Match Prediction: OG - Tundra Esports | Dota 2

On June 14, as part of the Western European division of Dota Pro Circuit Season 2021/2022 Tour 3 Division 1, two confrontations will take place. In the first of them, OG and Tundra will fight, and in the second - Liquid and GG. It is about the first two that I want to talk in this material.

Bookmakers define Tundra Esports as an implicit, but still favorite and offer odds for their victory in the form of 1.70. I think that betting on Tundra to win in this case is not the most expedient idea.

OG

OG are in great shape and I don't see any prerequisites for the end of their winning streak. Now the Europeans have seven victories in a row without losing. They defeated BOOM Esports, Fnatic Thunder Awaken, Gaimin Gladiators, Tundra Esports and TSM at ESL One Stockholm Major 2022, and at the beginning of the ongoing Dota 2 league, DPC WEU 2021/2022 Tour 3 Division 1, the team defeated the players from Team Secret. It is noteworthy that at ESL One Stockholm Major 2022 the team even performed with a replacement. Then instead of misha, Sebastian 'Ceb' Debs fought in the roster. This did not prevent the team from performing well and winning the Major tournament. Now we are talking about an ordinary match within the Dota Pro Circuit, and the first confrontation against an extremely strong opponent represented by Team Secret has already been won. All these facts so far speak in favor of OG.

List of latest OG games

• OG 2-0 Team Secret
• OG 3-1 TSM
• OG 2-0 Tundra Esports
• OG 2-0 Gaimin Gladiators
• OG 2-0 Thunder Awaken
• OG 2-1 Fnatic
• OG 2-0 BOOM Esports

Tundra Esports

Tundra Esports, in turn, have good statistics, but still inferior to that of OG. They also had a series of seven victories until the team faced their opponents from TSM and OG. One of the most important facts here, I consider the last meeting between Tundra and OG, which took place on May 22 as part of ESL One Stockholm Major 2022. Perhaps Tundra representatives really want to take revenge on OG for the lost semi-finals of the last Major competition and they have such chances, but the importance of the upcoming match is much inferior to the match that was lost, and this must also be taken into account.

List of Tundra Esports latest games

• Tundra Esports 2-0 Alliance
• Tundra Esports 0-2 OG
  
• Tundra Esports 1-2 TSM
  
• Tundra Esports 2-0 Thunder Awaken
  
• Tundra Esports 2-1 Team Spirit
  
• Tundra Esports 2-0 T1
  
• Tundra Esports 2-0 BOOM Esports
  

Statistics

I want to draw your attention to the fact that the pool of heroes for both teams is conducive to the fact that each map lasts an average of 35-40 minutes. In a special way, I would like to note that the fight between OG and Tundra Esports was lost by the latter rather quickly. The first map lasted almost 28 minutes, and the second a little longer - 35.

Conclusion

I think it's worth saying here without much preamble that I don't see the Tundra as a clear favorite. This very idea was reached, in fact, by experts from bookmakers, who marked their victory with a coefficient of 1.70. According to my calculations, this is equivalent to 53-55% to win, which you will agree is not a very big advantage in the opinion of bookmakers.

However, I would not bet on OG to win just like that either. Here you can try to risk betting on the correct account. What do we know about this confrontation?

• OG have a good chance of winning
• In the last confrontation, Tundra Esports lost against OG. The first map was lost very quickly
• Tundra Esports' motivation to win this match could be high
• OG lineup in this match is not the same as last time

In general, facts are collected here both in favor of OG and in favor of the fact that Tundra have a good chance of taking revenge. I think that OG will still win, but Tundra will give a great fight. So you can bet on the exact score of 2-1 in favor of OG. Bookmakers give the most generous odds for this outcome among all the markets presented on the correct account, namely 4.00.

Forecast result: bet on Correct score 2-1 in favor of OG with odds of 4.00