Prediction on match CS2 Aurora - G2 Esports

Aurora face G2 in a decisive best-of-one elimination match in Round 3 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 Swiss stage. Welcome to EGamersWorld, we continue to follow the action from Orlando with every pivotal moment of the tournament. Both teams are sitting at 1-1, and this match is a survival test for both rosters.

How the bookies view it: Aurora favorite

Bookmakers give Aurora the edge here, with odds showing around 66% win probability for the Turkish team. Despite G2 holding a top-8 spot in the HLTV rankings, their current form places them a few steps below their usual level. Aurora, while not a flawless tier-one team, are showing stable results and sharper mid-round executions—enough to make them the statistical and momentum-based favorite.

Aurora form. What result can be expected from Aurora

Aurora had a strong start to the Major: a dominant 13-5 win over FaZe on Anubis, followed by a 7-13 loss to FURIA on Dust2 that was more about missed clutches than getting outclassed. They’ve looked well-prepared, with early-round dominance, solid T-side calling, and compact CT setups. Since the roster rebuild in April with former Eternal Fire core players, the team has already proven they belong in big arenas.

• MAJ3R
• XANTARES
• woxic
• Wicadia
• jottAAA

Aurora’s strength lies in their synergy and discipline. Their CT setups on Anubis and Dust2 are structured and reliable, and their early-round calls often catch teams off-guard. They’re warmed up and ready to punch above their weight.

G2 form. What result can be expected from G2

​G2 still hold top-8 HLTV status, but their gameplay doesn’t currently reflect it. Their showing at the Austin Major so far has been inconsistent, including a 0-2 loss to Virtus.pro where they failed to take control in key moments. They’ve flashed brilliance in isolated rounds, but can’t seem to maintain pace across the map. Their mid-to-late-round coordination and map control have looked off against sharper sides.

• Snax
• huNter-
• hades
• HeavyGod
• malbsMd

G2 have the firepower and experience, but they look vulnerable. They are still playing with a level of status that doesn’t reflect their current form. Statistically and stylistically, they’re under pressure—and against an aggressive and coherent Aurora, cracks are starting to show.

Recent head to head: Aurora edging it

There’s no direct recent head-to-head between these exact lineups, but form-wise and based on current playstyle trends, Aurora are edging it. G2’s results against top-tier teams have been below expectations, while Aurora have overperformed in similar matchups. It’s hard to call, but momentum clearly favors the Turkish side.

Players to watch: XANTARES and hades

​XANTARES remains one of the most impactful riflers from the Turkish scene. His control over mid and opening duels gives Aurora round-start tempo. If he gets space, Aurora can overwhelm early and snowball. On the other side, hades is still G2’s key pressure point—when he pops off, they look elite, but when he’s neutralized, the entire team drops off quickly.

Probable map picks

With this being a BO1, map selection is more important than ever. Aurora are strongest on Anubis and Dust2 and will likely push for one of them. G2 are typically strong on Nuke and Inferno, but given recent struggles, Anubis might be the safest neutral ground. Whoever dictates the veto will carry a big edge into the server.

Which maps does pick and ban most often Aurora?

Aurora consistently avoid Overpass and Nuke, leaning heavily into Anubis and Dust2. They’ve shown strong performance on both recently, including their opening win against FaZe. Their strategy is simple: play comfort maps with strong fundamentals and rely on early-round momentum.

Which maps does pick and ban most often G2?

G2 usually ban Anubis or Dust2, favoring maps like Inferno and Nuke. However, their current form doesn’t reflect stability even on those traditional strongholds. If Aurora force Anubis through the veto, G2 may be forced into a map they’re not fully confident on.

Anything else catch the eye?

Aurora have shown good discipline in late-rounds: clean eco conversions and solid transitions between halves. Their utility usage is more refined, and their firepower across the roster feels balanced. G2, on the other hand, have shown weaker mid-round reads and tend to lose momentum after slow starts. There's also the psychological angle—G2 still carry the "favorite" tag, which makes them more susceptible to pressure in a BO1. Aurora, in contrast, are playing with house money.

Both teams are warmed up and ready to show their best game, but the Turkish side looks better-prepared for a tight BO1.

Predicted result of the match

Aurora should be able to close this one in the mid-rounds. G2’s lack of form and cohesion will cost them if NiKo or m0NESY don’t hard-carry from the start. With better momentum, a map pool advantage, and current rhythm, Aurora look set to take it.

Both teams understand that a defeat will not throw them out of the Austin Major, but no one is going to give in, so we expect a quick match between the two included opponents, where the advantage will be on Aurora's side immediately, or in the fourth round.

Predicted Winner: Aurora