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Top Counter-Strike 2 is gaining momentum. PGL Astana 2025 play-offs are heating up, where 8 teams are left in the fight for the main prize of $200,000.
Among the contenders for victory are FURIA - MIBR. The Brazilian derby will take place in the quarter-finals of PGL Astana 2025 in bo3 format.
We are trying to figure out who of the pair MIBR - FURIA will be stronger and will go to the next round, where he will play against the winner of the pair NiP - Spirit.
Let's go.
FURIA Form.
Let's open the analysis of the match FURIA - MIBR with the analysis of FURIA's form. In this match they play as favourites with odds to win at around 1.4.
Furia have attended over 10 tournaments over the year, but the successes have been mediocre. Their most high-profile win was a Top 1 at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: American RMR, which gave them the opportunity to make their mark at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023.
Furia finished their only Major of the season on a Minor note. They failed to rise above the top 16 and were not given by G2 Esports. The misfortunes of the Brazilians did not end there.
Before the ESL Pro League Long Season, the team failed the following events: IEM Masters Dallas 2023 (TOP-12), Thunderpick World Championship 2023 (TOP-16), and Gamers8 2023 (TOP-16).
- FURIA line-up: yuurih, skullz, KSCERATO, FalleN, chelo.
Just before the ESL Pro League Season 18 Long Round, FURIA played at Pinnacle Cup V, where they managed to reach the Top 2. This was the most breakthrough result since the American RMR.
At ESL Pro League Season 18 FURIA played in Basket A. They got to the bottom net after the first round, and from there they went to the last chance net after the second round. There they cameback, defeating Grayhound and GamerLegion, thus getting their slot in the play-offs.
However, they didn't manage to play in the play-offs. In the first round FURIA ran into MOUZ, who became the champions of the prestigious event. As you have already guessed, FURIA lost and with a score of 0-2.
Next, the Brazilians played at a few more events. It was BLAST Premier: Fall American Showdown, with a top-4 for FURIA after losing to Complexity, and also BGS Esports 2023, with a win there.
FURIA entered the Roobet Cup 2023 play-offs pretty confident. They won Group A, ending their two matches with a win.
In the opening match of the Roobet Cup 2023 play-offs FURIA played against Apeks. The Europeans put up a fight, twice taking 11 rounds per card, but it wasn't enough: Furia won 2-0.
Next, FURIA faced Vp in the semi-finals, where they finished their journey to Roobet Cup 2023. After a top-4 finish there, they repeated the result at PARI, Please.
In their opening match at Elisa Masters Espoo 2023, FURIA started with a win over Complexity. Next was a play-offs match against Apeks, where the Brazilians failed to build on their success and lost 0-2.
In the final match of the group stage FURIA played against MOUZ. Being the underdog, the Brazilians managed to oust one of the main contenders to win the Elisa Masters Espoo and qualify for the play-offs. In the end, FURIA performed very well and took the tournament championship by beating Apeks (3-1) in the grand final.
Next were BB Dacha, where FURIA finished top-6, top-24 at IEM Katowice 2024, top-6 at RES Western European Masters: Spring 2024 and then qualifiers for top tournaments. And if at the qualifiers for IEM Dallas Furia was unlucky, they lost in the final 9z, but at PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: American RMR the team managed to win and qualify for the PGL CS2 Copenhagen Major from the American region.
At the tournament itself, FURIA are looking pretty bad so far. FalleN and company lost to their former teammate coldzera in Legacy, as well as Lynn Vision, and managed to win only against KOI, who have already left the championship.
In the next match at PGL CS 2 Copenhagen Major 2024 FURIA beat ENCE. And they beat ENCE 2-0, without much of a chance. In the match for the Elimination Stage they beat sAw, but then they failed to control: at the end of the Elimination Stage Furia won 2-3 and left the World Championship.
Before the ESL Pro League Season 19, FURIA played at IEM China 2024, where they finished top-12. In the first round of ESL Pro League Season 19 FURIA opened with a match against Liquid and Ledge played the Americans with the score 1-2. Then - even more The International heresnier: match against forZe, where FURIA being the favourite went 0-2, and also lost their peak with the score 0-13. In the next match they met BNK and at least there they won on class. However, they failed to reach the top 20.
Before playing at EWC 2024, they played at several Minor CCT tournaments, where they didn't achieve much. At the Esports World Cup 2024 they performed very well, reaching the play-offs and taking the card from MOUZ.
IEM Cologne 2024 FURIA started with the Play-In stage, where they first beat Imperial, but then Ledge and Liquid in the match for the group stage. However, they managed to qualify at the second attempt after defeating Heroic. In the first match of the group stage Ledge and Vitality, and later they left the championship at the TOP-16, Ledge defeated Team Liquid in the decisive match.
ESL Pro League Season 20 FURIA started with a victory over Falcons (2-1), but then Ledge and Vitality (0-2). Then they went down the drain and lost to Spirit and left the championship at the TOP-16 stage.
Before playing at PW Shanghai Major 2024: Americas RMR, FURIA played at IEM Rio 2024, where they reached the TOP-4. FURIA made it to the main tournament - PW: Shanghai Major 2024 after defeating 9Z in the deciding basket match 2-2.
At PW Opening Stage 2024 FURIA Long started with a defeat by GamerLegion. And then - 3 wins (against Imperial, Wildcard and BIG) and an exit to the Elimination Stage. Directly on Elimination Stage Furia Long started with an unexpected victory over Spirit, but then lost to Vitality and Liquid. Then they won against paiN, but finished the championship by losing to the future top 2 from FaZe.
