Match Prediction: Team Secret - OG | Dota 2
Riyadh Masters 2023 - Play-InWelcome to EGamersWorld.
We continue to follow the first day of play at the biggest commercial event of the year. Riyadh Masters 2023 continues with Play-In matches.
Team Secret and OG will face off in the next match of the first game day. The format of the match is bo2.
Let's see how the European derby, which has its own charm this season, will end. Western Europe is the strongest region.
However, in this case, expectations can only partially be fulfilled. Secret and OG are not the top representatives of their region, and therefore from their face-to-face meeting of prime dota is not expected.
Nevertheless, the spectacle should be enough. Let's see how the match will end.
Let's go.
OG uniforms
Let's open the clash with a look at the OG uniforms. In this match, the team will perform in the status of favourites.
Bookmakers believe in the success of OG. The chance to win the team is estimated by the odds in the region of 2.6.
This state of affairs does not cause me doubts. OG although "shaky" in the course of the season, but compared to Secret it is an example of resilience and stability.
At DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 Tour 1 OG could not guarantee themselves a top-4 finish and as a consequence missed The Lima Major 2023. Things seemed to pick up during the second round of DPC 2023: WEU Division 1 Tour 2. Then OG made a strong-willed comeback and made it to the Top 4 after tiebreaks.
At the Berlin Major, the team played with two stand-ins and made it to the top 6, but it seems that those stand-ins were the secret to their success. After returning to regular season matches with a full roster, OG looked critically bad, but at the last moment they improved.
At DPC 2023: WEU Tour 3, OG Long Team went down to the wire, but managed to keep their place in the top division by finishing in the top 5 in the third round of the professional season. By the way, at the last DreamLeague S19 OG also took the 5th place and this is an indicator, but it is unlikely to be repeated in the new season.
- OG roster: Yuragi, bzm, DM, Ceb, Taiga .
After a year-long extravaganza, Ceb is the new OG player. OG resorted to their ultimatum weapon during DreamLeague Season 20, but it didn't help them and OG finished in the top 20.
The match with Secret Stunet is the penultimate Play-In match of the tournament for OG. After this derby, only Xtreme will compete against them.
Most popular OG characters
Among the favourite OG characters: Keeper of the Light (6 matches, 83% wins), Phantom Lancer (5 matches, 60% wins).
Among the most successful: Crystal Maiden (4 matches, 100% wins), Underlord (4 matches, 100% wins), Alchemist (3 matches, 100% wins), Storm Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins), Void Spirit (3 matches, 100% wins).
Team Secret uniforms
We continue the match analysis with Team Secret's performance. In this match they will have to play as outsiders, as almost always.
This is indicated by the bookmakers. Before the match, the odds for victory are estimated at around 5.
A two-goal gap does not come out of nowhere. Secret are playing so-so and it is evident from the season.
After reaching the finals of The International 2022 Secret changed the squad, but the performance was critically affected. So critical that Secret completely failed in the first DPC season, falling to the second division.
In the second cycle of DPC Secret played in the second division. There, Team Puppey won the league, which was expected, but still.
- Team Secret: Crystallis, Armel, fbz, yamich, Puppey.
The return to the first league was supposed to be triumphant, but in reality it turned out to be a flop. Secret were awful and the result of their game was relegation back to the second division.
Before the Long Cognega Riyadh Masters 2023, where Secret miraculously made it thanks to ESL's updated ranking system, Puppey once again resorted to changes within the roster. BOOM has been replaced by fbz.
I wouldn't be surprised if after Riyadh Masters 2023 we will see more replacements, as the priority will be qualification for The International from Western Europe with huge competition.
Team Secret's most popular heroes
Secret Mirana, Tusk and Primal Beast are among the most chosen heroes. All have 6 matches and 83% wins.
In addition, Monkey King and Ember Spirit appeared in spades (5 games each and 100% wins). Death Prophet also played 5 matches, however she won 4 matches.
Also Jakiro (3 matches, 100% wins), Enchantress (3 matches, 100% wins). Abaddon (2 matches, 66% wins), Broodmother (2 matches, 100% wins).
History of head-to-head meetings
Previously, the teams have played each other twice in DPC seasons. OG won twice.
Match Outcome
In this match we can expect a lot of scraps from both sides. OG, although favoured, still doesn't look like something stable and capable of easily shutting down even Secret level opponents. I'm still leaning towards a draw in this match, but I wouldn't be surprised by a clean win for either side.
Bottom line: a draw.
Bookmakers & Statistics
OG are listed as the favorites of the match in the majority of bookmakers and odds on them are equal to 2.005. Team Secret, in turn, are the outsiders of the match. Odds on their victory are about 5.395.
How did the participants perform in the last matches
Last Matches | Team Secret | OG |
5 matches (wins) | 2 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 5 | 5 |
Gamblers will definitely be interested in the statistics of personal meetings between the teams. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 35 matches with each other. And Team Secret won 21 times while OG correspondingly became the winner 13 times.