Match Prediction: Nigma Galaxy - Beastcoast | Dota 2
BetBoom DachaWelcome to EGamersWorld.
Big Dota 2 is coming back to our screens. Long Corner BB Dacha, a major commercial with a top roster of competitors, is just around the corner.
The International 2023 will kick off this October. Before that, the BB Dacha event - a championship with a prize pool of $250,000 - will take place in the vastness of competitive Dota 2.
At a fairly large commercial tournament, the group stages are heating up. 8 teams are divided into two quartets, from where 6 teams will get to the play-offs of the tournament. Today we're talking about Group B.
In Basket B Nigma Galaxy and Beastcoast will start their way to the championship, and they will open it with a face-to-face match.
The match promises to be The International interesting due to the battle between South America and Western Europe, but in reality we may get a very passable battle. Still, the level of the opponents is very different.
We are trying to find out if Nigma will be able to play outside of the DPC ecosystem or if we will see Beastcoast winning without any chances for Kuro and company.
Let's go.
Beastcoast Form
Let's open the match with an analysis of Beastcoast's form. In this match the team will play as favourites.
Bookmakers believe in the success of the South American top club. The odds on their victory are at around 2.5.
It is worth noting that the group stage of BB Dacha is played in the bo2 format, which is why there is such a very impressive figure for the victory of the favourite. Otherwise, we would see 1.5 at best on Beascoast in this match, as they look like a TOP club against Nigma.
The team won their first DPC league season at home, finishing top 1 with zero losses. Yes, they were a bit unlucky on the international stage: Lima Major 2023 ended for bc at TOP-12, and it was their regional colleagues Evil Geniuses that kept them out of the next DPC cycle.
Later beastcoast played at DPC 2023 SA Tour 2 Division 1, where the result was identical: 7-0 in the regular season and a pass to ESL One Berlin Major 2023. The international stage for beastcoast is not this season - Berlin ended for them in the top 14, even worse than The Lima Major 2023.
In between was DreamLeague S19, where bc played so-so, but better than at Major ahs. The team finished top 6 there and that's the best score for them so far on The International ernational stage.
In the third round of DPC 2023: SA Division 1 beastcoast were already in the top 2. EG have fully climbed to the first place of the domestic league.
- Beastcoast line-up: Parker, DarkMago, Sacred, Scofield, Stinger .
After the end of the regular season in South America Beastcoast visited the last Major of the season - Bali Major 2023. There Peruvians took the top 8 and guaranteed their place at The International 2023.
Before BB Dacha BC had time to play at Riyadh Masters 2023, where they showed not the best performance. The Peruvians failed miserably at the biggest commercial tournament of the season, finishing in the top 20 after losing to a tired TSM.
Beastcoast's most popular heroes
Beastcoast has Tusk and Snapfire as their most favoured characters. Both characters have appeared in the Peruvian Club peak 6 times, with Tusk having a 66% winrate and Snapfire having a 33% winrate.
Enchantress (5 matches, 60% win rate) and Tiny (5 matches, 40% win rate) have appeared in the picks. In addition, Terrorblade (4 matches, 100% wins), Pangolier (4 matches, 75% wins), and Batrider (4 matches, 50% winrate) appear.
Nigma Galaxy uniforms
We continue the match analysis with an analysis of Nigma Galaxy's form. In this match they act as a clear outsider.
Bookmakers are not ready to believe in Nigma Galaxy. The odds for the victory of KuroKy team are at around 5.
The very presence of Nigma Galaxy looks strange. There are plenty of teams that would look much more succinct than the living Doter corpse of Nigma Galaxy.
In the 2023 season, as well as before it, Nigma Galaxy is having huge difficulties in the competitive arena. In fact, the team hasn't made a mark in any of the tournaments and the performance leaves much to be desired.
The first round of DPC 2023 in Western Europe was one of the most successful tournaments of the year for Nigma. The team managed to maintain their place at the championship, finishing in the top 6 of the league.
