Prediction on match CS2 sAw - MIBR

Welcome to EGamersWorld.

We continue our look at the group stage of IEM Melbourne 2025. We talk about Basket B, where Long Sogpeguet the lower part of the grid.

In the lower grid of group B we will look after the match MIBR - sAw. It's simple: the winner retains a chance for the main stage of IEM Melbourne 2025, and who will have to say goodbye to the prospect of going higher.

Let's find out how the sAw vs MIBR match will end and what the teams are up to now.

Let's go.

MIBR form

We open the analysis of the match MIBR vs sAw with an analysis of MIBR's form. In this match they play as favourites with odds to win at around 1.7.

In 2023, Long Sogpeg started with an appearance at the Intel Extreme Masters Katowice 2023. At that time, the Brazilians finished in the top 20. Then there were several qualifications, including the IEM Rio Masters 2023. At the Rio itself, they finished Top 16, but before that they won several B-tier tournaments, including ESL Challenger Season 44: North America and CCT North America Series #4.

At the S-tier championships, as unlucky as they were. ESL Pro League Season 17 had a top-28 at ESL Pro League Season 17 and a top-8 at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: American RMR, which prevented them from qualifying for the only Major of the season.

• Composition mibr: exit, insani, drop, saffee, lucaozy.

Prior to the ESL Pro League Season 18, mibr attended a number of other tournaments. ESL Challenger League Season 45, followed by Top 1 there. But at CCT North Europe Series #6, CCT Online Finals #2 and Gamers8 2023 the successes were more modest: TOP-5-8 and TOP-16 respectively.

In the first match of ESL Pro League Season 18, mibr faced MOUZ, the only match of the first round that didn't end in favour of the favourite, as the Brazilians managed to flick MOUZ 2-1.

In the match to qualify for the play-offs, Mibr met ENCE. Despite the different weight classes, the Brazilian five gave ENCE serious competition: two matches ended on dopas (18-22 on Vertigo in favour of ENCE and 19-17 on Anubis), but on Ancient the Brazilians were edged 11-16, thus falling to the lower net.

In the previous match, MIBR played against Ukrainian club Monte. Not without problems, but MIBR closed the series with the score 2-1 in their favour. However, they failed to move further and as a result - TOP-20.

In the season 2024 MIBR did not have the stars in the sky. The team failed the American RMR and held a series of very unproductive tournaments. They finished in the top 6 at BB Dacha, ESL Challengers 47 SA, ESL Challengers at DreamHack 2024. At CCT Season 1 Global Finals and CCT Season 2 South America it was worse - top 12.

MIBR performed at Esports World Cup 2024, where they failed to make it through the Opening Stage. As a result - TOP-15. They also visited IEM Cologne 2024, where they played in a similar way - TOP-20

MIBR made it to PW Shanghai Major 2024 after playing at American RMR, where they finished TOP-1-2, beating Complexity. PW Shanghai Major 2024: Opening Stage Long They started with an important win over Vp, but then lost to The MongolZ and Passion UA, and then defeated Rare Atom. In the 2-2 basket, the team faced MOUZ, where they lost, thus finishing PW Shanghai Major 2024 in the top 12, which is still not a bad result.

In the 2025 season, Long Sogpeg started with an appearance at BLAST Bounty Season 1. There MIBR was not very lucky and the Brazilians ended up in TOP-17-32, losing in the first round of qualifiers. Next was a similar IEM Katowice 2025, where MIBR took TOP-20. From the top tournaments they also attended PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025, where they took TOP-14.

At ESL Pro League Season 21 they debuted with the score 1-1. In the 2-1 basket, they qualified after beating FURIA. In the match for the next round they defeated TYLOO, thus ending the stage with a score of 3-1. However, the joy ended literally immediately in the next round. MIBR finished stage 2 with a score of 0-3, leaving the tournament in the top 16.

At the IEM Melbourne 2025, MIBR Long Cogpeg started with a match against NaVi. After winning their peak, MIBR Ledgeili on the next two maps, thus ending up in the bottom set.

MIBR Mappool

mibr has a fairly narrow map pool. Among the most popular are Mirage and Nuke (2 matches and 50% wins on each).

