Match Prediction: Fnatic - Team Spirit | Dota 2
OGA Dota PIT Invitational 2021Kick-off matches with the OGA Dota PIT Invitational 2021 continue. Yesterday 2 teams left the tournament, and today 2 more clubs will repeat their fate.
The first to decide who is worthy to go further will be Spirit in the match with Fnatic. The fight promises to be hot, and therefore I don't want to bypass it at all.
Let's figure out who will advance further on the grid, and who will have 5-6 place at the OGA Dota PIT Invitational 2021.
Team Spirit uniform
Team Spirit will be the nominal favorite for the match. And this is very interesting to me.
Perhaps the bookies give Spirit a slight preference for its past merits. Yet they, unlike Fnatic, have flashed more often on the competitive scene lately.
The only question is the quality of such appearances. So far, Spirit looks like "strong middlings" and even at the OGA Dota PIT Invitational 2021, where the lineup of the participants is far from ideal.
Team Spirit latest matches
- Beat Thunder Predator 2-0
- Defeat Team Empire 2-0
- Defeat from PSG.LGD with a score of 1-2
- Lost at T1 with a score of 1-2
- Lost to Team Undying 2-1
So far I don't see Spirit as a team capable of progressing. Of course, the famous "don't fire strikes" before TI plays a role here, but it is very difficult to find differences in their game at ESL One Fall 2021 and at OGA Dota PIT Invitational 2021.
Spirit heroes
Most played heroes in patch 7.30: Phoenix (4 matches, 100% win), Tiny (4 matches, 50% win), Lion (4 matches, 50% win).
The most successful Spirit heroes in patch 7.30: Phoenix (4 matches, 100% win), Terrorblade (3 matches, 100% win), Winter Wyvern (2 matches, 100% win).
Fnatic Form
Fnatic will be the nominal outsider in the match. Again, it can be challenged.
As for me, the only reason to put Spirit above Fnatic is the small pool of games in the latter. We've only seen Fnatic in our own region, where the Orange are frankly bored.
Already on the example of the OGA Dota PIT Invitational 2021, we see that the club from Southeast Asia can transform and is ready to show an interesting, though far from ideal game.
Fnatic last matches results
- 0-2 defeat to Galaxy Racer
- Defeat Team SMG 2-0
- Lose to Galaxy Racer 2-3
- Beat Thunder Predator 2-0
- Lose at Tundra Esports 1-2
For now, it seems that Fnatic needs to "accelerate" a little more. I think the match against Spirit can serve as a good springboard for this.
Fnatic heroes
Fnatic has a very interesting history with heroes. We have not seen them on the new patch, so we will build on what they picked in patch 7.29.
Most played Fnatic heroes: Luna (13 games, 61% win), Enchantress (13 games, 38% win), Lion (12 games, 58% win).
Most successful Fnatic heroes: Nyx Assassin (100% wins in 5 matches), Void Spirit (100% wins in 3 matches), Arc Warden (100% wins in 2 matches).
Personal meeting history
Previously, the teams did not face each other in official matches.
Match outcome
As for me, in this fight everything will be tied to personal performance. In this regard, I am more impressed with Fnatic.
However, not excluding the option of total domination of Spirit. Still, it's not for nothing that bookmakers hardly disagree about the odds for this equal match.
Nevertheless, I am in this fight for Fnatic.
Outcome: victory for Fnatic.
Fnatic and Team Spirit will play "for survival" within the OGA Dota PIT Invitational 2021, both teams played 2 matches in this tournament, but ended up in the lower bracket.
Team Spirit managed to lose T1 with a score of 1: 2, but then they barely beat Undying with a score of 2: 1. Fnatic started the championship with a confident victory over Thunder Predator, but then turned out to be weaker than Tundra Esports with a score of 1: 2.
Fnatic is played by: Raven, ChYuan, Deth, Jabz, DJ
Team Spirit is represented by: Yatoro, TORONTOTOKYO, Collapse, Miroslaw, Miposhka
Recent Fnatic results (5 games taken into account)
- Defeat to Galaxy Racer with a score of 0: 2
- Victory over Team SMG with a score of 2: 0
- Defeat to Galaxy Racer 2: 3
- Defeat Thunder Predator 2: 0 (OGA Dota PIT Invitational)
- Defeat about Tundra Esports with a score of 1: 2 (OGA Dota PIT Invitational)
Latest Team Spirit scores (5 games taken)
- Defeat Thunder Predator 2: 0
- Victory over Team Empire with a score of 2: 0
- Defeat from PSG.LGD with a score of 1: 2
- Defeat from T1 with a score of 1: 2 (OGA Dota PIT Invitational)
- Defeat Undying 2: 1 (OGA Dota PIT Invitational)
It is difficult to predict such matches, if we take into account the results of the teams in this tournament, then the minimum preference should be given to Fnatic, since Team Spirit has a bit of a boost and has not upgraded from the past ESL One Fall 2021. Nevertheless, the "Spirits" may well squeeze out 1 map and even cling to victory. Fnatic doesn't have much experience against teams from Europe/CIS, as they played a lot only in their region.
There is absolutely no point in betting on Fnatic just because they took 1 map from Tundra Esports. I managed to see their decisive map with "Tundra", it was "one-sided", at some point it even seemed that "Fnatik" did not know what to do. And Team Spirit is very cool at macro, but you need to work on confidence in certain actions and calls in the game. And already start picking normal Collapse heroes.
Bookmakers single out Team Spirit as the minimum favorite, the odds on them are 1.67, on Fnatic - 1.97. I'm sure there will be 3 cards, but I want to flood for Spirit.
Prediction: Team Spirit will beat Fnatic at OGA Dota PIT Invitational 2021 - coefficient 1.67
CIS teams are not famous for their stability and we all know this very well, I have already spoken about weak coaches and players who make mistakes in simple situations. Spirit performed well yesterday, but today the game will be completely different and most likely they will lose. According to the choice of characters, they are losing to their today's opponent, and this is a fact, Fnatic are strong not only in this, but also in terms of character, they are doing well. Let's remember the final of the qualifiers for The International, in that match the guys were able to recoup from 2-0 and win 3-2. I think this is very strong and therefore in this match I will be betting on Fnatic.
Bookmakers & Statistics
Team Spirit are listed as the favorites of the match in the majority of bookmakers and odds on them are equal to 1.656. Fnatic, in turn, are the outsiders of the match. Odds on their victory are about 2.264.
If your opinion is similar to the one, which is provided by experts in bookmaker companies and you want to bet on Team Spirit, the best odds on their victory can be found at — 1.83. If you think that Fnatic are going to win, the best thing will be to bet at . This bookmaker provides the best odds on their victory in the sum of 3.7.