Match Prediction: Team Falcons - OG | Dota 2

Welcome to EGamersWorld.

The ESL One Birmingham 2024 playoffs are heating up. We continue to watch the lower grid of the season's first LAN tournament.

In the match for the top 3 ESL One Birmingham 2024 will play OG - Falcons. The winner will advance to the final of the Loseers, while the loser will leave the championship at the TOP-4 stage.

Let's find out who will be stronger in this match and go to the TOP-3, and who will be one step away from the prize podium.

Let's go.

Falcons shape

Let's open the match with an analysis of the Falcons' form. In this match the world's top 1 team will play as favourites with odds to win at 1.4.

The tag is not a new one, but they have not been able to achieve much fame since coming to Dota 2 a few years ago. All they did was to play in the local Saudi eLeague. They played there in 2020, with the top 6 and in 2021, with the top 3 and top 1 respectively.

After a pause of a year, decided to return to the professional scene after Valve cancelled the DPC system. Breaking in with a leg.

• Falcons roster: skiter, SumaiL, ATF, Cr1t, Sneyking.

When collecting the roster, we went by the principle of "golden lineup". We managed to get two players from Tundra Esports, and at the same time champions of The International 2023 Skiter and Sneyking, Cr1t, who previously played for Shopify Rebellion and previously for EG, ATF, who showed a good performance last season in PSG Quest and before that in Nigma with OG, and closed everything with a promising mid laner Marl1ne.

In the MENA region, where Falcons are based, this squad has no competition even at the skilla level. As it happens, the Falcons have already clinched their ticket to Kuala Lumpur 2023.

First, they passed the open qualification without any difficulty, and then, again without much trouble, slammed the closed part of the qualifiers. In the final, by the way, they beat PSG Quest by a score of 3-1. What one and two are doing in the MENA region is not entirely clear, but come on.

At Pinnacle: 25 Year Anniversary Show Falcons look very confident so far, which is to be expected. They have already earned their place in the play-offs by coming out of Group B in first place without losing a single game in three matches.

The Falcons started their appearance in the Pinnacle play-offs: 25 Year Anniversary Show with a first round match against Level Up. An easy win took the Falcons to The dudley boys and there the Falcons got their first and only loss of the tournament. They were beaten by The dudley boys, who were given a rematch by the Falcons in the grand final.

In the end, the Pinnacle: 25 Year Anniversary Show Falcons took first place and earned $50,000. The triumph at the local championship was the Falcons' first win in the discipline. But not the last.

After winning at Pinnacle, Falcons finished top 6 at ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 and then started to dominate. In 2024, they won 3 qualifiers: at BB Dacha, at DreamLeague Season 22 and ESL One Birmingham at their home in the MENA region.

Just before competing at DL Season 22, Falcons became BB Dacha champions, earning $400,000.

After the Falcons played at DreamLeague Season 22. They showed the highest level of play and pocketed another trophy by beating BB 3-0 in the grand finals. They made it to the Elite League finals, but couldn't win there: Xtreme Gaming proved to be stronger and won the final with a score of 3-1.

In the group stage of ESL One Birmingham 2024 Falcons played at the TOP-1 of Group A. However, the Falcons lost to Tundra 1-2 in the first round of the play-offs. In the bottom set of the play-offs, Falcons beat Team Liquid by a 0-1 margin.

Most popular Falcons heroes

Io (6 matches, 66% win rate), Death Prophet (5 matches, 60% win rate), Chen (5 matches, 60% win rate), Dawnbreaker (4 matches, 75% win rate), Earth Spirit (4 matches, 75% win rate) appeared most often in spades.

OG Form

We continue the match analysis with the analysis of OG's game form. In this match, the European club will play the number two with odds to win around 2.3.

At DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 Tour 1 OG could not guarantee themselves a top-4 finish and as a consequence missed out on The Lima Major 2023. Things seemed to pick up during the second round of DPC 2023: WEU Division 1. Then OG made a strong-willed comeback and made it to the Top 4 after tiebreaks.

At the Berlin Major, the team played with two stand-ins and made it to the top 6, but it seems that those stand-ins were the secret to their success. After returning to regular season matches with a full roster, OG looked critically bad, but at the last moment they improved.

At DPC 2023: WEU Tour 3, OG Long Team went down to the wire, but managed to keep their place in the top division by finishing in the top 5 in the third round of the professional season. By the way, at the last DreamLeague S19 OG also took 5th place and this is an indicator, but it is unlikely to be repeated in the new season.

• OGroster: Timado, bzm, Wisper, Ari, Ceb.

After a year-long extravaganza, Ceb is the new OG player. OG resorted to their ultimatum weapon during DreamLeague Season 20, but it didn't help them and OG finished in the top 20.

After DreamLeague Season 20, OG attended another championship of a larger calibre, the Riyadh Masters 2023. Unfortunately for them, they ended it on a Minor note - in TOP-14.

"Closed" the season with a performance at the closed Western European qualifiers for The International 2023. The once two-time world champions failed to make it through the most competitive qualifiers and as a result OG flew past The International.

After failing to qualify for the year's biggest tournament, OG finished in the top 4 at DL Season 21 and ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 Western Europe Closed Qualifier.

2024 started the year with a run at BB Dacha 2024 Dubai and a top-2 finish at DreamLeague Season 22 Qualifiers. Then they finished 2nd place at ESL One Birmingham 2024: WEU Qualifiers and Top 12 at BB Dacha Dubai 2024.

Later OG visited DreamLeague Season 22, where they managed to reach the top 6, which is not entirely bad. After that, OG played qualifiers at DL Season 23 and PGL Wallachia, where they were close to winning, but failed there and there. Before playing at ESL One Birmingham 2024, OG played at the Elite League, where they finished in the top 10.

ESL One Birmingham 2024 OG started off with a solid performance in the group stage, winning Group B. In the first round of play-offs they met BB Team, but they couldn't take more than 1 map. The International was more interesting: OG played against G2.IG to get to the top 4 and essentially defeated the top Chinese on two maps, being a very young team.

Most popular OG characters

Favourite OG characters: Keeper of the Light (6 matches, 83% wins), Phantom Lancer (5 matches, 60% wins).

Most successful: Crystal Maiden (4 matches, 100% wins), Underlord (4 matches, 100% wins), Alchemist (3 matches, 100% wins), Storm Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins), Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins).

History of head-to-head meetings between Falcons and OG

Previously the teams have met each other three times. Each club has one win and one draw.

Predicted result of the match OG - Falcons at ESL One Birmingham 2024

In this match my bet is in favour of Falcons. I think OG can fight and take the map, but not more than that.

Bottom line: Falcons win.