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Our CS2 betting tips series on BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 continues. We are watching the action on Stage 2, where 8 slots are up for grabs in Stage 3, 2 of which are already taken.
Falcons and MIBR are among the contenders for the next stage. However, it's still a long way to go: both teams are in the 1-2 basket.
We form our betting tip for Falcons vs MIBR and try to predict the exact outcome of the match.
How the bookies view it: Falcons favourite
Before we analyse the match, let's understand who is the favourite here. In this match it is very obvious and no The International Rig is not worth waiting for. Falcons in the status of clear favourite.
Bookmakers give the Falcons an average odds of 1.16. Very logical, very expected, but at the same time - Falcons in the basket 1-2.
Falcons form. What result can be expected from FLNC
We open our betting tip with an analysis of Falcons form.
The Falcons have been in search of themselves all year 2023. They started their professional season with appearances at B-Tier tournaments: Thunderpick Bitcoin Series #2, OMEN WRG Challenge 2023 and CCT West Europe Series #1. At the first two, they celebrated a top-2 finish, and at the more prestigious CCT, a top-8 finish.
Later tried to make it to the Paris Major . Had two attempts, at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: European RMR A and BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: European RMR B. Both were unsuccessful: top-11 and top-6.
In the middle of the year, Falcons continued to bang their heads against the wall. Top-13 at ESL Challenge League Season 45: Europe, Top-10 at ESL Championnat National Spring 2023 and Top-24 at Thunderpick World Championship 2023: European Series #1.
Tried to qualify for IEM Sydney 2023, but fell off at the top-64 stage in the open qualifiers. As a Saudi Arabian club they got a slot at Gamers8 2023, where they played to the best of their ability, which was Top 16.
- Falcons roster: Magisk, NiKo, TeSeS, kyxsan, m0NESY.
At the end of the year Falcons tried to make DreamTeam. So far it's going so well, because they failed the first tournament with the new squad. That was BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2024, where the team finished top-12.
At IEM Katowice 2024 they got to the IEM Katowice 2024 by ESL Ranking points. There they were in the top 10 before the Long Sogpeg of the tournament, but for what merits - a big mystery.
IEM Katowice 2024 Falcons started with a defeat against the best team of Turkey - Eternal Fire. After losing to the Turks, Falcons were close to crashing out of the tournament in a lower bracket match against Rebels, but managed to stay afloat thanks to a 2-1 win. In fact, a similar situation happened in the match against CoL, where Falcons gave up the first map, but cameback on the second and closed the series with a third. Later they defeated NaVi, and at the end of the championship they took the top 4, Ledgeiv to the future champions from Team Spirit.
Later they played at ESL Pro League Season 19, where they completely failed, finishing in the top-28. IEM Dallas 2024 started with a loss to G2, but then confidently ran over Monte with a score of 2-0. However, the Falcons were not enough for much more and at the end of IEM Dallas 2024 they finished in TOP-9-12.
Before the performance at IEM Dallas 2024 they visited Challengers at DreamHack. They got to IEM Dallas 2024 thanks to ESL rankings. However, IEM Dallas 2024 did not manage to go far: TOP-12. In general, in the season 2024 Falcons showed a disgusting game, only moments, like at the BLAST Premier: Fall Showdown 2024, got into the prizes.
The Falcons' high point in the 2024 season was their performance at PW Shanghai Major 2024: European RMR A, where the team finished in the Top 14 before reaching the main tournament.
Dream Team Long Sogpeg's 2025 season began with an appearance at BLAST Bounty Season 1. There, Falcons expectedly failed, finishing in the top 16. At the following IEM Katowice 2025 nothing changed: TOP-16, no chance.
PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 is better than all the tournaments the Falcons played in the 2025 season. They reached the play-offs for the first time in a long time, winning the Swiss 3-1. In the first round of play-offs Falcons pleasantly surprised by beating Eternal Fire 2-0. Next up was a win over FaZe, but a loss to MOUZ in the grand finals.
They started ESL Pro League Season 21 with a win over Liquid. Next, we lost to MOUZ and 3DMax. They clung to life at the tournament by beating FURIA, but then came Eternal Fire and the Falcons' elimination at the top-11.
At the BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 Falcons Long started their performance with a defeat to MOUZ and ended up in the bottom of Group A, beating Huns Esports. However, already in the next round they lost to Vp, thus finishing the BLAST Open Lisbon 2025 on the 12th place.
At PGL Bucharest 2025 Falcons lost to CoL and GamerLegion, but barely beat paiN, keeping a chance for play-offs. They went on to beat Rare Atom and qualified for the play-offs after beating MongolZ. They opened the main part of PGL Bucharest 2025 with a victory over GamerLegion. Then they beat FaZe 2-1 and in the grand final they literally wiped out their principal rival G2, winning the first major CS2 tournament in a long time.
IEM Melbourne 2025 opened with a win against sAw. Then they outplayed NaVi, but in the match for seeding in play-offs Ledge and Vitality, thus Long Sogpegov in the main stage from the quarter-finals. In the first round of the play-offs they destroyed GamerLegion, ending the game 2-0, while giving up a total of 7 rounds in the series. The semi-finals followed pretty much the same scenario, 13-3 and 13-6 in favour of the Falcons. In the grand finals, Falcons lost to Vitality 2-3 and it was one of the most colourful matches in Counter-Strike 2 history.
