Match Prediction: OG - Evil Geniuses | Dota 2

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We've made a betting tip on the OG vs Evil Geniuses match in the last hope grid in the play-offs of the ESL One Berlin Major 2023. The match promises to be a heated one at The International, as a pass to the top 4 is at stake, where clubs get 350 DPC points each.

Both teams have come quite a long way and certainly don't plan on going down that road. We took them through all the details of the Berlin Major, from the group stage to the previous play-offs, and now we're ready to tell you what to expect and who will advance to the next round of the tournament.

Let's get started

OG Form

We'll start the breakdown with an analysis of OG's playing form. The European side is widely regarded as the favourite.

Bookmakers put odds on OG to win at 1.6. That number is dubious, because the OG have not yet shown a really high level of play-offs.

We can recall the group stage, where nominally the worst team in the WEU DPC set the heat - OG passed the group stage with almost no problems, given their pre-tournament status and problems with the composition. In Group B at ESL One Berlin Major 2023, OG played with a 4-4-0 statistic without giving up a single series, which is thrilling and surprising.

One is surprised not so much by the fact of such a game, given the Sunflowers' previous performances, but by the fact that they are playing with two stand-ins. Chu and DM, who didn't get their visas, didn't make it to the tournament.

• OG line-up: Yuragi, bzm, MC, Taiga, Kitrak .

MC and Kitrak stepped up their line-up and bounced through the group stage like a wow-effect. The play-offs, however, are another matter entirely, but even here OG managed to surprise.

In the first round of the main leg of The Berlin Major 2023, the team defeated Team Liquid, who are looking for themselves in this championship. Already in the next series, they were overtaken by the Gaimin Gladiators, which was a rather expected result.

The most popular OG characters

Among the favourite OG characters at the ESL One Berlin Major: Keeper of the Light (6 matches, 83% wins), Phantom Lancer (5 matches, 60% wins).

Among the most successful: Crystal Maiden (4 games, 100% wins), Underlord (4 matches, 100% wins), Alchemist (3 matches, 100% wins), Storm Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins), Storm Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins), Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins).

Ready to believe in a gambit from OG - pick them as the winner of the match at odds in the region of 1.6.

We will talk about Evil Geniuses.

Evil Geniuses form

We continue the showdown with an analysis of the Evil Geniuses' form. In this match, the Evil Geniuses will play in underdog status, as hinted at by the bookmakers.

The odds for EG's victory at the bookmakers' are around 2.2. Such a figure seems a bit excessive to me.

It's not difficult to understand why EG are the underdogs. The team played their home Major tournament rather poorly, and at home they failed to defeat probably their only serious opponent - beastcoast.

Not too well for EG in DreamLeague Season 19 either. Although the Evil Geniuses made it to the second round of the championship, they could not rise above the Top 8.

ESL One Berlin Major 2023 Pakazs and company also got off on the wrong foot. In the group stage, they played drab, not really losing, but not winning either.

• Evil Geniuses line-up: Pakazs, Chris Luck, Wisper, Matthew, Pandaboo.

As it turned out, Evil Geniuses were 8-8 in the group stage and qualified for the play-offs only after the re-match. But what a game they started to show here.

Evil Geniuses went 2-0 in both of their matches against Shopify Rebellion and Talon Esports. The hero of the series with Talon was Chris Luck, who has long been in the shadow of the more impressive Wisper and Pakazs.

Evil Geniuses' most popular heroes

The top most popular Evil Geniuses heroes were Beastmaster and Death Prophet. Both heroes were taken 8 times each and had a 75% win rate.

After DP and Primal Beast, Leshrac was the most often played at the third position. He appeared 6 times and had a 66% win rate.

Marci (5 games, 60% wins), Templar Assassin (4 games, 100% wins), and Jakiro (4 games, 100% win) also made picks.

If you are ready to watch the Evil Geniuses gallop onwards - bet on the victory of the Peruvian five with odds in the region of 2.2.

History of head-to-head encounters between OG and Evil Geniuses

Previously, the teams managed to play in DreamLeague Season 19 - Group Stage 2. That was a 2-1 victory for EG.

Match result

In this match OG will be in a knowingly disadvantageous position, as EG play in full squad and accelerated a lot in the course of play-offs, for me they will be a preferable option for betting. If you ask me, what they show in the main stage of the Berlin tournament is far more interesting than OG beating Liquid.

Bottom line: Evil Geniuses win.