Match Prediction: Virtus.pro - AS Monaco Gambit | Dota 2
ESL One. DPC 2021: Season 2 - CIS Upper DivisionSo we got to the top DPC-division of the CIS. A region that showed disgusting results at ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 by PGL, but did not become bad from this.
The main contenders for a direct hit in the second major will play in the opening match of the season in the CIS. We have a hot meeting ahead of us, which, however, may end in a total scuffle.
Virtus.pro kits
We begin the analysis of the match with the form of the nominal favorite. I think that very few people would argue that in the match between VP and AS Monaco Gambit, the first to play as such.
Virtus.pr was the strongest team in the region last season. Although, as it turned out, the title of the first team of the CIS is worth nothing, the fact remains.
While we are in the CIS, VP has practically no competitors. Teams like AS Monaco Gamibt or NaVi with Spirit can impose a fight, but there is still no talk of victories.
Results of the last 5 matches of Virtus.pro
- Beat NoTechies 2-0
- Defeat NaVi 2-0
- Lost to PSG.LGD with a score of 0-2
- Defeat Quince Crew 2-1
- Lost to Thunder Predator 2-0
VP statistics are almost completely consistent with my words above. Inside the region, the bears have virtually no competition, but outside the region the guys still have to gain experience.
AS Monaco Gambit Form
On the other side of the river, AS Monaco Gambit will appear on the battlefield of the Ancients in a lightly updated lineup. Signing No[o] ne clearly strengthened the team, but will it be enough to fight VP.
In principle, it may be enough. We have already seen that AMG are capable of fighting teams from other regions, and at the end of the first DPC season, they were in good shape.
Results of the last 5 matches of AS Monaco Gambit
- Win over T1 2-0
- Lose from Vici Gaming 2-0
- Defeat Nigma 2-0
- Defeat to PSG.LGD with a score of 2-0
- Defeat Team Liquid 2-0
Such a swing in recent matches is understandable. AMG simply had too little time to build synergy within the updated roster, and they were losing mainly to the Chinese giants.
Personal meeting history
VP with AMG has a pretty rich history of head-to-head matches, but we'll focus on the last 5 matches. Virtus.pro won in them 4 times, and AS Monaco Gambit only 1 time within the EPICENTER Major 2019 - CIS Closed Qualifier.
Match outcome
If VP played against Gambit at some LAN tournament, I would rather believe in the victory of the latter. But since we are watching the online stage, VP must replay Gambit in his element (however, the patch can make adjustments, and therefore I advise you to follow the match live).
Outcome: VP's victory.
Forecast for a fiery duel between ASM.GMB and Virtus.pro within the second season of ESL One CIS DPC.
Both teams played at the recent Major - ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021. ASM.GMB did not come out with WildCard, as a result, took the 14th place.
Virtus.pro started the Major from the playoff stage, where they lost to PSG.LGD, defeated Quincy Crew and turned out to be weaker than Thunder Predator. The VP players got a very significant experience. There has been no news about Virtus.pro lately, the whole concentration is on the DPC season and The International 2021. According to statistics, more than 90% that they secured participation in The International by DPC points.
Regarding ASM.GMB, there were no official games after the Major. However, there were other interesting situations. Their mid-leader Vladimir No[O] ne Minenko, a few days after the end of ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021, announced his search for a team. Presumably, together with RAMZES666, he wanted to get into NAVI, but it didn't work out and No[O] ne returned to ASM.GMB. I wonder how it is for ASM.GMB players to understand that they were ready to be exchanged. On the other hand, in the CIS region, there are not so many worthy and good midlanders, and it is stupid to lose such a performer because of resentment.
Match prediction: Virtus.pro vs ASM.GMB at ESL One CIS DPC S2
Virtus.pro remain the same team as in the first season, the main favorites. There are wonderful performers on their roster. It will be interesting to see them in the new patch, they definitely train a lot with Team Secret. If they did it before the Major, then before the DPC season they shouldn't play with each other - there is no reason.
As for ASM.GMB, they are clearly weaker than Virtus.pro in all respects. I don't believe in Gambit at all after the situation with No[O] ne, it will be difficult for them even to get hold of WildCard to the next Major, since Team Spirit, NAVI and others are there.
Bookmakers give odds of 1.43 on Virtus.pro and 2.85 on ASM.GMB. This is how the 7.29 patch affected the quotes. In principle, I agree with them, but I want to believe in 2: 0 from VP - the coefficient is very steep - 2.24.
Prediction: Virtus.pro will easily beat ASM.GMB with a score of 2: 0 at ESL One CIS DPC 2021 - odds 2.24
I recommend placing bets on this match live, the two teams are approximately at the same level of play, and we could see this at the recent Major in Singapore. Virtus.Pro did not show anything at one of the main DPC tournaments, and Monaco were eliminated losing to Liquid in the best of 1. Of course Virtus.Pro owing to team and individual performance must win this match with a score of 2-0, but it is absolutely unclear what they are in shape at the moment, if they make gross mistakes, they will lose without much chance. AS Monaco Gambit is a good team that knows how to play Dota correctly, I like that they are not afraid to play aggressive heroes and in principle they can catch one card in this match.
I recommend betting live, but Virtus.Pro are obliged to rehabilitate themselves for an unsuccessful tournament and will try their best.
Bookmakers & Statistics
All bookmakers have agreed that Virtus.pro is the favorite. This can be noticed because odds on them are 1.378. This number in the favor of AS Monaco Gambit amounts 3.045. Respectively, the last ones are the underdogs of the upcoming match.
In the case of solidarity with the bookmaker’s position about the possible winner of the match, a bet at will be more preferable where odds 1.5 are given on Virtus.pro victory. If you are confident that analysts provide a totally wrong prediction, you should risk and make a bet on AS Monaco Gambit success at - the team’s victory is evaluated with the high odds 4.3.