Match Prediction: Team Spirit - Evil Geniuses | Dota 2
DreamLeague Season 20 - Group Stage 2Good to see you on EGamersWorld.
We have the last match of the penultimate game day of DreamLeague S20 to watch. The clash between Spirit and EG ѕtunet is the final match of the day.
Perhaps also the central match of the day. Both teams look very chaotic in this tournament, and such pairs most often show a Dota extravaganza and it does not matter whether in a good or bad way.
The match is important for both sides, as both Spirit and Evil Geniuses want to break into the championship play-offs: A very attractive prize fund and even more delicious potential passage to the Riyadh Master 2023, where they draw not 1,000,000 dollars, but the whole 15. But, so far it is only in the wet fantasy, and there is a lot of work ahead.
We will see which team will be stronger in this clash and will score important points before the climax of DreamLeague Season 20 and in the end will win.
Evil Geniuses uniforms
We'll start the showdown by analyzing the Evil Geniuses' uniforms. The team will return as the underdog in this match.
Well, as a favorite. The bookmakers put their odds at 1.8 to win the EG title and they put their eye on the game, but they're not too specific.
Essentially, EG is being equated with Team Spirit. You can partly agree with this, as the teams are quite similar in terms of performance.
In the first round of DPC 2023 SA Division 1 Evil Geniuses finished second. They lacked a victory over Beastcoast. Later, they attended The Lima Major 2023, where they more than made up for their loss in their home league by finishing in the top 6 at the Peruvian tournament.
Then they play the second round of the DPC in South America and again top-2, and again Beastcoast are ahead. Once again, however, the international scene helps, where EG, in the ESL One Berlin Major 2023, are already in the top 4, being the highest-scoring team from the region in history.
In the third DPC round, Evil Geniuses finally clawed their way to the top of the regional scene. Evil Geniuses won DPC 2023: SA Division 1.
- Evil Geniuses squad: Pakazs, Chris Luck, Wisper, Matthew, Pandaboo.
In the first group stage, EG did not lose a single series. Which is true, they didn't win a series either: they played to a 0-7-0 scoreline.
The second group stage won't go through on draws, though, and they don't need to. EG show a "chaotic" game in the second group stage, which does not allow them to consolidate in the top 4, but they cannot drop out of there yet either. As of game day 5, the team is 2-2 down to 9 Pandas.
Evil Geniuses' most popular heroes
The top most popular Evil Geniuses heroes were Beastmaster and Death Prophet. Both heroes were taken 8 times each and had a 75% win rate.
After DP and Primal Beast, Leshrac was the most often played at the third position. He appeared 6 times and had a 66% win rate.
Marci (5 games, 60% wins), Templar Assassin (4 games, 100% wins), Jakiro (4 games, 100% win).
Team Spirit Form
Team Spirit will oppose Evil Geniuses in this match. The team will play as underdogs, if I may say so.
The bookmakers aren't ready to name the winner of the match, which led to such odds. On the victory of Spirit give a figure in the region of 1.9, which is actually a marker of parity.
Again, this is in fact the case. Team Spirit are almost identical to their future rival this season, both in terms of performance and team aspects.
In the first round of DPC 2023: EEU Division 1 Spirit finished 2nd. The Dragons were then prevented from winning by BB Team, who finished the tournament on the first line with a score of 7-0. After a home league appearance, Team Spirit attended The Lima Major 2023 where they finished in the top 8.
Later, the Spirit played the second round of their home league and again finished in the top-2. Going to The Berlin Major 2023 expected to improve the result of the previous Major, however, in the end, things only got worse: already in the top-12.
Despite "sluggish" international play, the Spirit still steadily make it through the Major groups and look like the main contender to win every game at home. That was the case in the third season of DPC 2023.
Spirit finished the final Eastern European cycle in first place. It took 3 tries to get the title in Eastern Europe.
- The composition of Team Spirit: Yatoro, Larl, Collapse, Mira, Miposhka.
Very mixed feelings about Spirit during DreamLeague Season 20. It seems that the team looks pretty good in the course of matches, but the power in them is not felt.
At the time of writing, the Dragons are in 6th place with a score of 1-3. That's pretty much the limit, a defeat is almost certain to mean relegation.
The most popular Team Spirit heroes
Crystal Maiden tops the list of Team Spirit's most picked characters. The character has appeared in spades 6 times and has an 83% win rate.
In addition to Crystal Maiden, Disruptor and Underlord are also favored, having been spiked 5 times each with an 80% win rate. There was also Skywrath Mage (4 matches, 100% wins), Doom (4 matches, 75% wins), PL, Viper, Slark, Riki appeared 3 times each and has 100% wins.
History of head-to-head encounters
The teams have previously played each other 2 times during the season. The first time was at the Lima Major 2023 with a 2-0 win over Spirit, and at the DreamLeague S20 the teams drew.
Result
In this match, I expect a more or less even game between the two sides. This is hinted at by the pre-match odds, and by the level of play of the clubs.
The most obvious outcome will be total +2.5. Since the teams are equal, I think neither of them will give a clean victory to the opponent.
Outcome: Total +2.5.
Team Spirit are the 5th team in the world rankings. In the first DPC of their region they are in 2nd place, missing out on BetBoom. At the second DPC a similar situation takes place, but this time they miss HellRaisers (9 Pandas). The Lima Major was pretty good, although they could have risen higher. They finished in 7th-8th place. DreamLeague finish rather sadly. 9th-10th place in the table. And the Berlin Major is following a similar trend. 9th-12th place in the table. DPC are having a phenomenal 3rd round, finishing with 7-0 stats.
Evil Geniuses is ranked 4th in the world. All 3 rounds DPC manage to finish only in 2nd place, as they can't get past beastcoast at all, but the team is obviously stronger than bc, considering the results of the last majors. EG managed to take the 5th-6th place at the Lima Major, though if they hadn't made a stupid mistake, they could have got higher. Nevertheless, the result is still decent. The Dreamleague Season 19 was slightly worse, ending up in 7th place. At the Berlin Major, they managed to climb up to 4th place, which is a very strong achievement.
I don't like the way Spirit are performing. I'm not a fan of their Dota. EG take the weirdest heroes, play in a completely different meta, but still keep winning. I'm going to hazard a guess that they will win this match.
I'm a prognosticator, I live only by it. I dedicate all my time to it. No other interests.
I have been doing it for a long time and I have had some success. Believe it or not, it's up to everyone. But why not give it a try? Maybe you will like this life too!
Prediction: EG win!
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Bookmakers & Statistics
Now, the majority of bookmaker companies believe in Team Spirit victory. Odds on them are equal to 1.803. According to bookmakers data, Evil Geniuses are the outsider and odds on their victory amounts 2.932.
Team statistics in recent matches
Last Matches | Team Spirit | Evil Geniuses |
5 matches (wins) | 3 | 4 |
10 matches (wins) | 7 | 7 |
It will also be necessary to mention the history of face-to-face meetings between the opponents. The teams played 7 matches with each other before. In these matches Team Spirit won 3 times, Evil Geniuses active consisits of 2 wins.