Match Prediction: Team Secret - Virtus.pro | Dota 2
The International 2022: Last Chance QualifierWe got to the key fight of the Last Chance Qualifier. The final of the upper bracket marks the start of the duel for the passage to the group stage of The International.
Team Secret and Virtus.pro will play in the upper bracket final. The pair for the upper mesh is colorful, but somewhat expected.
At this championship, the teams from Vostok in the classical sense do not show the DotA that we used to expect from them. The first to reach The International will be either representatives of Western Europe or Eastern.
Who it will be - let's figure it out together with a review of the match between Team Secret and Virtus.pro.
Team Secret uniform
Team Secret will be the favorite for this match. The chance of the Western European club to win is estimated by the bookmakers with a coefficient of around 1.6.
At such a late stage of the playoffs and with such a prize at stake, the bookmakers quotes look pretty good. I agree that Secret is in favor in this match.
Puppey after The International 2022 carried out one of the largest reshuffles in the history of the club. Having changed 3 players, Secret looked “sluggish” in the 2021/2022 season, but they managed to overcome even that not to the end.
After winning co-op at tournaments like the Riyadh Masters and other commercial events, Secret should have been expected to win the qualifiers for The International. In fact, the team took 2nd place in the qualifiers, without losing the final ideologically. Entity Secret extinguished their faith in their success in the upcoming Last Chance Qualifier. Luckily they didn't do it for long.
Team Secret results for Last Chance Qualifier.
- Draw with Nouns 1-1
- Draw with Polaris 1-1
- Draw with NaVi 1-1
- 2-1 victory over Xtreme
- 2-1 victory over T1
As we can see from the team's performance, Secret picked up the pace. After incomprehensible quirks in matches with nominally weak teams such as Nouns and Polaris, the “secret” bypass both Xtreme and T1.
Team Secret roster
- crystallis
- Nisha
- Resolut1on
- Zayac
- Puppey
On LCQ, the main mechanisms of Secret's victory turned on: Nisha is stable, the Reso + Zayac double gets a sufficient boost at the beginning and moves later by inertia.
Separately, I would like to note Crystallis. His move to Secret has been the most controversial this year, but in this tournament the player justifies his place in one of the best clubs in the world. Odiously dying on Morph from a neutral kobold, he can delicately close T1, on the same Morhp. In general, it turned on, with which Secret congratulations.
Team Secret Heroes
In patch 7.32, Secret played their own DotA at premium tournaments. Their most common spawns were Tusk (7 matches, 85% wins), Witch Doctor (5 matches, 80; wins), Monkey King (5 matches, 60% wins), Pangolier (4 matches, 50% wins), Death Prophet (4 matches, 50% win rate).
Form Virtus.pro
Virtus.pro will face Secret in the match to qualify for The International. The chance of success for the Armenian club is estimated by a coefficient of around 2.1.
I can not argue with the opinion of the bookmakers, as I completely agree with him. If we take into account the performance at a particular event, then the balance of power develops in this way.
VP, and then the Outsiders, had a good season. Needless to say, a team that plays poorly will not be able to get into the top ten teams of the year according to the DPC. However, the Outsiders did not manage to get directly to Singapore then, and now they are here.
The Last Chance Qualifier, unlike the season, is rather difficult for the Armenian club. Predicting a fairly confident passage to the playoffs of the Last Chance Tournament, VP made it to the upper bracket final stage with great difficulty.
VP results during the Last Chance Qualifier
- Draw with Xtreme Gaming 1-1
- Lost to Team Liquid 0-2
- Draw with T1 1-1
- 2-1 victory over Vici Gaming
- 2-1 victory over Team Liquid
Virtus.pro, unlike Secret, does not seem to have a lightness in the game. The team from Eastern Europe is still with great difficulty, literally gnaws out victory after victory. So far, it's working out, but the last spurt is the most difficult, and remembering the qualifiers for this very Last Chance Qualifier, the young VP roster was just not enough for the final spurt.
Virtus.pro roster
- RAMZES
- gpk
- DM
- yamich
- Xakoda
Of the entire roster, VP is most impressed by Xakoda. For a position 5 performer, the player shows a decent level of performance and makes a lot of impact. Especially good on the buffed Disruptor in this patch.
Heroes VP
The most picked VP heroes are Disruptor (7 matches, 71% win rate), Undying (6 matches, 66% win rate), Shadow Fiend (4 matches, 75% win rate), Lina (4 matches, 50% win rate).
History of personal confrontations
Previously, the teams did not play each other in these rosters. The duel within the finals of the upper bracket of the Last Chance Qualifier will be the debut confrontation between the teams.
The outcome of the fight
In this match, the main battles will be played between supports. Which of the teams will bring more impact - then it and the slot at The International.
In the mid lane, I expect at least an equal game, with a slight advantage for Nisha, because gpk on his Storm Spirit and Shadow Fiend does not inspire at all. Speaking about the first position, it's a matter of chance: if Crystallis doesn't sag from excitement or other factors, he should play no worse than Ramzes, who plays not his best event at this tournament.
Supports for VP are the engine to win, and Puppey will focus on this. I believe in the success of Team Secret.
Outcome: victory for Team Secret.
Bookmakers & Statistics
Now, the majority of bookmaker companies believe in Team Secret victory. Odds on them are equal to 1.48. According to bookmakers data, Virtus.pro are the outsider and odds on their victory amounts 3.672.
Team statistics in recent matches
Last Matches | Team Secret | Virtus.pro |
5 matches (wins) | 3 | 4 |
10 matches (wins) | 7 | 9 |
The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets.
The participants in the battle before the meeting played 26 matches with each other.
In these battles Team Secret got 9 victories while Virtus.pro managed to take 15 matches.