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The winter season of professional Counter-Strike 2 is rich in top tournaments and events, among which IEM Katowice 2025 stands out. One of the most atmospheric and "lamp" championships in the world of competitive Counter-Strike 2 is getting ready for the 2025 season.
As before, everything will start with the Play-In stage, where 16 teams will play for 8 places in the group stage. Among the contenders to advance to the next stage are Astralis and MIBR.
We are trying to find out which of the pair Astralis - MIBR will be stronger and will qualify for the next stage.
Let's go.
Astralis form
We open the analysis of the match Astralis - MIBR with the analysis of Astralis form. In this match the Danish club will play as favourites with odds to win at around 1.4.
The Danish club had a difficult period. They tried their best to "return" to the TIR-1 scene, but they constantly fell short: Astralis finished top-20 at ESL Pro League Season 17 and top-14 at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: European RMR B.
At lesser tournaments, however, Astralis fared well. The world's most titled team finished Top 2 at Brazy Party, won CCT South Europe Series #4 and finished Top 4 at Pinnacle Cup V.
Returning to the S-Tier Championships, Astralis took Top 6 at IEM Masters Dallas 2023 and Top 8 at BLAST Premier: Fall Groups.
Prior to the BB Dacha, Astralis attended a number of other events. Those were ESL Pro League Season 18 and Roobet Cup 2023, where the once stellar Danes finished in the Top 16.
Just before the Long Convergence, BB Dacha Astralis finished in the Top 4 at CS Asia Championship 2023 and Top 8 at BLAST Premier: Fall Finals. The swing in performance is primarily due to roster manipulation.
- Astralis roster: Staehr, stavn, jabbi, CadiaN, Device.
Before IEM Katowice 2024 they played at BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2024. At the end of the championship the Danes made it to the top 6 and it was enough to get to the BLAST Premier: Spring Final. The IEM Katowice 2024 Astralis failed in the dust and dust: took the top 32, not passing the Play-In stage.
Then there were two attempts to get to the PGL Major Copenhagen 2024, but both were unsuccessful: TOP-11 at European RMR B and TOP-6 at European RMR Decider put an end to Astralis' participation in the home Major.
In the first match of IEM China 2024 Astralis played against steel helmet, as Monte could not make it to China. And if Monte had played there, the score would have been obviously not so crushing as 13-2 in favour of Astralis. Although, judging by the match with FaZe, where Astralis were a head and shoulders above FaZe, shutting down the top 1 team in the world with a score of 2-0, maybe Astralis are very energised for IEM China 2024. In the play-offs of the championship Astralis met FaZe Clan again, but this time they were weaker and lost with the score 1-2 and left the tournament.
Astralis visited ESL Pro League Season 19, where they reached the TOP-4, where in the match for the grand final Ledge and Vitality. Later, they had an identical result at CCT Season 1 Global Finals and YaLLa Compass 2024.
At BLAST Premier: Spring Finals 2024, Astralis played in Group A, where they finished in the top 3. They made it to the play-offs Ledge or Vp and left the tournament at the Top 6 stage. Later Astralis played at IEM Cologne 2024, where they finished top-12.
At the ESL Pro League Season 20 Long Season they were defeated by Fnatic (1-2). Next was a match against CoL (0-2). They finished ESL Pro League Season 20 as ignominiously as they started - losing to CoL and leaving the tournament at the TOP-28 stage.
After such poor results Astralis continued their attempts to return to the TIR-1 stage. For this purpose, they played at BLAST Premier: Fall Final 2024, where they took TOP-8 and at Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024, where they were TOP-12. As you can see, the attempts were not successful.
Astralis did well in the group stage of BLAST Premier: World Final 2024, leaving behind MOUZ, FaZe and NaVi. After winning Group A, Astralis directly qualified for the semi-finals. However, that was the end of their journey through BLAST Premier: World Final 2024, and Spirit advanced to the grand finals.
Astralis Long Sogpeg at PW Shanghai Major 2024: European RMR B with a loss against 9 Pandas, followed by Ledgeili and Sashi Esports. They managed to come together only by the third match against B8. However, the music didn't last long for Astralis and they failed to make it to Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024.
