Welcome to all esports and Counter-Strike 2 fans! From January 22 to 25, 2026, one of the biggest tournaments of the winter part of the season, BLAST Bounty Winter 2026, will take place. Eight teams that qualified through closed qualifiers will compete in the tournament, fighting for the champion title and a prize pool of $452,500. Among the Semifinals matches, we highlight Team Falcons vs Vitality, which promises to be an exciting matchup. While the teams prepare, we’ll share our CS2 betting tips and insights on this match.
How the bookies view it: Vitality favorite
Most bookmakers consider Vitality the favorites in the match against Team Falcons at BLAST Bounty Winter 2026. The team was the strongest in the previous season and won two Majors.
Team Falcons form. What result can be expected from Team Falcons
Our betting tips and CS2 picks for the Team Falcons vs Vitality matchup begin with analyzing Team Falcons form.
Team Falcons roster: NiKo, TeSeS, kyxsan, m0NESY, kyousuke.
The 2025 DreamTeam Long Sogpeg season began with BLAST Bounty Season 1. Falcons once again failed, finishing in 16th place. At IEM Katowice 2025, the situation did not change — once again 16th place, with no real chances.
PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 became Falcons’ best tournament of that season. They reached the playoffs for the first time in a long while, going 3–1 in the Swiss stage. In the first playoff round, they pleasantly surprised everyone by defeating Eternal Fire 2–0. They then beat FaZe but lost to MOUZ in the grand final.
At ESL Pro League Season 21, they started with a win over Liquid but then lost to MOUZ and 3DMAX. They stayed alive by beating FURIA, but Eternal Fire knocked them out, and they finished the tournament in 11th place.
At BLAST Open Lisbon 2025, Falcons Long started with a loss to MOUZ and finished last in Group A, beating only Huns Esports. In the next round, they lost to VP and ended the tournament in 12th place.
At PGL Bucharest 2025, Falcons lost to Complexity and GamerLegion but managed to beat paiN, keeping their playoff hopes alive. They then defeated Rare Atom and The MongolZ, securing a playoff spot. In the main stage, they opened with a win over GamerLegion, then beat FaZe 2–1, and in the grand final crushed their biggest rival G2, claiming their first major CS2 title in a long time.
At IEM Melbourne 2025, Falcons began with a victory over sAw, then defeated NaVi, but lost to Vitality in the seeding match, which placed them in the quarterfinals of the playoffs. There, they demolished GamerLegion 2–0, conceding only seven rounds in total. The semifinals followed a similar scenario — 13–3 and 13–6 in favor of Falcons. In the grand final, they lost to Vitality 2–3 in one of the most spectacular Counter-Strike 2 matches in history.
It is also worth noting their performance at BLAST Rivals Season 1, where Team Falcons once again finished second, losing the grand final to Vitality with the same 2–3 scoreline.
The team also placed 3rd–4th at IEM Dallas 2025.
At one of the main tournaments of the year, BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025, Team Falcons performed below expectations. In Stage 2, the team unexpectedly finished with a 1–3 record and was eliminated from the tournament, placing in the top 22.
At IEM Cologne 2025, Team Falcons performed slightly better, but still below fan expectations, finishing in 12th place.
The Esports World Cup 2025 turned out to be a very successful tournament for Falcons, as the team delighted their fans by finishing in 3rd place on home soil.
At ESL Pro League Season 22, Team Falcons went 3–0 in both Stage 1 and Stage 2. In the playoffs, the team defeated 3DMAX and MOUZ, but lost to Vitality in the grand final, finishing the tournament in 2nd place.
At IEM Chengdu 2025, Team Falcons performed at a similar level, showing good quality of play and finishing in 3rd place.
At BLAST Rivals Fall 2025, Team Falcons also performed at a high level, losing only to FURIA in the grand final and finishing the tournament in 2nd place.
Team Falcons also participated in the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025. The team started directly from Stage 3, where they finished with a 3–2 record. In the playoffs, the team lost their first match and was eliminated from the tournament, finishing in the top 8.
Vitality form. What result can be expected from Vitality
We continue our CS2 tips with analyzing Vitality form. Vitality is one of the strongest CS2 teams of the past few seasons and a two-time Major champion.
Vitality roster: apEX, ZywOo, mezii, ropz, flameZ.
Vitality started the 2025 season with the BLAST Bounty Spring 2025: Closed Qualifier, where they secured two easy victories and qualified for the main event. However, at BLAST Bounty Spring 2025, Vitality unexpectedly lost their first match and were eliminated from the tournament, finishing in the top 8.
