How You Should not Bet on football?
Yuriy SheremetIt’s no mystery that due to their own inattentiveness the majority of starting bettors tend to choose groundless options for their bets relying on the little odds exceptionally. Unfortunately, such mistakes are difficult to avoid so for starters it is important to learn about all possible hidden pitfalls that occur in . It especially concerns football matches where even tiny odds do not promise a confident victory. As a rule, it is more profitable to bet on middle quotations (from 1.6 to 2.2).
Today’s article covers the most popular mistakes of bettors in football.
Betting on the leading scorer
We often can see situations where a leading scorer loses their own advantage at the end of the meeting drawing it or losing the battle. Unfortunately, situations of this kind often become an obstacle for bettors. It concerns quotations from bookmakers in particular.
To exemplify, at a meeting between two equal teams by the 80th minute, if the score is 1:0, the bookmakers will have set the odds of 1.2 – 1.3 for a leading scorer winning the match. But each mistake of the leading team will set them far from the positive outcome. As a result, the team fails to win.
This situation concerns matches when the team is one scored goal ahead. Betting on this team is rather unprofitable. It is enough to analyze by yourself how many battles end up with unsuccessful results. For example, if there are 35% of battles, the bettor will start to lose the bankroll, if you take into account only the odds of 1.2 – 1.3. However, there are situations when bettors make bets on the odds of 1.05 – 1.15 which is also not a guarantee for success of the chosen option.
If you have a wish to place a bet at the end of the meeting, you should take a closer look at the next goal. As a rule, by the 70th-75th minute bookmakers set profitable odds which could be right in handy for bettors. Alongside, you should watch at least 5-10 minutes of the game. If the match has no worthy highlights, you should not hope for goals. But if the teams play in attack only creating goal moments next to the opponent's net, you should get on total.
Betting on club's popularity
In their betting history, each bettor must have made bets on victory of a particular team using only team's or player's popularity as a reason. For example, Barcelona, Real or Manchester United that are on all football fans' lips.
This is why the biggest part of bettors prefer to bet on such teams referring to the dominant name of the team. However, only some of them think of the possible problems at the upcoming match, as each strong team is able to lose or to draw especially with unpleasant opponents. Here you should use the statistics of face-to-face battles. For instance, Bavaria often loses points against Borussia from Mönchengladbach.
If you want to bet on the popular team, you should initially run a thorough analysis of the meeting and consider all possible aspects that may influence the outcome of the meeting. Even the weather might affect the future results. Absence of key footballers in the favourite team will add doubts about the probable win.
It is obvious that the main solution in the situation is running an analysis of all coming battles. Otherwise, you should blame your loss not on footballers' failures but on your own reluctance to run an analysis.
Betting on productivity of the battle after a scored goal
This is another popular situation when bettors place bets. For example, at the beginning of the meeting, by the 23rd minute one of the teams scores a goal having had several goal attempts before the goal. The bettor will think that this match is going to be fruitful taking into account the frisky start of the match. As a result, the bettor will make a bet on TO a minute after the scored goal. As a rule, you will have to wait for the next goal longer, it may even happen at the second time where the odds are higher and the conditions for betting are more profitable.
Additionally, let us analyze a reverse situation where bettors wage on TU especially at the end of matches. For example, there are nulls at the seventy-fourth minute of the match. Teams have few goal attempts that influence the odds. A quotation of 1.6 by the 74th minute is justified at first glance. But, by Murphy's law, the end of the match generates scored goals.
To avoid such situations, it is crucial to play in the opposite direction. You should bet on TU after a scored goal, and if the score is clean, the bet should be on TO. The odds will be lucrative for bets, and the chance for success is higher.
Betting on the statistics after a break
At the first times teams tend to use the tactics they had accepted. As a result, there is probability for high performance, plenty of goal-scoring moments which leads to tens of corner kicks. If the game shows hostility, players often break rules which spirals into booking. By the half time bettors often place wagers on statistical indicators based on the results of the first time. This banal strategy will lead you to failure only as the second half of the game changes the situation as mentors make amends to the tactics. In the end, teams start playing in the opposite direction.
In this situation bettors have to foresee a possible scenario for the second time understanding how the teams will continue playing football. You should not rely on the statistics of the first time hoping for a positive outcome. Besides, bookmakers also use this moment setting the odds based on the score of the first time.
Betting on goals after a fruitful first time
The last popular mistake is related to betting on the total. Let us work out a simple example: the first time brought five scored goals for two teams. Bookmakers offer lucrative quotations for TO 6.5 (1.55), considering productivity of the first half of the match. However, in these situations at the second half teams limit themselves with one scored goal in a game max. The primary reason for this weak performance at the second half is a change in the tactical schemes and reshuffles in the roster. Both coaches noted obvious minuses in the roster making reshuffles or changing tactics for the rest of the match. And in the second half teams play less aggressively making focus on defending the net.
Conclusion
Excluding the enlisted mistakes, every bettor tries to minimize financial losses in the long-run. Additionally we should say that to make your bet right you should always run a constant analysis and lean upon popular tournaments and competitions where the likelihood to guess the probable outcome of the battles is high.
Yuriy Sheremet – Expert in mobile gaming and esports among shooters and MOBA games.
At EGamersWorld, Yuriy, as in 2020 when he joined the portal, works with content, albeit with adjustments to his area of responsibility.