play-offs and at the end of the championship took the top 4. In the semi-finals they lost to future champions NaVi.
G2 Esports played at IEM China 2024, where the "samurai" managed to reach the TOP-4. Later they played at ESL Pro League Season 19, where they reached TOP-8, Ledgeiv to the future champions from MOUZ.
G2 Esports attended IEM Dallas 2024, where they managed to snatch a win with a 2-1 win over Vitality in the grand finals. They also played BLAST Premier: Spring Final 2024, where they finished in the top 8.
Esports World Cup 2024 G2 Esports started off with a solid win over MongolZ, even though the latter struggled. Next was a match against Team Spirit, which the Samurai won again, beating one of the strongest teams in the world with a score of 2-1. Later G2 defeated Vp, but in the grand finals Ledge and NaVi with the score 1-2.
Further G2 Esports played almost all top tournaments on Counter-Strike 2. They played at BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2024, where they finished in TOP 1-4, as well as at IEM Cologne 2024, where they finished in TOP 6.
At ESL Pro League Season 20, the team won Group B, beating KOI, 3DMAX and MIBR. In the play-offs, they went straight to the quarter-finals, where they defeated Liquid. However, G2's path was interrupted at the TOP-4 stage: they defeated NaVi, who later became the tournament champions.
A little later, G2 managed to get revenge on NaVi by defeating Born to Win in the grand finals of BLAST Premier: Fall Final 2024. However, it was not possible to translate the victories at the autumn finals into a winning streak, because at the IEM Rio Masters 2024 G2 Esports took the TOP-13-16.
However, G2 Esports went on to play at BLAST Premier: World Final 2024, where they triumphed, winning another trophy at the BLAST Championship Series. In the final, they stomped Spirit by a score of 3-0.
The way to the Major at G2 Esports Long started with a victory over NiP. Then they beat 9 Pandas without any problems. But in the match for the Major with a score of 3-0, G2 Esports sensationally lost to 3DMax, although later they took the series against Spirit and went to the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 with a score of 3-1.
Elimination Stage PW Shanghai Major 2024 Long started with a loss to MongolZ, but then defeated BIG and 3DMax. In the play-offs, G2 Esports defeated FaZe Clan. Heroic beat Heroic in the first round of the play-offs, but then Ledge beat FaZe, leaving the tournament in the top 4.
In the 2025 season, G2 Esports attended BLAST Bounty Spring 2025, where they again finished in the top 4, again losing to FaZe. They also attended IEM Katowice 2025, where they finished in the top 4.
At the ESL Pro League Season 21 Long Long Sogpeg started with a win against paiN. Then lost to MongolZ, but then beat sAw. Lost to NaVi and beat GamerLegion in the play-offs. But in the first round of the main grid G2 Esports lost to MOUZ and left the tournament on top 8.
BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 G2 Esports started with a match against Imperial Esports, where they won 2-0. In the play-offs match, they lost against Eternal Fire with a score of 0-2. In the play-offs they went through the bottom grid of Group B, but in the first round Ledge and MOUZ with a score 0-2, thus ending their journey through BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 on the top 6.
At PGL Bucharest 2025, G2 Esports went 3-0 in the group stage. The first round of play-offs against Vp ended in a clean win for G2.
G2 Esports Mappool
G2's main map is Ancient. G2 played 8 matches there, of which they won 6.
Then comes Anubis (3 games, 2 wins), Vertigo (5 matches, 3 wins), Inferno (12 matches, 58% wins).
G2 Esports has no minus winnings on mapx. Among the "worst" choices are Nuke (7 matches, 4 wins), Mirage (4 wins, 4 losses).
Complexity Shape
We continue the analysis of the match CoL - G2 with the analysis of CoL's game form. In this match they are playing as an outsider, and the odds for their victory are around 2.3.
Complexity played at IEM Masters Cologne 2023, where they finished early. CoL crashed out at the Long Island Play-In, losing to OG and finishing in the top 24.
- Complexity lineup: JT, Grim, hallzerk, cxzi, nicx.
Complexity partially overcame the failure by winning the local Thunderpick World Championship 2023: North America Series #2. Nouns were defeated in the grand finals.
In the first match at the EPL S18 Complexity faced 9INE. The Poles put up a good fight, but couldn't pull out a win - the result was 2-1 in favour of CoL. In the match to come here Complexity surprised perhaps everyone. They ran over Cloud9 with an ice rink, closing the series 2-0 in their favour. They didn't manage to play long in the play-offs. CoL went straight to the second round of the main stage, but there they lost to Monte with a 1-2 score, finishing in the top-12.
Before the IEM Sydney 2023 Long Convergence, Monte fuelled themselves with a win on American Blast. They defeated Team Liquid 2-0 in the grand final of the qualifier, thus earning themselves a place at the autumn finals.