However, in the next round Nigma Galaxy crashed with a bang. Kuro and company finished in last place at DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 Tour 2, thus relegated to the second division.
Despite the failure inside the home DPC Nigma Galaxy played at the DreamLeague Season 19 title tournament. Well how they played, more like attended. DL Season 19 ended with KuroKy's team finishing in the group stage with a top-14 finish.
The failures didn't end there, because next came the qualifiers for the Riyadh Masters 2023 in the MENA region. It would seem that an easy ride was guaranteed with the local competition, but it was not to be: Nigma Ledge beat Team Secret ME and took the top 3.
- Nigma Galaxy roster: Yuma, Mikey, MinD_ContRoL, GH, KuroKy .
After a series of failures Nigma significantly changed the roster by inviting young and promising players. This helped them to take the top 2 in the second division of the third round of DPC, thus resuming in the first league for the next season, if it happens at all.
Nigma Galaxy then won the online stage of BB Dacha, beating Level Up in the final and thus reaching the Main Event. However, it would have been more promising to play at The International 2023, where Nigma failed to qualify, losing the qualifiers and dropping out at the Top 11 stage.
The most popular heroes of Nigma Galaxy
Death Prophet and Rubick appeared most often in spades. Both characters have been taken 4 times each and have 100% wins.
Disruptor, Beastmaster and Tusk have appeared a similar number of times. They have won 3 matches each out of 4 appearances.
History of head-to-head encounters
Previously, the teams met each other in the DreamLeague Season 19. Then Beastcoast celebrated an unconditional victory.
Predicted result of the match Nigma Galaxy - Beastcoast on BB Dacha
The only plus point for Nigma in this match is that they have been playing during the online stage of BB Dacha and the qualifiers for The International. They've already probed the freshest patch and can work something out. Despite this, I'll still believe in a Beatcoast win. The Peruvians have shown throughout the year that they are still a serious and competitive player, obviously stronger than Nigma.
Bottom line: Beastcoast wins.
Nigma Galaxy is the 21st team of the world ranking. In the first round of the DPC the team takes 6th place. The second round is even worse for the organisation. They take the last place and fall to the second division. In the third round the composition of the organisation changes slightly. ATF and Sumail go on rent to other teams, and the guys themselves get Mikey and Yuma. This roster gets into the 1st division from the 2nd place.
Beastcoast is the 18th team of the world ranking. With DPC the organisation has no problems at all. The first two rounds in South America take 1st place, adding more and more points to their piggy bank. But at major tournaments there are some problems. Lima Major was not a good tournament at all. The team managed to take only 9-12th place. In comparison DreamLeague was a little better. They took the deserved 6th place. At Berlin Major unfortunately they could not show anything, finishing the tournament in 13th-14th place. They showed a classic result in the 3rd round of DPC, taking 2nd place. At DreamLeague S20 play without K1 and take 9th-10th place. After the information appears that K1 left the team and now Parker will play instead of him on a permanent basis. At the last major they took the top 8.
Super strong favourite in this match is bc, but I don't remember the last time they dominated so much and why such a belief in their strength I don't understand, and therefore I take the outsider's bet.
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I have been doing it for a long time and have achieved some success in it. Whether to believe me or not is up to everyone. But why not give it a try? Maybe you like this kind of life!
Prediction: Handicap +1.5!
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Bookmakers & Statistics
All bookmakers have agreed that Beastcoast is the favorite. This can be noticed because odds on them are 2.125. This number in the favor of Nigma Galaxy amounts 9.601. Respectively, the last ones are the underdogs of the upcoming match.
How the teams played in the last matches
Last Matches | Nigma Galaxy | Beastcoast |
5 matches (wins) | 3 | 1 |
10 matches (wins) | 6 | 2 |
We will also remind you of the statistics of matches that the teams played with each other. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 3 matches with each other. In these matches Nigma Galaxy won 1 times, Beastcoast active consisits of 2 wins.