Match Prediction: Heroic - Astralis | CS2 (CS:GO)
IEM Katowice 2024 Play-inWelcome to EGamersWorld.
The first $1,000,000 tournament, IEM Katowice 2024, is heating up. We're watching the Play-In, where 16 teams will be playing to try to make it to the group stage, where top teams like NaVi, FaZe, G2 and others are waiting for them.
Among the contenders for passage to the next round of IEM Katowice 2024 are place Astralis and Heroic. Both teams will play each other in the first Play-In match.
Let's try to figure out which of the top teams will be stronger in this confrontation and will be able to advance further on the Play-In grid, and who is destined to fall into the losers' grid, where there will be no chance for mistakes.
Let's go.
Astralis uniforms
The title-winning Danish club have had a very busy season. It started with a top-6 finish at BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2023, and continued with a win at the local CCT North Europe Series #3.
Next, the Danish club had a difficult period. They tried in every possible way to "return" to the TIR-1 scene, but they constantly fell short: Astralis finished Top 20 at ESL Pro League Season 17 and Top 14 at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: European RMR B.
At lesser tournaments, however, Astralis fared well. The world's most titled team finished Top 2 at Brazy Party, won CCT South Europe Series #4 and finished Top 4 at Pinnacle Cup V.
Returning to the S-Tier Championships, Astralis took Top 6 at IEM Masters Dallas 2023 and Top 8 at BLAST Premier: Fall Groups.
Prior to the BB Dacha, Astralis attended a number of other events. Those were ESL Pro League Season 18 and Roobet Cup 2023, where the once stellar Danes finished in the Top 16.
Just before the Long Convergence, BB Dacha Astralis finished in the Top 4 at CS Asia Championship 2023 and Top 8 at BLAST Premier: Fall Finals. The swing in performance is primarily due to roster manipulation.
- Astralis roster: blameF, dev1ce, Staehr, stavn, jabbi.
The latest additions to Astralis are stavn and jabbi. A couple came in with Heroic, who they bid farewell to on not-so-pleasant notes. That said, it's a reinforcement however you look at it.
The debut tournament for the roster was Dacha, where the Danes finished in the top 8. Then the new season began, which Astralis opened with a performance at PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: European Qualifier B. There they took TOP-3, which was enough to get to RMR.
Before IEM Katowice 2024 they played at BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2024. At the end of the championship the Danes made it to the TOP-6 and that was enough to get to the BLAST Premier: Spring Final.
Astralis Mapple
Astralis has two 100 per cent mappers. They are Nuke with 9 wins in 14 matches, and Anubis with 5 matches and 4 wins.
They also play Ancient (66% wins in 3 matches). Still playing Mirage (9 matches, 4 wins). Vertigo with 2 wins and 3 losses and Overpass (2 wins in 7 matches).
Do not play Inferno.
Form Heroic
We continue the match analysis with an analysis of Heroic's form. In this match they are playing as a number two, with odds to win around 2.3.
Heroic have barely left the championship podium all through 2023. It all started with BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2023, where Heroic took the top 4.
Next was IEM Katowice 2023 and an offensive TOP-2. The only spoonful of honey in Heroic's honey barrel was ESL Pro League Season 17, where the Danes didn't rise above TOP-8.
Then Heroic came back and had a streak of great tournaments. It was top-2 at IEM Rio 2023, top-4 BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023 and IEM Dallas 2023. Heroic went on to win the BLAST Premier: Spring Final 2023 and also finished in the top 3 of the BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023
- Heroic roster: TeSeS, sjuush, NertZ, nicoodoz, kyxsan.
Before their performance at Gamers8 Heroic attended another prestigious tournament - IEM Cologne. Being one of the main contenders to win the German tournament, the Danes made it to the play-offs of the competition, but there they couldn't move further than the first round. Heroic lost to Astralis in the first round of the IEM Cologne play-offs with a score of 0-2.