FURIA started the 2025 season by losing BLAST Bounty Spring 2025: Closed Qualifier, where they finished in the top 16. Next up was an appearance at IEM Katowice 2025, where they also finished in the top 16.
ESL Pro League Season 21 Long They started with a win over Lynn Vision, but then lost to Eternal Fire. Overcame the first group stage with a score of 3-2. Once in the top 16, FURIA Ledge beat MOUZ and Liquid, but were beaten by their compatriots from MIBR.
FURIA visited ESL Pro League Season 21. There the Brazilian club failed to overcome the group stage and FURIA left the championship at the TOP-14 stage. In addition, they attended BLAST Lisbon 2025, where they took the last place.
At PGL Bucharest 2025 Long Sogpeg started with a win over Apogee Esports and then lost to Complexity. Then Ledge or Vp and everything as usual. Total - TOP-14.
In the PGL Astana 2025 FURIA passed very confidently, taking the top 3. Passed in the play-offs with a score of 3-1, Ledgeiv only MongolZ.
FURIA Mapple
The best map of FURIA remains Vertigo, the Brazilians played there 5 times and won in 3 maps. Next comes Mirage, with 7 games and 4-3 stats.
Neutral choice for Furia will be Nuke and Ancient. There the Brazilians have 6 maps and the score is 3-3 on each.
The worst is Overpass (2-3) and Inferno (1-2).
MIBR Form.
We continue the analysis of the match MIBR - FURIA with the analysis of MIBR form. In this match they play the number two side with odds to win at around 2.5.
In 2023, Long Sogpeg started with an appearance at the Intel Extreme Masters Katowice 2023. At that time, the Brazilians placed in the top 20. Then there were several qualifications, including the IEM Rio Masters 2023. At the Rio itself, they finished Top 16, but before that they won several B-tier tournaments, including ESL Challenger Season 44: North America and CCT North America Series #4.
At the S-tier championships, as unlucky as they were. ESL Pro League Season 17 had a top-28 at ESL Pro League Season 17 and a top-8 at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: American RMR, which prevented them from qualifying for the only Major of the season.
- Composition mibr: exit, insani, drop, saffee, lucaozy.
Prior to the ESL Pro League Season 18, mibr attended a number of other tournaments. ESL Challenger League Season 45, followed by Top 1 there. But at CCT North Europe Series #6, CCT Online Finals #2 and Gamers8 2023 the successes were more modest: TOP-5-8 and TOP-16 respectively.
In the first match of ESL Pro League Season 18, mibr faced MOUZ, the only match of the first round that didn't end in favour of the favourite, as the Brazilians managed to flick MOUZ 2-1.
In the match to qualify for the play-offs, Mibr met ENCE. Despite the different weight classes, the Brazilian five gave ENCE serious competition: two matches ended on dopas (18-22 on Vertigo in favour of ENCE and 19-17 on Anubis), but on Ancient the Brazilians were edged 11-16, thus falling to the lower net.
In the previous match, MIBR played against Ukrainian club Monte. Not without problems, but MIBR closed the series with the score 2-1 in their favour. However, they failed to move further and as a result - TOP-20.
In the season 2024 MIBR did not have the stars in the sky. The team failed the American RMR and held a series of very unproductive tournaments. They finished in the top 6 at BB Dacha, ESL Challengers 47 SA, ESL Challengers at DreamHack 2024. At CCT Season 1 Global Finals and CCT Season 2 South America it was worse - top 12.
MIBR performed at Esports World Cup 2024, where they failed to make it through the Opening Stage. As a result - TOP-15. They also visited IEM Cologne 2024, where they played in a similar way - TOP-20
MIBR made it to PW Shanghai Major 2024 after playing at American RMR, where they finished TOP-1-2, beating Complexity. PW Shanghai Major 2024: Opening Stage Long They started with an important win over Vp, but then lost to The MongolZ and Passion UA, and then defeated Rare Atom. In the 2-2 basket, the team faced MOUZ, where they lost, thus finishing PW Shanghai Major 2024 in the top 12, which is still not a bad result.
In the 2025 season, Long Sogpeg started with an appearance at BLAST Bounty Season 1. There MIBR was not very lucky and the Brazilians ended up in TOP-17-32, losing in the first round of qualifiers. Next was a similar IEM Katowice 2025, where MIBR took TOP-20. From the top tournaments they also attended PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, where they took TOP-14.
At ESL Pro League Season 21 they debuted with the score 1-1. In the 2-1 basket, they qualified after beating FURIA. In the match for the next round they defeated TYLOO, thus ending the stage with a score of 3-1. However, the joy ended literally immediately in the next round. MIBR won stage 2 with a score of 0-3, leaving the tournament at the Top 16.
They attended IEM Melbourne 2025, which was (so far) one of MIBR's top performances of the season. They finished in TOP-12, which is not a good result.
At the Long Conference PGL Astana 2025 MIBR beat G2 Esports, but later lost to MongolZ and FURIA. They managed to qualify for the play-offs with a 3-2 win over paiN and Vp.
MIBR Mapppool
The mibr has a rather narrow pool of cards. Among the most popular are Mirage and Nuke (2 matches and 50% wins on each).
Next is Anubis (5 matches, 2 wins). Among the worst are Inferno and Ancient (3 matches each and 1 win).
History of head-to-head meetings MIBR - FURIA
Previously the teams played each other 4 times in the season 2025. The score is 3-1 in favour of FURIA.
Predicted result of the match FURIA - MIBR at PGL Astana 2025.
In this match I expect FURIA to win. They have already shown at PGL Astana 2025 that they can beat their Brazilian colleagues and clearly know what a good Counter-Strike 2 is.
Bottom line: FURIA wins.
