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We continue to watch the action at ESL One Bangkok 2024, the final event of the 2024 competitive season. The play-offs stage is heating up there.
We'll talk about the Liquid vs Falcons matchup, which will take place in the lower grid. The winner of bo3 series moves on, the loser - leaves the championship.
We are trying to figure out who of the pair Falcons - Liquid will be stronger and will go to the next stage of play-offs ESL One Bangkok 2024.
Let's go.
Falcons form
Let's open the breakdown of the Falcons vs Liquid match with an analysis of Falcons' form. In this match they play as favourites with odds to win at around 1.6.
The tag is not a new one, but they have not been able to achieve much fame since coming to Dota 2 a few years ago. All they did was to play in the local Saudi eLeague. They played there in 2020, with the top 6 and in 2021, with the top 3 and top 1 respectively.
After a pause of a year, decided to return to the professional scene after Valve cancelled the DPC system. Breaking in with a leg.
- Falcons roster: skiter, Malr1ne, Cr1t, Sneyking.
The roster was assembled according to the "golden roster" principle. We managed to get two players from Tundra Esports, and also The International 2023 champions Skiter and Sneyking, Cr1t, who played for Shopify Rebellion and EG before, ATF, who showed good performance last season in PSG Quest and before that in Nigma with OG, and closed everything with promising mid laner Marl1ne.
In the MENA region, where Falcons are based, this squad has no competition even at the skilla level. As it happens, the Falcons have already clinched their ticket to Kuala Lumpur 2023.
First, they passed the open qualification without any difficulty, and then, again without much trouble, slammed the closed part of the qualifiers. In the final, by the way, they beat PSG Quest by a score of 3-1. What one and two are doing in the MENA region is not entirely clear, but come on.
At Pinnacle: 25 Year Anniversary Show Falcons look very confident so far, which is to be expected. They have already earned their place in the play-offs by coming out of Group B in first place without losing a single game in three matches.
The Falcons started their appearance in the Pinnacle play-offs: 25 Year Anniversary Show with a first round match against Level Up. An easy win took the Falcons to The dudley boys and there the Falcons got their first and only loss of the tournament. They were beaten by The dudley boys, who were given a rematch by the Falcons in the grand final.
In the end, the Pinnacle: 25 Year Anniversary Show Falcons took first place and earned $50,000. The triumph at the local championship was the Falcons' first win in the discipline. But not the last.
After winning at Pinnacle, Falcons finished top 6 at ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 and then started to dominate. In 2024, they won 3 qualifiers: at BB Dacha, at DreamLeague Season 22 and ESL One Birmingham at their home in the MENA region.
Just before competing at DL Season 22, Falcons became BB Dacha champions, earning $400,000.
After the Falcons played at DreamLeague Season 22. They showed the highest level of play and pocketed another trophy by beating BB 3-0 in the grand finals. They made it to the Elite League finals, but couldn't win there: Xtreme Gaming proved to be stronger and won the final with a score of 3-1.
In the group stage of ESL One Birmingham 2024 Falcons played at the TOP-1 of Group A. However, the Falcons lost to Tundra 1-2 in the first round of the play-offs. In the bottom set of the play-offs, Falcons defeated Team Liquid by a 0-1 margin. Subsequently, the club from Saudi Arabia managed to win the tournament, running over BB Team in the grand finals.
Falcons went on to continue their winning streak as they won DreamLeague Season 23, FISSURE Universe: Ep. 3 and Dacha 2024, but fell short at The International 2024, finishing in the top 4. One of the few top teams that kept their roster after The International 2024.
DreamLeague Season 24 passed the first group stage confidently: they became the best team of Group B, winning it with the score 5-2-0. But the second part of the group stage is not easy, because as of the penultimate day of games, 6 November, they have a score of 3-2, which is far from guaranteeing passage to the play-offs. However, they managed to get through to the play-offs, and there happened classic Falcons: the road to the grand final and victory there with a score of 3-1 against BB Team.
Falcons also visited BLAST Slam I. There, the most titled team of 2024 managed to finish in the top 8.
At ESL One Bangkok 2024, Falcons finished top-1 in Group A with a 3-2 win. They faced BB Team in the first round of play-offs, where they failed to win and fell to the bottom set with a 1-2 score.
Falcons most popular heroes
Mars (6 matches, 66% wins), Pango (5 matches, 60% wins), Hoodwink (5 matches, 60% wins), Doom (4 matches, 75% wins), Shadow Demon (4 matches, 75% wins) appeared in the picks most often.
Liquid's form
We continue watching the Liquid vs Falcons match with an analysis of Liquid's match form. In this match, Liquid will play as the underdog with odds to win at around 2.3.
At DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 Tour 1 Liquid did not lose a single match, and then took the top 2 at The Lima Major 2023, while playing with substitutes. More than decent.
The second round of the DPC was as similar to the previous round as possible. Liquid again took the Top 1, but now with only one loss in the table. On the international stage, Liquid shone again, but were still overshadowed by Gaimin Gladiators, who took their second Major a Champions Cup of the season.
In their third season, Liquid were no longer able to cement their supremacy. "Liquid" fell to fourth place, but it was good enough to pass at Bali Major 2023, which in the case of the past at The International 2023 Team Liquid does not play any role.
- Liquid line-up: miCKe, Nisha, SaberLight, Boxi, Insania.
After the disappointing result at DreamLeague Season 20, where Team Liquid fell out of the first group stage, there was a feeling that Bali Major 2023 would be held for Liquid at the International 2023. However, Liquid decided to switch on and play to the fullest.
And they almost succeeded: they took the top 2, losing in the grand final to Gaimin Glaidators! Again. Third time at a Major tournament in a year.
Riyadh Masters 2023 Team Liquid started at the Play-In stage, as they surprisingly didn't collect enough ESL ranking points. They finished the Play-In with a 3-1-1 score and second place in Basket A, and then played the group stage with a 3-3-1 statistic, advancing to the top set of play-offs.
At the end of the biggest tournament of the year, Team Liquid finished in the top 2, which can't be called a bad result. Unlike the top-10 at DreamLeague Season 21, which was after the Riyadh Masters 2023 and before Longsong The International 2023.
Team Liquid made it to the next round of the group stage pretty confidently from Group B. "Liquid" took the top 1 by taking a 3-1-0 lead in the series.
In the play-offs seeding match, Liquid faced Evil Geniuses. The Peruvians are not happy at this The International 2023, from which they expectedly lost 0-2 against Liquid.
In the first round of play-offs LIquid met Talon Esports. They won on class, taking two maps. What is true, further went not according to plan: a loss from Spirit and then Gaimin Gladiators, already at the bottom of the table. At the end of the main event of the year Team Liquid took the top 6.
The new season began with a performance at Kuala Lumpur 2023, where they reached TOP-2. In 2024 they played everywhere they could. They also went to BB Dacha and made it to the TOP-2 (lost in the final to Falcons), played on DL Season 22. DreamLeague Season 22 was definitely not a priority, as Liquid were so out of shape that they didn't make it out of the group stage.
There was the 1win series tournament, where Ledge or Spirit went 1-2 in the grand finals and Elite League, where they finished top 4.
At ESL One Birmingham 2024, Team Liquid finished in the top 6, with Ledge beating future champions Falcons. PGL Wallachia Season 1 the team started with a win over G2.IG, then lost 2 series to Xtreme and Shopify Rebellion before beating MOUZ. Finally, they defeated their counterparts from Secret, thus advancing to the play-offs with a score of 3-2.
Next, Liquid played at DreamLeague S23, where they finished in the top 10. In July of the 2024 season, Liquid made it to the grand finals of the Riyadh Masters 2024 and then Top 1 at Elite League Season 2. However, the main triumph of Liquid was The International 2024, where Liquid showed themselves extravagantly, where they reached the grand finals and already there they beat Gaimin Gladiators 3-0 without any problems.
Team Liquid played well in the first round of the group stage of DL Season 24, where they played with a score of 3-3-1, taking the top 2 in their basket. However, they failed to make it past the "second" group stage, and Liquid finished in the top 6 at the end of the tournament. Liquid also played at BLAST SLAM I, the first tournament from BLAST TO, where they finished in the top 6.
At ESL One Bangkok 2024, Team Liquid Long Competed with a very sluggish performance in Group B, where they managed to claw their way into the Top 4. In the first match of the play-offs, Liquid had no trouble beating Shopify Rebellion 2-0.
Team Liquid's most popular heroes
Team Liquid has Crystal Maiden in the top picks with 7 games and 6 wins.
In addition to Crystal Maiden picks Doom (4 matches, 100% wins), Sven (4 matches, 75% wins), Skywrath Mage (4 matches, 75% wins).
Rubick (4 matches, 25% wins), Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins) appear in spades, Underlord, Pangolier, Storm Spirit have 3 matches each and all have 2 wins.
History of head-to-head meetings between Liquid and Falcons
The teams have played each other several times in the season 2024 and the score is 4-1 in favour of Falcons.
Predicted result of the match Falcons - Liquid at ESL One Bangkok 2024
In this match I expect a full-fledged Bo3. Both teams know each other very well in terms of playstyle and it is evident from the number of face-to-face meetings they had with each other in the 2024 season.
Bottom line: total +2.5.