At Gamers8 they debuted with a match against Falcons. In general, the game ended predictably, but the French gave a fight, especially on the first map (Mirage 22-18 in favour of Heroic). The second one went to Heroic with the score 16-10.
In the previous match Heroic met GamerLegion. Despite GL's seemingly idle position in that match, they were able to grind the nerves of the Danes and take the map, but still lost in the end.
Heroic finished off Gamers8 with a match against ENCE. The Danish club again failed to beat the Finns and left the major championship at the top-4 stage.
In the first match at ESL Pro League Season 18, the team played against Rooster. The Australians offered no resistance and took 6 rounds in two games.
Next was BIG - another passable opponent for Heroic, but it was not to be. The Danes lost 0-2, losing on Ancient with a score of 23-25 and on Inferno with a score of 13-16.
Heroic got into the last chance net after a 0-2 loss at MOUZ. So from the "achievements" so far, a win over the raw Roosters and that's it. It looks very deplorable. And it ended no better: Heroic Ledge and Monte crashed out of ESL Pro League Season 18.
Next up was Roobet Cup 2023, where Heroic finished in the top 12. After unsatisfactory performance at EPL and Roobet Cup Heroic played not better at Thunderpick World Championship 2023 and BLAST Premier: Fall Final 2023. There, it was top-8 and top-6 respectively. Heroic finished the year with a performance at BLAST Premier: World Final 2023. At that time, the team finished in the top 8.
In 2024, Heroic managed to win the PGL Major Copenhagen 2024: European Open Qualifier, advancing to the closed qualifiers. Prior to the IEM Katowice 2024 Long Convergence, Heroic attended BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2024, where they finished in the top 16.
Heroic's Mappool
Heroic's best map is Nuke. There the Danes have 5 wins and 0 losses.
They like to play Overpass, where they lost only once. In three months on Overpass - 5-1.
One of the most frequently played and yet successful maps is Inferno. Heroic has a 9-3 statistic here. It also goes well on Ancient, where Heroic is 3-1 in matches.
History of head-to-head meetings between Heroic and Astralis
The teams have previously met each other several times during the 2023 season. The score is 4-1 in favour of Heroic, but it should be understood that all matches took place before the global change of the latter's squad.
Predicted result of Astralis vs Heroic at IEM Katowice 2024
Heroic look faded after the global lineup change, and are far from the performance they showed before. Astralis, in turn, do not shine either, but in such conditions look better than their counterparts.
Bottom line: Astralis win.
Astralis
19 место в рейтинге HLTV. Открывает пятёрку лучших коллективов датские Astralis, в новом составе, после позорной квалификации на RMR где команда отлетела от Amkal, на Blast показали то что никто от них не ожидал, смогли даже один раз обыграть Vitality, но в повторной встречи им немного не хватило, тем не менее слот в финалах они получили издесь я думаю есть все шансы если не победить то хотяб выступить достойно.
Heroic
38 место в рейтнге команд HLTV. Состав который собрали месяц назад, после ухода cadiaN, Heroic перешли на интернациональный состав и уже успели выступить на двух турнирах. Смоли пройти на RMR через открытые квалы, но очень плохо выступили на Blast, ничего не показав, думаю данный состав имеет право на жизнь, но пока ему надо сыграться чтоб показывать достойные результаты.
Вывод:
В данном противостоянии у Astralis куда как больше шансов, единственная карта на которой смогут выгйрать Heroic это Anubis, который Astralis не играют и скорее
Bookmakers & Statistics
Now, the majority of bookmaker companies believe in Astralis victory. Odds on them are equal to 2.071. According to bookmakers data, Heroic are the outsider and odds on their victory amounts 2.262.
What the team performance statistics say
Last Matches | Heroic | Astralis |
5 matches (wins) | 3 | 4 |
10 matches (wins) | 7 | 4 |
Gamblers will definitely be interested in the statistics of personal meetings between the teams. The teams played 30 matches with each other before. In these battles Heroic got 15 victories while Astralis managed to take 15 matches.