Match Prediction: Xtreme Gaming - Team Aster | Dota 2

The first week of DPC 2023 is over. It marked the start of the new season and gave a lot of both high-quality and not-so-high-quality Dota in the Chinese region.

Aster and Xtreme will close the week. You will not find a more epic match for such an event.

In the new season, you expect an equal meeting from the confrontation between Aster and Xtreme. Both teams will compete for the TOP-1 in the region.

Both teams debuted with victories in the first games of the winter draw. Both teams experienced difficulties in the first game.

We figure out which of the teams will be stronger and gain a foothold in the leading positions, defeating a very principled and important opponent.

Team Aster Uniform

Let's start the analysis of the match with the analysis of the form of Team Aster. The team will approach the game in the status of a favorite.

The bookmaker estimates Aster's chance of winning with odds around 1.6. A rather restrained assessment, but still indicating an advantage on the part of Aster.

To be honest, after the first series, I would call the teams equal. Both teams, let's say, did not impress, but in fairness, Aster played against the opponent a little more seriously than Xtreme had.

Team Aster roster

Aster went through the transfer window in fact the best. They managed to maintain an almost full-fledged roster, letting only the top mid player go to rest.

• Monet
• xwy
• xxs
• BoBoKa
• Siamese.C

The backbone of Aster has remained unchanged from last year: Monet, Xxs, BoBoka and Siamese.C will continue to perform for the title club. Among other things, the players will mentor the newcomer Xwy, although the roster coach, rOtK, is better suited for this.

It's too early to judge by one game, but so far Xwy is slightly not up to the level of performance of Ori, who has retired. However, teammates did not shine either, and BoBoKa won the victory, performing at the highest level.

Team Aster Performance

Since the team actually retained its line-up from last season, it is worth mentioning for what merits the backbone remained with its own. And there were merits, where without them.

Aster started the season with a victory at the Intel WOrld Open Beijing, after which they immediately rushed into the cycle of DPC DotA. In the first round of the DPC 2021/2022, Team Aster took 2nd place in the regular league, and then finished in 3rd place in the regional finals, held instead of the first major of the season.

Then Aster played OGA Dota PIT China, where they also took 3rd place and started playing in the second round of the DPC. The final picture has not changed: Aster is third again, but this time they reached the TOP-2 at the regional finals.

Later, the most stable team in China plays the third round and again gets into the TOP-3, in third place, of course. The only Major of the season, the PGL Arlington Major, ends for the club in 3rd place.

Before the main events of last season, Team Aster play at ESL One Malaysia 2022, where they reach the grand final, but lose to OG with a score of 0-3.

At The International 2022, the team confirmed the status of the most stable team in the region, reaching the TOP-4, leaving behind PSG.LGD and other equally famous clubs along the way.

Aster's first opponent in the new season was the Knigts. A vigorous Chinese-Malaysian team brought problems to Aster, but BoBoKa on Keeper of The Light helped Aster to secure the first victory.

Heroes Team Aster

In patch 7.32, Aster didn't invent the wheel: they played as far as possible, which brought results. Of the three most chosen among which are Marci, Mars, Tiny, the first two have won 6 out of 10 matches each, but Tiny has won only four fights.

Like all teams, before the letter patch, they played on Puck (9 matches, 55% wins), Leshrac (8 matches, 75% wins), Snapfire (8 matches, 62% wins).

Xtreme Gaming Uniform

We continue the review by examining the form of Xtreme Gaming. The star team in this match is in the role of a catch-up.

The bookmakers give odds around 2 for Xtreme to win. As mentioned above, in my understanding, there is more parity here.

The only argument against Xtreme is their first series. Being one of the main favorites to win the race in general, Xtreme managed to give away the card to Aries, and it's not entirely clear whether this is the merit of the youth team of their future opponent or the underestimation of the enemy by Extreme themselves.

Composition Xtreme

The transfer period went almost like Aster, with minimal changes. Changed two performers.

• Ghost
• Paparazzi
• JT
• Pyw
• Dy

The team's newcomers are Ghost and JT, who joined the team in early December last year. They replaced old_eLeVeN and lou in their positions.

Ghost previously played Royal Never Give Up and Sparring Arrow Gaming, and JT, together with IG, entered the TOP-4 of The International 2021. In general, if the arrival of players is not a strengthening, then it is not a weakening.

The backbone of Paparazi, Pyw and Dy continues to push their way to the top with Xtreme. They have been trying for the second season in a row, which casts doubt on their capacity.

Xtreme Gaming Performance

Starting last season from 2nd place at Intel World Open Beijing, the team caught up with OGA Dota PIT Season 6: China, where they won against MagMag in the final.

Then there was a performance in the first round of DPC China 2021/2022, followed by a second place and access to the regional finals. At the regional finals, Xtreme took 3rd place, behind PSG.LGD and Team Aster.

Xtreme also played at DPC CN 2021/2022 Tour 3: Division 1, where they took 3rd place. After “average” performances within the first division, Xtreme Gaming got to the closed qualifiers for The International 2022 from China.

The team took 2nd place there, went to the Last Chance Qualifier and, it would seem, should have gone to The International itself, but this did not happen.

Having taken TOP-6 on LCQ, Xtreme Gaming dropped out of the race for Aegis and changed their roster.

In the first match of DPC 2023, they met Aster.Aries. Team Aster's junior team caused problems for the stars, but after the first card was handed over to Xtreme, they got together and closed the series. Shone, by the way, JT: the newcomer of the club filigree played on Magnus in the third map.

Xtreme Gaming Heroes

In patch 7.32 Xtreme Gaming liked to use Death Prophet (13 games, 76% win rate), Shadow Fiend (8 matches, 50% win rate), Earth Spirit (8 matches, 50% win rate), Nyx Assassin (7 matches, 57% win rate)).

History of personal confrontations

Previously, the teams in the updated lineups did not intersect. This match will be the debut confrontation for the clubs.

Match outcome

In this duel, an equal fight is the most expected and real outcome. Considering the debut games, it is clear that both clubs are not fully involved in the season.

Most likely they will play 3 maps, as it was in the matches against Knights and Aries, respectively. This will be the bet.

Result: total +2.5.