Match Prediction: Virtus.pro - PSG.LGD | Dota 2
ESL One Fall 2021PSG.LGD and Virtus.pro will play in the first round of the ESL One Fall 2021 Playoff Upper Bracket. Fight of the best teams of the CIS and China.
The duel between VP and PSG.LGD is of great interest, although for me personally in this playoff there is a meeting that is a little more interesting. However, skipping such an event is not an option.
We are investigating whether the young "bears" will be able to fight the wounded, but the giants from PSG.LGD.
Virtus.pro kits
We begin the analysis of the match with an overview of the form of the favorite of the meeting, which in our case are just VP. There are reasons for this, but I will not strongly believe in VP's status.
Apparently VP is in good shape: they easily won the group, and the arrival of the coach only strengthened the bears. Here, of course, you can get to the bottom of the composition of the group and rely on its weakness, but we will not do this.
Virtus.pro latest matches results
- Defeat Creepwave 2-0
- Defeat Team Spirit 2-0
- Beat Thunder Predator 2-0
- Beat Tundra Esports 2-0
- Win over T1 2-0
In the group "bears" did not find equal. I wonder if they will find it in the playoffs.
Virtus.pro heroes
Since VP haven't lost in this patch yet, all bear heroes have a 100% win rate. Most played - Lion (5 matches), Phoenix, Winter Wyvern (4 matches), Tidehunter (3 matches).
PSG.LGD Form
To resist the "bears" and for the first time in a long time will be in the role of catching up with PSG.LGD. Again, not unreasonable.
The main reason why PSG.LGD does not act as the first violin in this fight is the replacement of a key player. Yes, they have been playing with Xiao8 for a long time and feel pretty good at the same time, but still a replacement is a replacement (especially a player in the center line).
PSG.LGD latest matches results
- Lose to Beastcoast 2-0
- Draw against Team Empire 1-1
- Defeat Alliance 2-0
- Defeat Team Liquid 2-0
- Beat SG e-sports 2-0
As we can see, the first matches at PSG.LGD did not work out, but then we saw the classic PSG.LGD. They harness slowly, but they go fast.
Heroes PSG.LGD
Most played heroes are Elder Titan (3 matches, 100% win rate), Clinkz (3 matches, 100% win rate), Pangolier (3 matches, 100% win rate).
The most successful are all the same Elder Titan, Clinkz, Pangolier.
History of personal confrontations
Earlier, the teams managed to play at the Singapore Major. Then PSG.LGD celebrated a clear victory.
The outcome of the fight
Virtus.pro really looks like a strong team now. Or they look like this "bye".
Nevertheless, PSG.LGD has historically been an inconvenient opponent for VP. The Chinese team is very diverse in terms of the choice of heroes and strategies, and the only thing holding them back is the not very extensive Xiao8 pool, which is forced to play in a central position.
PSG.LGD can undermine VP's confidence and immerse them in unfamiliar conditions. Nevertheless, I do not think that it will help them to win the match that much. I want to play as calmly as possible and bet +1.5 on PSG.LGD.
Exodus: PSG.LGD +1.5.
Virtus.pro and PSG.LGD are a predictor for the ESL One Fall 2021 Upper Bracket match. The opposition of these tags has already become a kind of El Classico in the world of Dota 2, especially at The International. This time, the Chinese club with a substitution, together with xioa8 in the center, they will try to beat Virtus.pro.
Virtus.pro finished the ESL One Fall 2021 group stage unbeaten, they have 5 victories, they swept away T1, Thunder Predator, Team Spirit, Tundra Esports and Creepwave on their way.
PSG.LGD are on the second place in group "B", despite the substitution, they are in the upper bracket of the playoffs, thanks to victories over Alliance, Team Liquid, SG Esports; draw with Team Empire and defeat by beastcoast.
Virtus.pro results in the group stage of ESL One Fall 2021
- Defeating T1
- Defeating Team Spirit
- Defeating Creepwave
- Defeating Thunder Predator
- Defeat Tundra Esports
PSG.LGD results in ESL One Fall 2021 group stage
- Defeating Alliance
- Defeat Team Liquid
- Defeating SG Esports
- Draw with Team Empire
- Defeat by beastcoast
PSG.LGD have 100% win rate on Elder Titan, Clinkz, Pangolier (3 games played), 100% win rate on Sand King, Leshrac, Treant Protector - 2 games played. I haven't won yet with Puck, Templar Assassin, Lycan, Slark, Phoenix, Gyrocopter, Grimstroke, Dragon Knight.
Virtus.pro won all the matches and therefore all heroes will have a 100% win rate, I want to draw your attention only to the frequency of picks and bans of this team. Common Picks: Lion, Phoenix, Wintern Wyvern, Tidehunter, Shadow Demon, Void Spirit. Banned: Medusa, Morphling, Terrorblade, Magnus, Puck, Pangolier, Bloodseeker, Gyrocopter. Ban against Virtus.pro: Faceless Void, Wintern Wyvern, Void Spirit, Beastmaster, Lina, Phantom Lancer.
They played the last match in the current rosters in the upper bracket of ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021, then PSG.LGD closed Virtus.pro with a score of 2: 0 on maps without any particular chances. It is unlikely that the situation will repeat itself, but I will still drown for the Chinese.
Both teams are of about the same level, in equal compositions, I would definitely bet on PSG.LGD to win, but with xiao8 in the mid, problems can really arise against gpk. Although xioa8 has a high rank in China, it is unlikely in the center that he can compete on an equal footing against gpk. PSG.LGD should understand exactly their weakness in the mid, possibly changing roles to surprise the opponent. Anyway, VP shouldn't give Pangolier to xioa8. Obviously, there will be a fight for Wintern Wyvern, but about Void Spirit, most likely, "bears" will rate it, while PSG.LGD doesn't play much on it. Do not forget about Faith_bian, which plays very cool in the complex and can roll out Visage, Lycan, and so on. Perhaps we will see these characters in the bath in the first stage. If PSG.LGD surprises, they will have chances to win, if they leave xioa8 in the center, Virtus.pro will be closed without a chance.
Bookmakers give 1.624 odds on Virtus.pro and 2.348 on PSG.LGD. Purely due to substitution and online, Virtus.pro will have to believe in victory. PSG.LGD beat VP on LAN within the framework of the first Major, if you recall that game, the "bears" played quite on an equal footing with LGD, but the Chinese then choked gpk and often ganked him on Doom, they are unlikely to be able to do it on ESL One Summer 2021. Virtus.pro online is very strong and the main contenders for the championship. I always drown for PSG.LGD, but the situation with the replacement, at this level, should definitely affect.
Prediction: Virtus.pro will outplay PSG.LGD in the ESL One Fall 2021 Upper Bracket - 1.624 odds; with a risk of 2: 0 - coefficient 2.69
And here is the match of the day, I say right away, I do not consider Virtus.pro to be the clear favorite of this match. The Chinese with their coach showed a good game at this tournament, yes, it was difficult at times, but four more players play Dota, who can help to win without any problems. VP are the kings of online, but here they may have problems, somewhere they will not finish the game and somewhere they will underestimate their opponent. I will risk the victory of the Chinese in this match, LGD pleases with their game in spite of the replacement.