Match Prediction: Evil Geniuses - PSG.LGD | Dota 2
DreamLeague Season 20 - Group Stage 2Good to see you on EGamersWorld.
The second group stage of DreamLeague Season 20 continues with betting odds on PSG.LGD vs Evil Geniuses. One of the central fights of day 3 of game day 2 of the group stage.
Although there are no big names on the signings this season such as Gaimin Gladiators, Team Liquid and others, this does not take away from the importance of the game. In this particular tournament, both PSG.LGD and Evil Geniuses are showing their best side, and their games are a pleasure to watch.
It's especially good to see a PSG.LGD performance. There are chances to see a "revival" of the top club, but it's too early to tell.
What we can do now, however, is talk about the potential winner of the match and analyse the position of the teams at Long Cogne of the game. That's what we'll do.
Form PSG.LGD
We begin our analysis of the match by analysing the playing form of PSG.LGD. In this match they play at number one.
That's what the bookies are pointing to. The odds of PSG.LGD winning this match are estimated to be around 1.7.
It's been a long time since PSG.LGD have been favourites in international matches. And for good reason: PSG.LGD are far from consistent good play in the 2023 season.
PSG.LGD were only good in their home DPC 2023: China Upper Division. Their entire portfolio in 2023 consists of top-3 regional league appearances: twice top-1 (DPC 2023: Tour 1 and DPC 2023: Tour 3) and top-2 on DPC 2023: Tour 2.
On the international stage, PSG.LGD failed The Lima Major 2023, where they crashed out in the first round of play-offs. The second Major season was no better than the first, PSG.LGD again flew out in the first round of play-offs taking the top-12 in the tournament. In addition, the team missed out on DreamLeague S19.
- PSG.LGD: shiro, NothingToSay, niu, planet, y`.
PSG.LGD have gone to DreamLeague Season 20 and seem to have the most serious intentions. That's evident from their performance in the first round of the group stage, as well as from the second group stage matches. Especially pleasing was the game against Spirit, where PSG.LGD resorted to not the most popular decisions in spades and still outclassed the Dragons.
PSG.LGD's most popular heroes
The most frequent guest of PSG.LGD picks at DreamLeague S20 is Techies (5 matches, 60% wins). Next are Void Spirit and Magnus with 4 matches and 75% wins.
Opponents should watch out for Phantom Lancer (3 matches, 100% wins). Skywrath Mage (3 matches, 66% wins), and Ember Spirit (3 matches, 66% wins) are also peaking.
Evil Geniuses uniforms
Let's move on to a review of Evil Geniuses' playing form. In this match, they are playing the number two.
The bookmakers don't particularly believe in EG's success, but they leave room for manoeuvre. The odds of an EG win are estimated at around 2.1.
And it seems to be an ideal figure for EG. All season long, the team has been on the "borderline" position, sandwiched between the top clubs and the strong midfielders.
In the first round of DPC 2023 SA Division 1 Evil Geniuses finished second. Lacking a win against Beastcoast. Later, they attended The Lima Major 2023, where they more than made up for their home league loss by finishing in the top 6 at the Peruvian tournament.
Then they play the second round of the DPC in South America and again top-2, and again Beastcoast are ahead. Once again, however, the international scene helps, where EG, in the ESL One Berlin Major 2023, are already in the top 4, being the highest-scoring team from the region in history.
In the third DPC round, Evil Geniuses finally clawed their way to the top of the regional scene. Evil Geniuses won DPC 2023: SA Division 1.
- Evil Geniuses line-up: Pakazs, Chris Luck, Wisper, Matthew, Pandaboo.
At DreamLeague Season 20 Evil Geniuses played very erratically. So much so that in the first round of the group stage they had to replay their matches against Team Secret and Tundra Esports.
It seems that on a wave of enthusiasm, EG continued to shine in the second stage of DreamLeague Season 20. At least in the first match of the new stage, EG beat Talon and did so very confidently.
Evil Geniuse's most popular heroes
The top most popular Evil Geniuses heroes were Beastmaster and Death Prophet. Both heroes were taken 8 times each and had a 75% win rate.
Following DP and Primal Beast was Leshrac, and most often he was played in the third position. He appeared 6 times and had a 66% win rate.
In addition, Marci (5 matches, 60% wins), Templar Assassin (4 matches, 100% wins), Jakiro (4 matches, 100% wins).
History of PSG.LGD - Evil Geniuses head-to-head encounters
PSG.LGD and Evil Geniuses have played each other three times this year. The first game ended in a draw twice (DL S20 and The Lima Major 2023). The Berlin Major 2023 saw a clean sweep for PSG.LGD.
The outcome of the match
In this game I expect a chaotic, in a good sense of the word, Dota. Both teams look innovative in relation to the other participants in DreamLeague S20, and therefore I expect a lively game from their clash.
As for the winner, I see PSG.LGD. The Chinese squad had adapted well to the 7.33d patch that was issued in the middle of the tournament, as we saw in their match against Spirit.
Bottom line: victory for PSG.LGD.
PSG.LGD is the 9th team in the world rankings. The team is not having the best of times. In the Chinese region, PDC finished the first round in 1st place, beating all their opponents without a chance. But at the Lima Major, they failed to achieve high results and the team left the tournament with 9-12th places. The second round of the DPC was also quite good. As a result, they ended up in 2nd place, leaving behind Xtreme Gaming. DreamLeague organization decided to skip it. Berlin major also held not too successfully. They took the same 9-12th position in the table. In the 3rd round, DPC again took the lead in the table.
Evil Geniuses is the 4th team in the world ranking. All 3 rounds DPC manage to end up in 2nd place only, as they can't get past beastcoast at all, but the team is obviously stronger than bc, taking into consideration the results of the latest majors. EG managed to take the 5th-6th place at the Lima Major, though if they hadn't made a stupid mistake, they could have got higher. Nevertheless, the result is still decent. The Dreamleague Season 19 was slightly worse, ending up in 7th place. At the Berlin Major, they managed to climb to 4th place, which is a very strong achievement.
I don't understand why LGD are favourites in this match, but I have a lot more faith in EG after watching their matches. But so as not to take any chances, I'll just take the outsider's handicap.
I'm a prognosticator, I live only by it. I dedicate all my time to it. No other interests.
I have been doing this for a long time and I have had some success. Believe it or not, it's up to everyone. But why not give it a try? Maybe you like this life too!
Prediction: Handicap +1.5 EG!
Sign up to Telegram, you will find more predictions of matches and live analytics during games there. This is really useful.
Telegram Group: https:/t.me/YAPOBEDILVSEH
Bookmakers & Statistics
All bookmakers have agreed that PSG.LGD is the favorite. This can be noticed because odds on them are 1.41. This number in the favor of Evil Geniuses amounts 4.001. Respectively, the last ones are the underdogs of the upcoming match.
What the team performance statistics say
Last Matches | Evil Geniuses | PSG.LGD |
5 matches (wins) | 4 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 7 | 6 |
Gamblers will definitely be interested in the statistics of personal meetings between the teams. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 20 matches with each other. In these matches Evil Geniuses won 8 times, PSG.LGD active consisits of 9 wins.