Match Prediction: OG - Team Aster | Dota 2
PGL Arlington Major 2022 - PlayoffOG is the 1st team in the world ranking. They play at PGL Arlington Major 2022 with the 1st substitution (Misha -> Ceb). Also, the coach of the Chuvash team is absent from the tournament. In the first match, they gave away the 1st map to Fnatic, but this is the fault of OG themselves. The 2nd card is calmly taken with a clear advantage. The second match turned out to be very beautiful games against Team Liquid. On the first map, Liquid took the initiative from the very beginning and did not let go of their advantage. On the second, everything turned out quite the opposite. The result is 1:1 in both games. In the third match against PSG.LGD showed good resistance in the first game and even led 8k, but couldn't finish on time. The 2nd map was completely dominated by LGD. 0:2. In the next match, Susquehanna Soniqs stomped OG on the first map with no chance, but OG came back on the second map and equalized. Then the match was able to defeat RNG 2:0 in 30 minutes for 2 games. Thunder Awaken had a good fight on both maps, but OG managed to emerge victorious on both. In the next match, VP were outplayed 0:2, but then they easily finished with Talon 2:0. We took 3rd place in the group, sharing it with Fnatic. In their first playoff match, the team Entity Gaming passed in the upper bracket. Again they tried to compete with the leader of the Chinese rating and even had to win on the 3rd decisive map, but again LGD surprised everyone and still took the match. Falling down the bottom grid hit the beastcoast. It turned out to be a very beautiful series, from which OG emerged victorious. In the last game, bzm showed something incredible on ember (27 0 23).
Team Aster is the 3rd team in the Chinese ranking. The group stage at PGL Arlington Major 2022 was very successful for the team. In the first match, we dismantled Evil Geniuses on the first map without any problems. The second map turned out to be very competitive. EG had a monetary advantage, but Aster showed the wonders of the team fight and emerged victorious in it. In the match against Entity, we managed to take the first 50-minute map with a mid pudge. During the second map, they confidently gained advantage, and at the moment it became so big that Entities could no longer fight. We confidently defeated Natus Vincere on the first map, but on the second map Navi showed a decent game and managed to finish it in their favor. Draw. In the fourth match, Team Spirit should have won on the first map, but they reached such a state that it was no longer possible to do anything with the morph, but they calmly finished on the second one. Also a draw. In the next match, they moved Beastcoast on the first map, but for some reason decided to give them the second one. Then we dealt with Tundra without a chance. And in the last match, a draw against Boom. They do not have a single defeat in the group. Finished the group stage in 1st place. We started the playoff stage with a confident victory over Fnatic 2:0, but stumbled over Team Spirit 0:2, where we could not resist the pressure of our guys. We managed to kill Entity 2:1 and went to OG.
Og show a very beautiful DotA in the last matches. As for Aster, some questions remain. I'm leaning towards OG winning this match. Let me remind you, the match for reaching the finals of the lower bracket.
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OG win!
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Prediction for the duel between OG and Team Aster within the lower bracket of the playoffs PGL Arlington Major 2022. OG defeated beastcoast today with a score of 2:1, and Team Aster definitely watched the game and made conclusions about Arc Warden/Ember Spirit/Elder Titan.
Team Aster defeated fnatic 2:0 in the playoffs, lost to Team Spirit 0:2, and defeated Entity 2:1 in the lower bracket.
Roster OG
- Yuragi
- bzm
- ATF
- Ceb
- Taiga
Team Aster roster
- Monet
- Ori
- xxs
- BoBoKa
- Siamese.C
OG results at PGL Arlington Major 2022 (9 maps won - 7 lost)
- Victory in the match with beastcoast with a score of 2:1 (Play-offs)
- Lost in a match with PSG.LGD with a score of 1:2 (Playoffs)
- Win the match with Entity with a score of 2:1 (Playoffs)
- Victory in the match with Royal Never Give Up with a score of 2:0
- Victory in a match with Thunder Awaken with a score of 2:0
- Victory in the match with Talon Esports with a score of 2:0
- Draw in the match with Team Liquid with a score of 1:1
- Draw in the match with Soniqs with a score of 1:1
- Draw with fnatic 1:1
- Lost in a match with the Outsiders with a score of 0:2
- Lost in a match with PSG.LGD with a score of 0:2
Frequently used OG heroes (only PGL Arlington Major 2022 was taken into account)
- Yuragi: Lone Druid/Juggernaut/Nature`s Prophet/Morphling/Ursa/Bristleback
- bzm: Puck/Batrider/Keeper of the Light/Pangolier/Night Stalker
- ATF: Monkey King/Razor/Viper/Huskar/Slardar
- Taiga: Chen/Marci/Nyx Assassin/Enigma
- Ceb: IO/Earthshaker/Windranger/Elder Titan
Team Aster results at PGL Arlington Major 2022
- Win the match with Entity with a score of 2:1 (Playoffs)
- Lost in a match with Team Spirit with a score of 0:2 (Playoffs)
- Winning the match with fnatic with a score of 2:0 (Playoffs)
- Victory in the match with Tundra Esports with a score of 2:0
- Win the match with Entity with a score of 2:0
- Winning the match with Evil Geniuses with a score of 2:0
- Draw 1:1 against BOOM Esports
- Draw 1:1 in the match with NAVI
- Draw 1:1 in the match with beastcoast
- Draw 1:1 in the match with Team Spirit
If OG is well drafted, it will be easy against Team Aster, no matter how much I like the Chinese, their pool of heroes will definitely affect. You shouldn't give away OG, not Chen, not Razor, not Elder Titan, not Arc Warden, plus a lot of bzm heroes.
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I'm definitely for OG, but it's better to bet LIVE after the drafts. It can be seen that ATF is somehow not very in shape, but the supports Taiga + Ceb play cool and of course bzm in the mid lane, Yuragi, as he played disgustingly, continues to play, of course there are minimal changes, but with Aster it will be very interesting.
- OG win - odds 1.692
- Team Aster win - odds 2.27
- Over 2.5 on cards - coefficient 1.96
- TM 2.5 on cards - odds 1.79
Team Aster had problems on the decisive with Entity, they lost 14k, but there was Death Prophet from Ori, but it seems to me that Brewmaster did a lot in that game. OG should win, expect 3 maps, but bzm can work it out. Against the Chinese, you should not give up Dazzle/Wintern Wyvern/Terrorblade, but the last TB can be covered by Morphling/Phantom Lancer, which Yuragi has in the pool.
Prediction: OG will beat Team Aster - odds 1.692; with a risk of 2:1 - coefficient 3.34
Bookmakers & Statistics
At the moment, the majority of bookmakers unanimously see the team Team Aster as the favorite of the game with average odds on a victory in the sum of 1.931. OG chances to prevail are evaluated with average odds 2.394 by bookmakers.
What the team performance statistics say
Last Matches | OG | Team Aster |
5 matches (wins) | 3 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 6 | 6 |
Also it makes sense to remember the statistics of the matches between the teams.
The teams played 2 matches with each other before.
In these battles OG got 1 victories while Team Aster managed to take 1 matches.