In the first round of IEM Sydney 2023 CoL played against Monte. Ukrainian club gave a fight, but the forces were enough only for 9 rounds. Next, the Americans met with the "samurai" from G2 Esports. They gave a fight, but it was not enough: as a result, G2 closed the series with a score of 2-0, giving the Americans a total of 14 rounds. After the defeat from G2 in the group stage, Complexity seemed to go off the chain: the club started to gain momentum and go head-to-head: first 2-1 against Cloud9, then a confident 2-0 against Monte, and then - play-offs. In the main stage of IEM Sydney 2023 CoL ran over BB Team (2-0) in the first round, and in the semi-finals they avenged their group loss to G2 Esports by knocking M0nesy and company out of the tournament with a 2-0 win.
After a top performance at IEM Sydney 2023, CoL travelled to play Thunderpick World Championship 2023. There the result was more modest - now top 9 with a 1-2 loss to MOUZ.
At BLAST Premier: Fall Finals 2023 Complexity got into Group A, where they played two matches. In the first, they beat Astralis 2-0, followed by Ledge and Vitality (1-2) in the play-offs seeding match. In the first round of play-offs Complexity played against Natus Vincere. The match ended in favour of the Americans, although the game was close (2-1).
CoL finished their way through BLAST Premier: Fall Finals 2023 in the second round of the play-offs, and fell out after a meeting with FaZe. As a result, CoL finished in the top 4 at BLAST Premier: Fall Finals 2023 and lost their chance to play at the World Final.
Next up was Elisa Masters Espoo 2023 and ESL Challenger at DreamHack Atlanta 2023. At the former CoL finished in the top 8, and at the latter they finished in the top 6.
The 2024 season started with a victory at the American PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: North American Qualifier, but then - failure. It happened at the BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2024 tournament, where the Americans took TOP-16. In addition, they played at PGL Major Copenhagen 2024, where they finished in the top-11.
Before playing at IEM Dallas 2024 CoL visited ESL Pro League Season 19, where they reached TOP-4. At IEM Dallas 2024 Complexity made it to the Top 16, then made it to the Top 8 at YaLLa Compass 2024 and won ESL Challengers at DreamHack Summer 2024.
They also attended ESports World Cup 2024, where they failed to make it out of the Opening Stage. They got to IEM Cologne 2024 thanks to ESL NA rating. At the championship itself they played very "average", ranking TOP-9-12. In addition, they played at BLAST Premier: Fall Showdown 2024, where they finished at TOP-8.
ESL Pro League S20 opened with a match against M80, where they lost 0-2 without a chance. They defeated Astralis and MOUZ in the middle set of their group, but lost to BIG in the last chance set. Already there the team beat MOUZ again, thus knocking out their place in the main stage. In the first round of play-offs CoL sensationally beat FaZe with the score 2-0. However, it was not possible to pass further, because Liquid got in the way, who knocked out CoL at the stage of TOP-12.
After a very cheerful ESL Pro League S20, CoL played at the Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024, where they finished in the top-12. At PW Shanghai Major 2024, CoL made it to the PW Shanghai Major 2024 thanks to a top-3-5 finish at American RMR (3-1 score).
Chinese Major CoL Long CoL started with a defeat by FlyQuest, which was the main sensation of the first round, and then lost to Passion UA. However, we managed to pull ourselves together in the following games and got two clean wins over Imperial and C9. In the match for life we lost, Ledgeiv BIG with the score 2-3.
We played BLAST Bounty Season 1. Well, as played, tried to play, but failed miserably, taking there the top-32.
At the IEM Katowice 2025 CoL Long Season 1 we played the expected defeat from Eternal Fire with the score 0-2. Next was a lower grid match against Liquid, a 0-2 loss and a final top-28 ranking.
They continued the 2025 season with a game at PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, where they finished in the top-14, failing to advance past the group stage. After failing in Cluj-Napoca, CoL attended another PGL tournament - PGL Bucharest 2025. There they defeated FURIA and Falcons, but in the match for the play-offs Ledge and G2. However, at the second attempt they got to the main stage, beating FaZe with the score 2-0. In the play-offs PGL Bucharest 2025 CoL beat Aurora 2-1.
Complexity's mappool
Complexity's mappool is pretty sad. The most successful map is Overpass with 5 wins in 9 matches.
They can also play Nuke, Ancient and Anubis. But there they have 33% wins each, with a very poor record of 6 and 3 maps respectively.
History of head-to-head meetings between G2 and CoL
The last time the teams played each other was recently, in the group stage of PGL Bucharest 2025, where G2 won 2-1.
Predicted result of Complexity vs G2 Esports at PGL Bucharest 2025
In this match I expect a similar outcome to what we saw in the group stage. I expect G2 to win, but not an easy one. I bet on a total of +2.5.
Total +2.5.
