Match Prediction: Complexity Gaming - Vitality | CS2 (CS:GO)
PGL CS2 Major Copenhagen 2024Welcome to EGamersWorld.
We're continuing to break down what's happening at PGL CS2 Copenhagen Major 2024. We're talking about the Elimination Stage, where 16 teams started their journey to the play-offs championship.
During three days of fierce virtual battles in the capital of Denmark, we have already determined 2 teams that left the tournament (FURIA and The MongolZ), as well as two teams that earned a slot in the play-offs - MOUZ and Spirit. One more club will join them soon and it will be the winner of the Vitality - Complexity pairing.
We will try to figure out which of the teams will win this match and take their place in the play-offs, and who will have to go to play the last chance match in the 2-2 grid.
Let's go.
Vitality Form
Let's start the match analysis with Vitality's form. In this match, the team will play the number one, with odds to win at around 1.2.
The first half of the 2023 season has been a real celebration for Vitality. It started with a win at the spring Blast Premier groups and a top-6 finish at the top IEM Katowice 2023 and ESL Pro League Season 4. Next was Top 3 at European RMR B and triumph at the most domestic Major e - BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023. After winning the Paris Major e Vitality took the top 2 at the spring finals of BLAST, Ledge and Heroic in the grand finals.
The last tournament before IEM Katowice was BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023. There Vitality showed a worse result than expected, with the top 6 in the end.
- Vitality lineup: apEX, ZywOo, mezii, Spinx, flameZ.
After the triumphant Paris Major a Vitality said goodbye to Dupreeh, and flameZ took his place. The "newcomer" Vitality has had time to adapt and looks good: the young Israeli has KDA 1.09 and this is the third result of the team. He, by the way, started his ascent on the big stage with OG.
In their debut match at IEM Cologne 2023, Vitality only confirmed their status as one of the main favourites in Group B. OG tried, but were defeated 16-6 by Mirage and 16-13 by Anubis.
After defeating OG, Vitality took on MOUZ, who were dealt an even bigger blow by the Bees, 16-4 and 16-5.
In the match for seeding in the play-offs Vitality met another top club - G2 Esports. A nerve-wracking game where Vitality pulled out a 19-17 win on Inferno in the extra time, but then lost 10-16 to Vertigo and 8-16 to Mirage.
Starting the play-offs from the first round stumbled Cloud9. "Cloud9 tried to fight back and almost succeeded on the second map, but ZywOo and company were undeterred: 16-11 Mirage and 19-17 Inferno. However, this was the end of Vitality's stay at the tournament: they met ENCE in the semi-finals and lost with 1-2 score and dropped out of the championship.
The top 4 at IEM Cologne did not embarrass Vitality at all, on the contrary - it fuelled them. Before the end of the year they pocketed 3 more wins at title tournaments: they took revenge on ENCE in the Gamers8 Grand Final and beat FaZe twice at BLAST tournaments (Fall Final 2023 and World Final 2023).
Before playing at PGL CS2 Copenhagen Major 2024: European RMR B played BLAST Premier: Spring Groups, where they passed the group stage without any problems and at IEM Katowice 2024, where they failed very unexpectedly, finishing top-12.
At the PGL CS2 Copenhagen Major 2024: European RMR B Vitality stomped GamerLegion and Heroic without any problems, giving up a total of 5 rounds in two maps. And then it was worse - a loss from C9, but a win over ENCE allowed Vitality to reach the Major.
At the PGL CS2 Copenhagen Major 2024 itself, Vitality faced a loss in the first game against Eternal Fire, but further wins over The MongolZ and Imperial put Vitality up 2-1.
Vitality's Mappool
Vitality's best map is Nuke. It has 4 matches and 4 wins.
Anubis (7 matches, 85% wins), Mirage (4 matches, 75% wins) are very good. In general, Vitality doesn't have any bad cards that they play. Vertigo - 71% wins in 7 matches, Inferno and Overpass - 3 wins in 5 matches.
Ancient is not played.
Form Complexity
Let's move on to a breakdown of Complexity's game form. In this match, the Americans will be playing as the number two, with win odds around 3.
At top tournaments, including Blast Paris Major 2023, CoL have been on the back foot. The team finished top 21-21-28 at EPL S17, and at Major e it was top 20.
CoL started playing a little better in the second half of the year. They were already top six at BLAST Premier: Spring Final 2023.
- Complexity lineup: EliGe, JT, floppy, hallzerk, Grim
The "newcomer" to CoL is EliGE. The North American CSGO legend joined CoL a month ago, but has already managed to become the leader of the team in KDA with 1.10 rating.