Vitality began their winning streak at IEM Katowice 2025. The team won their group in the Group Stage and qualified for the playoffs, where they defeated Mongolz and Team Spirit to become tournament champions.
The next winning tournament was ESL Pro League Season 21. In Stage 2, Vitality finished with a 3–0 record, and in the playoffs they defeated Team Liquid, Mongolz, and MOUZ to claim the championship.
At BLAST Open Spring 2025, the team also secured a victory, though not as easily. In the grand final, they once again faced MOUZ and won with a score of 3–2.
Thanks to their successful performances, Vitality became the winners of ESL Grand Slam Season 5 and received $1 million.
At IEM Melbourne 2025, Vitality won without major difficulty, continuing their winning streak.
Vitality also participated in BLAST Rivals Spring 2025. In the Group Stage, the team finished with a 2–0 record, and in the playoffs they defeated Team Spirit and Team Falcons to become tournament champions.
IEM Dallas 2025 followed a similar scenario. Vitality won their group and, in the playoffs, defeated Team Falcons and MOUZ to claim the championship.
At one of the main tournaments of the season, BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025, Vitality gave their fans some nervous moments. In Stage 3, the team finished with a 3–1 record, and in the playoffs they defeated NAVI 2–0, MOUZ 2–1, and Mongolz 2–1 to become tournament champions. As a result, Vitality’s winning streak at S-tier tournaments reached seven consecutive victories.
At IEM Cologne 2025, Vitality failed to win a tournament for the first time after their winning streak and finished in 3rd–4th place. It became noticeable that the team’s level of play had declined, and they were no longer showing the same high level as at the start of the season. Vitality’s performances at BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 and the Esports World Cup 2025 can also be considered unsuccessful, as the team finished in the top 4.
Vitality also took part in BLAST Open Fall 2025, where they defeated MOUZ 2–0 in the semifinals but lost to G2 2–3 in the grand final, finishing in second place.
At ESL Pro League Season 22, Vitality started the tournament with an unexpected loss to M8 but quickly recovered, securing victories in the following matches against GamerLegion, HOTU, and G2 Esports.
In the playoffs, Vitality were unstoppable — the team defeated FURIA, FaZe Clan, and in the grand final convincingly beat Team Falcons 3–0 to become tournament champions.
At IEM Chengdu 2025, Vitality also showed a solid level of play, finishing the tournament in second place.
Vitality performed slightly below expectations at BLAST Rivals Fall 2025, finishing in 3rd–4th place.
Thanks to their successful performances, Vitality became the champions of the BLAST Frequent Flyers Program 2025 and received $461,538.
At the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025, Vitality were among the main favorites. In Stage 3, the team finished with a 3–1 record, and in the playoffs they defeated Mongolz, Team Spirit, and FaZe Clan to become tournament champions.
Recent head to head
Team Falcons and Vitality have played against each other 8 times, of which the former won 2 matches and the latter won 6. The match at BLAST Bounty Winter 2026 is important because the winner advances to the tournament final.
Which maps does Team Falcons pick and ban most often?
Let’s analyze both teams map statistics to make smart CS2 picks.
Strong maps
- Dust2: high win percentage (80.0%) with 5 matches played.
- Mirage: high win percentage (77.8%) with 9 matches played.
- Nuke: high win percentage (66.7%) with 9 matches played.
- Inferno: high win percentage (62.5%) with 8 matches played.
Average results
- Ancient: high win percentage (60.0%) with 5 matches played.
Which maps does Vitality pick and ban most often?
Strong maps
- Mirage: high win percentage (100.0%) with 6 matches played.
- Anubis: high win percentage (100.0%) with 1 matches played.
- Dust2: high win percentage (87.5%) with 8 matches played.
- Overpass: high win percentage (71.4%) with 7 matches played.
Average results
- Inferno: average winning percentage (63.6%) with 11 matches played.
Weak maps
- Nuke: low win percentage (45.5%) with 11 matches played.
- Ancient: low win percentage (0.0%) with 1 matches played.
Predicted result of the match between Team Falcons and Vitality at BLAST Bounty Winter 2026
Most analysts consider Vitality the favorites in the match against Team Falcons at BLAST Bounty Winter 2026. The team was the strongest in the previous season and is a two-time Major champion. However, Team Falcons should not be underestimated, as the team is also among the strongest. In our opinion, based on previous results, Vitality will win this match. Fans should expect a dynamic and exciting game.
Betting prediction: Vitality wins.
#439
AM Gaming
#77
FAVBET TEAMWatch match
133