At BLAST Rivals Season 1, Falcons continued to show off their high class Counter-Strike 2. They defeated FaZe and Spirit in the group stage, thus winning Group B and advancing straight to the semi-finals of BLAST Rivals Season 1. They beat MOUZ 2-0 to advance to the grand finals. In the grand final of BLAST Rivals Season 1 Falcons once again played against Vitality and once again Ledgeili with a score of 2-3.
BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 Falcons unexpectedly lost their first two matches, Ledgeiv B8 and Lynn Vision, but beat OG with a win.
MIBR form. What result can be expected from MIBR
We continue the analysis of the match MIBR - Falcons with the analysis of MIBR form.
In 2023 Long Sogpeg started with the performance at the Intel Extreme Masters Katowice 2023. The Brazilians finished in the top 20. Then there were several qualifications, including the IEM Rio Masters 2023. At the Rio itself, they finished Top 16, but before that they won several B-tier tournaments, including ESL Challenger Season 44: North America and CCT North America Series #4.
At the S-tier championships, as unlucky as they were. ESL Pro League Season 17 had a top-28 at ESL Pro League Season 17 and a top-8 at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: American RMR, which prevented them from qualifying for the only Major of the season.
- Composition of mibr: exit, insani, drop, brnz4n, lucaozy.
Prior to the ESL Pro League Season 18 Long Season, mibr attended a number of other tournaments. ESL Challenger League Season 45, followed by Top 1 there. But at CCT North Europe Series #6, CCT Online Finals #2 and Gamers8 2023 the successes were more modest: TOP-5-8 and TOP-16 respectively.
In the first match of ESL Pro League Season 18, mibr faced MOUZ, the only match of the first round that didn't end in favour of the favourite, as the Brazilians managed to flick MOUZ 2-1.
In the match to qualify for the play-offs, Mibr met ENCE. Despite the different weight classes, the Brazilian five gave ENCE serious competition: two matches ended on dopas (18-22 on Vertigo in favour of ENCE and 19-17 on Anubis), but on Ancient the Brazilians were edged 11-16, thus falling to the lower net.
In the previous match, MIBR played against Ukrainian club Monte. Not without problems, but MIBR closed the series with the score 2-1 in their favour. However, they failed to move further and as a result - TOP-20.
In the season 2024 MIBR did not have the stars in the sky. The team failed the American RMR and held a series of very unproductive tournaments. They finished in the top 6 at BB Dacha, ESL Challengers 47 SA, ESL Challengers at DreamHack 2024. At CCT Season 1 Global Finals and CCT Season 2 South America it was worse - top 12.
MIBR performed at Esports World Cup 2024, where they failed to make it through the Opening Stage. As a result - TOP-15. They also visited IEM Cologne 2024, where they played in a similar way - TOP-20
MIBR made it to PW Shanghai Major 2024 after playing at American RMR, where they finished TOP-1-2, beating Complexity. PW Shanghai Major 2024: Opening Stage Long They started with an important win over Vp, but then lost to The MongolZ and Passion UA, and then defeated Rare Atom. In the 2-2 basket, the team faced MOUZ, where they lost, thus finishing PW Shanghai Major 2024 in the top 12, which is still not a bad result.
In the 2025 season, Long Sogpeg started with an appearance at BLAST Bounty Season 1. There MIBR was not very lucky and the Brazilians ended up in TOP-17-32, losing in the first round of qualifiers. Next was a similar IEM Katowice 2025, where MIBR took TOP-20. From the top tournaments they also attended PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, where they took TOP-14.
At ESL Pro League Season 21 they debuted with the score 1-1. In the 2-1 basket, they qualified after beating FURIA. In the match for the next round they defeated TYLOO, thus ending the stage with a score of 3-1. However, the joy ended literally immediately in the next round. MIBR won stage 2 with a score of 0-3, leaving the tournament at the Top 16.
They attended IEM Melbourne 2025, which was (so far) one of MIBR's top performances of the season. They finished in TOP-12, which is not a good result.
At the Long Conference PGL Astana 2025 MIBR beat G2 Esports, but later lost to MongolZ and FURIA. They managed to make it to the play-offs with a score of 3-2, beating paiN and Vp. However, they failed to go far: they lost in the first round of the play-offs, finishing in the top 8.
At BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 Long Sogpeg started with a loss to Legacy and Nemiga, then defeated BB in a match for life.
Recent head to head: first-ever meeting
The teams had not previously played each other in official matches.
Players to watch: insani and m0NESY
The main stars of the match between Falcons and MIBR should be insani and m0NESY. Both headliners stand out with strong individual stats and have been playing very well in BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025, but Falcons and MIBR are 1-2 in the basket.
Which maps does pick and ban most often Falcons
The Falcons best map is Nuke (1 game, 1 win). Next is Ancient (1 win, 1 loss).
Among the unfavourable maps for Falcons are Vertigo and Anubis. On the former they have 3 matches and 1 win, while on Anubis they have 1 loss.
Which maps does pick and ban most often MIBR
Mibr has a pretty narrow pool of maps. Among the most popular are Mirage and Nuke (2 matches and 50% wins on each).
Next is Anubis (5 matches, 2 wins). Among the worst are Inferno and Ancient (3 matches each and 1 win).
Predicted result of the match between Falcons - MIBR at BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 Stage 2
Despite the frankly terrible game at BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025, I just can't believe that they will go down 1-3. I can't get it into my head, although objectively, with a game like this, the Falcons have nothing to do in the next stage of the tournament.
Betting prediction: Falcons win 2-0.