Match Prediction: Beastcoast - Team Secret | Dota 2
Riyadh Masters 2023 - Play-InHello again to EGamersWorld!
The big Dota 2 is back on our screens. This time the centre of attention of competitive Dota fans is Riyadh, where Riyadh Masters 2023 will take place.
The tournament is colossal. There will be 20 teams competing for $15,000,000. The action will start already on the 19th of July with the Play-In stage.
We will talk about Group B, and more specifically about the first round of Group B play-in. One of the opening matches will be a clash between Beastcoast and Team Secret.
If it seems that the match is passable, it is just that. There are actually no passing games at the 15 million tournament.
Let's find out how the first Bo2 Riyadh Masters in Group B will end and what teams will please (or annoy).
Let's go.
Beastcoast Form
Let's open the match analysis with Beastcoast's form. In this match the team will play as clear favourites.
Despite the bo2 format of the games in Play-In, bookmakers believe in the success of beastcoast unquestioningly. The odds on the Peruvians' success are at 1.7.
Such a figure in Bo2 leaves virtually no doubt: beastcoast must win. Confidence in this is added by the performance of the team, which shows a stable game throughout the year.
The team won the first season of the league, finishing top 1 with zero losses. Yes, they were a bit unlucky on the international stage: Lima Major 2023 ended for bc at the top-12, and it was their regional colleagues Evil Geniuses that kept them out of the next DPC cycle.
Later beastcoast played at DPC 2023 SA Tour 2 Division 1, where the result was identical: 7-0 in the regular season and a pass to ESL One Berlin Major 2023. The international stage for beastcoast is not this season - Berlin ended for them in the top 14, even worse than The Lima Major 2023.
In between was DreamLeague S19, where bc played so-so, but better than at Major ahs. The team finished top 6 there and that's the best score for them so far on The International ernational stage.
In the third round of DPC 2023: SA Division 1 beastcoast were already in the top 2. EG have climbed to the first place of the domestic league.
- The beastcoast line-up: Parker, DarkMago, Sacred, Scofield, Stinger .
The last championship before Riyadh Masters for beastcoast was The Bali Major 2023. At Bali beastcoast finished in the top 8, which is a decent result, considering the new carry. Parker, by the way, is an absolute star of BC. He became a great replacement for K1, and his SF is a separate kind of Doter art.
The most popular beastcoast heroes
Beastcoast Tusk and Snapfire are among the most chosen heroes. Both characters have appeared in the Peruvian Club peak 6 times: Tusk has a 66% win rate and Snapfire has a 33% win rate.
Enchantress (5 matches, 60% wins) and Tiny (5 matches, 40% wins) are also picks. In addition, Terrorblade (4 matches, 100% win rate), Pangolier (4 matches, 75% win rate), and Batrider (4 matches, 50% win rate) are in spades.
Team Secret uniforms
Let's continue the match analysis with Team Secret's form. In this match they are destined for the role of number two.
Bookmakers do not believe in the success of Secret. The chance of their victory is estimated at odds around 7.
It looks fatal, but it couldn't be otherwise. Secret are not at all credible in the 2023 season, and to change their attitude they will have to sweat a lot in Play-In Riyadh Masters 2023.
After reaching the finals of The International 2022, Secret made some changes to the squad, but it had a critical impact on their performance. So critical that Secret completely failed in the first DPC season, falling to the second division.
In the second cycle of DPC Secret played in the second division. There, Team Puppey won the league, which was expected, but still.
- Team Secret: Crystallis, Armel, fbz, yamich, Puppey.
The return to the first league was supposed to be triumphant, but in reality it turned out to be a flop. Secret were awful and the result of their game was relegation back to the second division.
Before the Long Cognega Riyadh Masters 2023, where Secret miraculously made it thanks to ESL's updated ranking system, Puppey once again resorted to changes within the roster. BOOM has been replaced by fbz, but there are still doubts about the correctness of such actions.
Team Secret's most popular heroes
Mirana, Tusk and Primal Beast are among the most popular heroes of Team Secret. All of them have 6 matches and 83% wins.
In addition, Monkey King and Ember Spirit appeared in spades (5 games each and 100% wins). Death Prophet also played 5 matches, however she won 4 matches.
Also Jakiro (3 matches, 100% wins), Enchantress (3 matches, 100% wins). Abaddon (2 matches, 66% wins), Broodmother (2 matches, 100% wins).
History of head-to-head matches
The teams have not played each other in the 2023 season. This match will be the debut match for the sides.
Outcome of the match
Taking into account bc's considerable experience gained during The Bali Major 2023, they will be able to shut down an openly raw team. Secret is an extra guest at the Riyadh Masters 2023.
The newly arrived fbz won't fix all of Secret's woes and Puppey will have to come up with something new. There is no certainty that he will succeed.
Bottom line: beastcoast wins.
Beastcoast is the 9th team in the world ranking. The organisation has no problems at all with DPC. The first two rounds in South America are ranked 1st, adding more and more points to their piggy bank. But at major tournaments there are some problems. Lima Major was not a good tournament at all. The team managed to take only 9-12th place. In comparison DreamLeague was a little better. They took the deserved 6th place. At Berlin Major unfortunately they could not show anything, finishing the tournament in 13th-14th place. They showed a classic result in the 3rd round of DPC, taking 2nd place. At DreamLeague S20 play without K1 and take 9th-10th place. After the information appears that K1 left the team and now Parker will play instead of him on a permanent basis. At the last major they took the top 8 spot.
Team Secret is the 10th team of the world ranking. The beginning of the year was sad for Secret. The first round of DPC finished in 8th place, falling to the 2nd division. In the second round the team comes with two new players. Armel and yamich instead of Resolution and Zayac. BOOM goes to the 3rd position. There the team takes the 1st place and returns to the 1st division. But the 3rd round does not bode well and the team from the 8th place in the group drops back to the 2nd division.
Beastcoast seem more confident here, which I can't say about Secret. So I see Beastcoast winning here.
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Prediction: Beastcoast wins!
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Bookmakers & Statistics
Team Secret are listed as the favorites of the match in the majority of bookmakers and odds on them are equal to 2.863. Beastcoast, in turn, are the outsiders of the match. Odds on their victory are about 5.16.
What are the successes of the teams in the last games
Last Matches | Beastcoast | Team Secret |
5 matches (wins) | 2 | 2 |
10 matches (wins) | 6 | 5 |
It will also be necessary to mention the history of face-to-face meetings between the opponents. The teams played 3 matches with each other before. And Beastcoast won 1 times while Team Secret correspondingly became the winner 2 times.