Match Prediction: Evil Geniuses - OG | Dota 2
DreamLeague Season 19 - Group Stage 2Welcome to EGamersWorld and welcome back to DreamLeague S19.
We've put together a betting tip for the Evil Geniuses vs OG match on game day 2. The clash of the representatives of the cardinally different regions will be the 3rd game of the day and we have all chances to watch the bright match with the, probably, unpredictable result.
Before we set our betting tip, we analysed the teams' performance beforehand and watched their games in DreamLeague S19 yesterday. Perhaps this should be enough to tell you about each of the teams and make the most appropriate bet for the game.
Let's go.
Evil Geniuses uniforms
We begin with an analysis of the Evil Geniuses' form. They will play this matchup as a favorite, as indicated by the odds in the region of 1.7 from the bookmakers.
Evil Geniuses' advantage over Long Soppeg of the game is very shaky, exactly like their success in DreamLeague Season 19. Twice top-2 South America and top-6 Lima Major 2023, Evil Geniuses sneaked into the second round of the DreamLeague very confidently.
At DreamLeague Season 19 Stage 1, the Evil Geniuses went 10-4 on the cards and 3-4-0 in the series, which helped them clinch a spot in the top 3 of Subgroup A and advance to the next round.
Yesterday's Evil Geniuses game in the second leg proved to be a real extravaganza, as expected. After taking the first game confidently, Evil Geniuses were caught off guard, giving up the next two.
Especially Evil Geniuses stood out in that game. Not at its best.
- Evil Geniuses: Pakazs, Chris Luck, Wisper, Matthew, Pandaboo .
Pakazs couldn't get past the Black King Bar and that played a major part in Evil Geniuses' defeat against Beastcoast. And it doesn't matter how good Wisper was if he was flat out unwilling to win, or at least made it look that way.
In those circumstances it doesn't matter what you play.
The most popular Evil Geniuses characters on DreamLeague Season 19
The most frequent guests in the EG picks and in parallel the most dangerous heroes in their performance are Death Prophet and Primal Beast. DP has been chosen 14 times and has a 78% win rate while Primal Beast has been chosen 13 times and has a 76% win rate.
EG is doing well with Riki (9 matches, 77% wins), Leshrac (7 matches, 71% wins), Clockwerk (7 matches, 71% wins), Jakiro and Undying (6 games and 83% wins each).
Ready to believe in Pakazs rehab and call EG the winner of the match - bet on "EG win" at odds of 1.8.
Not ready to blindly trust the bookies - keep reading. Below, let's talk about OG and why they can give the 'evil geniuses' a lot of trouble.
OG's form
Opposing EG in this match will be OG, who will play the number two. At least that's the opinion of the bookmakers, who give odds of around 1.9 for their victory.
However, the gap between the teams is negligible, so we can state parity in this confrontation. The teams' close position can be explained by their general level of play in recent times.
If OG had serious difficulties at the beginning of the year, which led to missing the Lima Major 2023 and a very poor start to the second round of DPC 2023 in Western Europe, then at the end of the regional league they improved their results, qualified for the Berlin Major 2023 and became a serious player in DreamLeague S19.
OG did not go through the first stage without problems. The European team made it to the round-robin replay where they defeated Team Spirit and together with Beastcoast took a place in Stage 2. With the Long Conqueror of the second stage of DreamLeague S19, OG, in contrast to EG, showed a decent game on all fronts.
The team shut down Shopify Rebellion without any problems, and the entire OG roster showed an academic game.
- OG roster: Yuragi, bzm, DM, Taiga, Chu.
In the match against SR, as before, Bzm shined. However, we can also mention Yuragi with Ember Spirit, who is not often praised.
Most of all, however, I'd point out OG's work in the draft. Shopify Rebellion probably "buried themselves", but OG were clear and precise.
OG's most popular heroes
Rubick remains at the top of the favourites, having been taken 7 times and having a 71% win rate. Disruptor was often picked up, having been in matches 6 times and having a win rate of 83%.
Doom, Monkey King, Dark Willow, Slark and Techies each appeared 5 times. The first two characters have a win rate of 80%, DW has a win rate of 60%, Slark has a win rate of 60% and Techies has a win rate of 40/.
If you believe in the continuation of OG's successful streak - pick them as the winner at odds of 1.9.
If you are still pondering your favourite, read our opinion.
OG - Evil Geniuses predicted result
In this match, the most logical option would be to bet on +1.5 for OG. The European representatives play better than their American colleagues and OG in particular play well and can take over the Peruvian team.
However, I think they won't stop at one card if they continue to show the same kind of dota as they did in the match against Shopify Rebellion. We need to not give up EG Primal Beast and Death Prophet, and it should go from there.
Bottom line: victory for OG.
Bookmakers & Statistics
According to leading bookmakers predictions, the team Evil Geniuses are the favorite with average odds 1.599 at the moment. Respectively, bookmakers consider OG to be the outsider of the match with odds on a victory in the sum of about 3.699.
What the team performance statistics say
Last Matches | Evil Geniuses | OG |
5 matches (wins) | 4 | 4 |
10 matches (wins) | 7 | 7 |
We will also remind you of the statistics of matches that the teams played with each other. The teams played 18 matches with each other before. And Evil Geniuses won 7 times while OG correspondingly became the winner 10 times.