At BLAST Bounty Season 1 Astralis Long started with a victory over Wildcard, but then - NaVi and lost. At the end of BLAST Bounty Season 1, Astralis finished in the top 9-16.
Astralis Mapple
Astralis has two 100% maps. They are Nuke with 9 wins in 14 matches, and Anubis with 5 matches and 4 wins.
They also play Ancient (66% wins in 3 matches). Still playing Mirage (9 matches, 4 wins). Vertigo with 2 wins and 3 losses and Overpass (2 wins in 7 matches).
Inferno are not playing.
MIBR Form
We continue the analysis of the match MIBR - Astralis with the analysis of MIBR form. In this match they play as an outsider with odds to win around 2.6.
In 2023, Long Sogpeg started with an appearance at the Intel Extreme Masters Katowice 2023. At that time, the Brazilians finished in the top 20. Then there were several qualifications, including the IEM Rio Masters 2023. At the Rio itself, they finished Top 16, but before that they won several B-tier tournaments, including ESL Challenger Season 44: North America and CCT North America Series #4.
At the S-tier championships, as unlucky as they were. ESL Pro League Season 17 had a top-28 at ESL Pro League Season 17 and a top-8 at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: American RMR, which prevented them from qualifying for the only Major of the season.
- Composition mibr: exit, insani, drop, saffee, lucaozy.
Prior to the ESL Pro League Season 18, mibr attended a number of other tournaments. ESL Challenger League Season 45, followed by Top 1 there. But at CCT North Europe Series #6, CCT Online Finals #2 and Gamers8 2023 the successes were more modest: TOP-5-8 and TOP-16 respectively.
In the first match of ESL Pro League Season 18, mibr faced MOUZ, the only match of the first round that didn't end in favour of the favourite, as the Brazilians managed to flick MOUZ 2-1.
In the match to qualify for the play-offs, Mibr met ENCE. Despite the different weight classes, the Brazilian five gave ENCE serious competition: two matches ended on dopas (18-22 on Vertigo in favour of ENCE and 19-17 on Anubis), but on Ancient the Brazilians were edged 11-16, thus falling to the lower net.
In the previous match, MIBR played against Ukrainian club Monte. Not without problems, but MIBR closed the series with the score 2-1 in their favour. However, they failed to move further and as a result - TOP-20.
In the season 2024 MIBR did not have the stars in the sky. The team failed the American RMR and held a series of very unproductive tournaments. They finished in the top 6 at BB Dacha, ESL Challengers 47 SA, ESL Challengers at DreamHack 2024. At CCT Season 1 Global Finals and CCT Season 2 South America it was worse - top 12.
MIBR performed at Esports World Cup 2024, where they failed to make it through the Opening Stage. As a result - TOP-15. They also visited IEM Cologne 2024, where they played in a similar way - TOP-20
MIBR made it to PW Shanghai Major 2024 after playing at American RMR, where they finished TOP-1-2, beating Complexity. PW Shanghai Major 2024: Opening Stage Long They started with an important win over Vp, but then lost to The MongolZ and Passion UA, and then defeated Rare Atom. In the 2-2 basket, the team faced MOUZ, where they lost, thus finishing PW Shanghai Major 2024 in the top 12, which is still not a bad result.
In the 2025 season, Long Sogpeg started with an appearance at BLAST Bounty Season 1. There, MIBR didn't have much luck and the Brazilians ended up in TOP-17-32, losing in the first round of qualifiers.
The mibr mappool
The mibr has a pretty narrow pool of cards. Among the most popular are Mirage and Nuke (2 matches and 50% wins on each).
Next is Anubis (5 matches, 2 wins). Among the worst are Inferno and Ancient (3 matches each and 1 win).
History of head-to-head meetings between MIBR and Astralis
The last time the teams crossed each other in the distant 2022.
Predicted result of Astralis vs MIBR at IEM Katowice 2025
You can expect anything from this match. Both teams don't look solid and only rarely manage to show results and those are questionable. In my opinion, the ideal option for the total +2.5.
Bottom line: total +2.5.
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