Match Prediction: TSM - OG | Dota 2
ESL One Stockholm 2022 MajorThis day came. We are waiting for the finals of ESL One Stockholm 2022.
The DotA community has come a long way since it has not received a full-fledged LAN tournament since 2020. For the first time in a long pause, the Stockholm Major will give us an almost full-fledged final, and definitely full in terms of atmosphere.
Almost full-fledged due to the fact that the Chinese teams did not reach. Full, because of the arena and spectators.
In the most important confrontation of the second DPC round, TSM and OG will play. Perhaps not the most anticipated couple, but they will be able to give a quality DotA.
Form TSM
This time, let's start the review with the team that made it to the grand finals first. This was done by TSM, whose victory is estimated at a coefficient of around 2.4.
The North American club is experiencing a real renaissance at ESL One Stockholm 2022. After a good performance at The International 10 and the experience taken from there, TSM are ready to declare themselves as a grand team.
Composition of TSM
- Timado
- Bryle
- SabeRLight-
- MoonMeander
- DuBu
This final may be the starting point in the development of TSM as a top team. For players like Timado, Bryle, and SabeRLight, the Major final could be a career milestone.
TSM results at ESL One Stockholm 2022
- Victory over Team Spirit with a score of 1-0
- 1-0 victory over Team Liquid
- 2-0 victory over OG
- 2-0 victory over Gaimin Gladiators
- 2-0 victory over Tundra Esports
After replays in Group B, TSM caught a solid winstreak, which in the playoffs turned into a confident passage to the grand final. It is worth noting an interesting approach to the choice of heroes and the performance of individual players: Bryle in the mid lane is often good, and SabeRLight can both win alone and almost lose in solo, which TSM opponents will definitely put pressure on.
Heroes TSM
In this tournament, TSM likes to play Underlord, who has appeared 7 times and has a win rate of 85%. Another classic TSM hero that dominates this tournament, Chaos Knight has appeared 6 times and never lost. Pugna also has an ideal win rate (4 matches, 100% win rate), as well as SabeRLight's signature Night Stalker, who won 3 out of 3 matches on it.
Form OG
OG made it to the grand final second. OG's chance of winning is estimated at 1.47.
The legendary tag has earned itself the status of a favorite in the tournament by advancing to the grand final from the lower bracket. OG had the prerequisites for being called the main contender for victory in Stockholm after the end of the second DPC season, but at the tournament itself they started not in the best way.
Finishing the group stage with a score of 7-5, which is not the most formidable result. In the playoffs, OG completely stumbled over TSM without a chance, losing to them, but then the third map against Fnatic happened and the second wind of the champion tag opened up.
Roster OG
- Yuragi
- bzm
- AMMAR_THE_F
- Taiga
- Ceb
- N0tail (coach)
Still, the Ceb factor, which I have spoken about more than once, plays its role. The Frenchman knows how to find the right words and motivate the team, which is very important for young performers like OG.
OG results at ESL One Stockholm 2022
- 2-0 victory over BOOM
- 2-1 victory over Fnatic
- 2-0 victory over Thunder Awaken
- 2-0 victory over Gaimin Gladiators
- 2-0 victory over Tundra Esports
There is a feeling that this train can no longer be stopped. And it's not even about the game.
Heroes OG
OG's calling card at this tournament is Ceb's Windranger, which appeared 8 times and did not lose a single match. In addition to WR, they choose Razor (7 matches, 71% wins), Enigma (5 matches, 80% wins), Timbersaw (4 matches, 75% wins).
History of personal confrontations
The teams played each other in the first round of the playoffs. Then the victory went to TSM.
Exodus
OG has a good chance to take revenge on the offenders. They will do it.
Bottom line: OG wins with a handicap of -1.5.
The match will be extremely cool, two teams show a crazy performance in this tournament, I'm sure that the American organization pleasantly surprised everyone at this Major. OG also impresses us, I personally thought that they would not be able to reach the finals, but nevertheless, due to desire and execution, they managed to get to the decisive match in this tournament. Now let's think about betting on one of these teams, it was very difficult for me to give preference to one of the teams before the start of the meeting, but I still decided this issue.
TSM prepared well for this tournament, they surprised everyone with their heroes and performance, the team has a wide choice of characters and non-standard ideas that bear fruit. Their region is not so strong, but we see how ready they are today and what opponents they were able to beat, reach the final through the upper bracket - this is very strong. There is a suspicion that they were preparing with different teams from other regions when they were able to get to Stockholm. Yes, unfortunately we did not see their games with Chinese teams, in which case it would be extremely difficult for them, but quarantine made this Major easier for teams from other regions. It seems to me that TSM has a great chance to win today.
Now about OG, the guys are cool interacting on the map, playing for plus morale and enjoying, we see with you the old style of the OG team, which was always present before. I would like to mention the player Ceb, the guy is constantly setting up his team, actively playing in the fifth position and trying to give a lot of benefit to his teammates. Only there is a problem, if the opponent blocks his signature characters in the fifth position, then Ceb starts to fall out of the game. Yes, the team can win the match for him anyway, but if TSM gets a hard lane, then it will be difficult for the OG team to return to the game. I like the performance of the two teams in this tournament, but OG is less stable, yes, the last games were cool, but before that we have seen some problems, it is in the final that they can come out. In this match, I would recommend betting on TSM, they are difficult to read, they are more stable than OG, and can come back into the game even in the most difficult situations. Don't forget about live betting, good luck everyone!
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Bookmakers & Statistics
All bookmakers have agreed that OG is the favorite. This can be noticed because odds on them are 1.393. This number in the favor of TSM amounts 7.013. Respectively, the last ones are the underdogs of the upcoming match.
How the teams played in the last matches
Last Matches | TSM | OG |
5 matches (wins) | 5 | 5 |
10 matches (wins) | 9 | 7 |
The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets. The teams played 1 matches with each other before. In these matches TSM won 1 times, OG active consisits of 0 wins.