Match Prediction: Evil Geniuses - Nouns | Dota 2
DPC NA 2021/2022 Tour 3: Division ITonight, Evil Geniuses and Nouns will fight in the debut match as part of the Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 North America Tour 3 Division 1. Experts from bookmakers consider Evil Geniuses to be a clear favorite to win, who will have to practically “crush” their opponent in the face of Nouns. We believe that it is not worth betting on winning in this case, and their opinion is erroneous.
Evil Geniuses have an interesting lineup. Recently, Tal 'Fly' Aizik joined it, with whom the American team was able to enter the top 3 participants in The International 2018. The fact is certainly amusing, but almost 4 years have passed since that moment and the team is already in a completely different playing shape. Fly took over from JerAx on May 29th. Over the past week, Evil Geniuses could hardly have played as well as the nouns that have been playing together since last year. The last match in which Evil Geniuses took part was the match within the Dota 2 Major tournament, ESL One Stockholm Major 2022. There, EG failed miserably and took the last place in the group stage, becoming the first participant to leave the competition. If it was a Major tournament, which the team had to approach with maximum concentration, then what can we talk about if the team plays in the debut match of the DPC league? The fact that the last meeting was held more than 3 weeks ago in a different composition also plays into the hands of their opponents.
As for nouns, these guys have been playing together for quite a long time and so far they are not going to disband and change their roster. The team was assembled under the 4 Zoomers tag in November last year. The team performed in the last round of Dota Pro Circuit NA Division 1 quite stably, though not with the best results. As a result, the lineup took 5th place and retained its slot for the third round, after which it moved under the banner of nouns. The team has recently participated in official matches within the BTS Pro Series Season 2022. The team won this tournament with a prize pool of $40,000, practically “outrunning” all their opponents and leaving them no chance. Of course, the level of the local participants in the person of Team DogChamp, Infamous and others does not reach EG, however, one should not deny the good playing form of nouns. ZfreeK is in good shape with his teammates and I don't see any reason why they can't put any pressure back on Evil Geniuses.
It is not profitable to bet on Evil Geniuses to win because the odds are too small (1.15), and the chance of their victory is not so great in my opinion to bet large sums on EG to win. Considering a bet on the victory of nouns is also a rather risky option, since on the first map nouns can win EG on courage, and then Fly and his comrades will join the game and turn the tide of the match on maps 2 and 3. Based on the foregoing, I think the best option for a bet is the Handicap market +1.5 cards per nouns. ZfreeK and the company may well close one card without any problems, and even if they don’t win the match after that, then our bet will be played. The coefficient for this market is also quite good. Bookmakers give an average of 2.08 per possible card taken from nouns.
Result: Handicap +1.5 cards in favor of nouns with odds of 2.08
If you put together the events of the last major, then calling EG such a clear favorite simply does not turn your tongue. EG players hardly ever play pubs outside of Nightfall. In addition, Fly has just returned to the team and, with all the desire, there would simply not be enough time to prepare properly. In contrast, they are played by a confident line-up of the most active pubbers, who have been going undefeated for 9 games already. I think Nouns will win, but I save +1.5 for Gunnar's stack. They must master one card for sure.
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Handicap +1.5 (Nouns)
Bookmakers & Statistics
At the moment, the majority of bookmakers unanimously see the team Evil Geniuses as the favorite of the game with average odds on a victory in the sum of 2.404. Nouns chances to prevail are evaluated with average odds 3.13 by bookmakers.
Team statistics in recent matches
Last Matches | Evil Geniuses | Nouns |
5 matches (wins) | 0 | 5 |
10 matches (wins) | 3 | 7 |
The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets. The competitors have held 0 matches. In these battles Evil Geniuses got 0 victories while Nouns managed to take 0 matches.