Complexity played at IEM Masters Cologne 2023, where they finished early. CoL crashed out at the Long Cogner Play-In, losing to OG and finishing in the top 24.
CoL partially overcame their failure by winning the local Thunderpick World Championship 2023: North America Series #2. They defeated Nouns in the grand finals.
In the first match at the EPL S18 Complexity faced 9INE. The Poles put up a good fight, but couldn't pull out a win - the result was 2-1 in favour of CoL.
In the match to come here Complexity surprised, perhaps, everyone. They ran over Cloud9 with an ice rink, closing the series 2-0 in their favour.
They didn't manage to play long in the play-offs. CoL went straight to the second round of the main stage, but there they lost to Monte with a 1-2 score, finishing in the top-12.
Before the IEM Sydney 2023 Long Convergence, Monte fuelled themselves with a win on American Blast. They defeated Team Liquid 2-0 in the grand final of the qualifier, thus earning themselves a place at the autumn finals.
In the first round of IEM Sydney 2023 CoL played against Monte. Ukrainian club gave a fight, but the forces were enough only for 9 rounds.
Next, the Americans met with the "samurai" from G2 Esports. They gave a fight, but it was not enough: as a result, G2 closed the series with a score of 2-0, giving the Americans a total of 14 rounds.
After the defeat from G2 in the group stage, Complexity seemed to go off the chain: the club started to gain momentum and go head-to-head: first 2-1 against Cloud9, then a confident 2-0 against Monte, and then - play-offs. In the main stage of IEM Sydney 2023 CoL ran over BB Team (2-0) in the first round, and in the semi-finals they avenged their group loss to G2 Esports by knocking M0nesy and company out of the tournament with a 2-0 win.
After a top performance at IEM Sydney 2023, CoL travelled to play Thunderpick World Championship 2023. There the result was more modest - now top 9 with a 1-2 loss to MOUZ.
At BLAST Premier: Fall Finals 2023 Complexity got into Group A, where they played two matches. In the first, they beat Astralis 2-0, followed by Ledge and Vitality (1-2) in the play-offs seeding match.
In the first round of play-offs Complexity played against Natus Vincere. The match ended in favour of the Americans, although the game was close (2-1).
CoL finished their way through BLAST Premier: Fall Finals 2023 in the second round of the play-offs, and fell out after a meeting with FaZe. As a result, CoL finished in the top 4 at BLAST Premier: Fall Finals 2023 and lost their chance to play at the World Final.
Next up was Elisa Masters Espoo 2023 and ESL Challenger at DreamHack Atlanta 2023. At the former CoL finished in the top 8, and at the latter they finished in the top 6.
The 2024 season started with a victory at the American PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: North American Qualifier, but then - failure. It happened at the BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2024 tournament, where the Americans took TOP-16. Then it was no better than IEM Katowice 2024, where CoL took TOP-12 and TOP-5 at American RMR.
Despite the shaky results CoL made it to the Legends stage at PGL CS2 Major Copenhagen 2024. And they feel very well: victories over paiN and Heroic are proof of that. However, in the match for the play-offs Complexity were de-classified: MOUZ outplayed CoL in a blowout, sending the Americans to a 2-1 score.
Complexity's mappool
Complexity's map roll is pretty sad. The most successful map is Overpass with 5 wins in 9 matches.
They can also play on Nuke, Ancient and Anubis. But they have 33% wins each, with a very poor record of 6 and 3 maps respectively.
History of head-to-head meetings CoL - Vitality
The last time they played on BLAST Premier: Fall Final 2023 and then Vitality won. However, Vitality are historically stronger than CoL and have not lost to the Americans.
Predicted result of Vitality - Complexity at PGL CS2 Copenhagen Major 2024
In this match I expect a beautiful Counter-Strike 2 and a win from Vitality. Still, CoL are not ready to go to the play-offs with the score 3-1, and therefore they will try their luck in the basket 2-2.
Bottom line: Vitality wins.
Bookmakers & Statistics
Now, the majority of bookmaker companies believe in Vitality victory. Odds on them are equal to 1.258. According to bookmakers data, Complexity Gaming are the outsider and odds on their victory amounts 4.232.
What the team performance statistics say
Last Matches | Complexity Gaming | Vitality |
5 matches (wins) | 3 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 5 | 6 |
Gamblers will definitely be interested in the statistics of personal meetings between the teams. The teams played 19 matches with each other before. In these battles Complexity Gaming got 5 victories while Vitality managed to take 14 matches.