Next is Anubis (5 matches, 2 wins). Among the worst are Inferno and Ancient (3 matches on each and 1 win).

Form sAw.

We continue the sAw vs MIBR match with the analysis of sAw's form. In this match they play as the number two with odds to win around 2.

They started the year with qualifications for ESL Pro League Season 17: European Conference. There they shared the top 1. Then there were two Top 4s at CCT South Europe Series #2 and OMEN WGR Challenge 2023.

There were also appearances at major championships, such as ESL Pro League Season 17. However, it was not possible to get a high result, only TOP-28, but the experience of the game.

Later sAw took the top 8 at CCT North Europe Series #4, top 4 at ESL Challenger League Season 44: Europe. In April 2023, sAw played at BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: European RMR A, but failed to rise above the TOP-16. But they managed to do it later, at local tournaments.

This was the case at Masters League Portugal Season 11: Online, where sAw won the trophy by beating For the Win in the final. This was the case at ESL Masters Espana Season 13: Onilne Stage, ESL Masters Espana Season 13, CCT West Europe #4.

• Composition sAw: MUTiRiS, rmn, ewjerkz, story, arrozdoce.

Before taking part in CCT Online Finals #5 sAw played a lot of championships and, to be fair, they were good almost everywhere. They took top 2 at Thunderpick World Championship 2023: European Series #2, CCT North Europe Series #6, Aveiro Techdays Cup 2023, Master League Portugal Season 12: Online Stage.

We also played in big tournaments, such as Thunderpick World Championship 2023, where unfortunately for us we couldn't rise above TOP-12. At the end of November we won Master League Portugal Season 12 and XL Games Clash 2023.

CCT Online Finals #5 sAw Long Sogpeg were very confident. They easily ran over Team Space in the first round of the top set, winning 2-0. What happened next was more difficult.

In the second round of CCT Online Finals #5 sAw met Aurora, who were stronger than the Portuguese. The match lasted 3 maps and sAw even won the first one, but it didn't go any further and as a result Aurora reached the semi-finals winning their series 1-2.

In the match for the third round of play-offs CCT Online #5 sAw met Zero Tenacity. The Portuguese had no trouble getting past their vis-a-vis, closing out the series with a score of 2-0. However, Fnatic could not be defeated and sAw finished in the top 4.

Next was Top 4 at ESL Challenger at DreamHack Atlanta 2024 and a similar place at ESL Challenger League Season 48: Europe. Before playing at Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024: European RMR A, sAw won ESL Challenger Katowice 2024.

PW Shanghai Major 2024: European RMR A, sAw started with a loss to SINNERS, but then won Dynamo Eclot and Falcons. But they failed to beat NaVi in the match for a slot in the Major and as a result it was 2-2. However, they failed to qualify for the Major tournament: Ledge and BB went 0-2 in the match for the slot.

Season 2025 Long Sogpeg started with a performance at BLAST Bounty Spring 2025, where they finished in the top 32. Then no better performance at IEM Katowice 2025 with a final top-24.

PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 was one of the best tournaments of the season. sAw managed to reach the play-offs by going the longest way: in the group stage, after 0-2 losses to FaZe and MOUZ, the Portuguese club beat FlyQuest, Complexity and 3DMax. But the play-offs were apparently not enough: 0-2 against FaZe and TOP-6 in the end.

ESL Pro League Season 21 Long Co-qualified from the first stage, which went 3-0. In the second stage they unexpectedly beat NaVi, but then earned 3 losses in a row, finishing the tournament on top-14.

At IEM Melbourne 2025 sAw made their debut with a match against Falcons, where they expectedly lost 0-2.

Mappool sAw.

The most successful map for sAw is Nuke, where the Spaniards have 3 wins with 1 loss. Followed by Vertigo with a score of 2-1 and Ancient with a score of 3-2.

Neutral choices are Inferno and Anubis. Both maps have been played 4 times and on both maps the stats are 2-2.

The worst situation is on Overpass, where sAw won 2 matches out of 6.

Mirage are not playing.

History of head-to-head meetings sAw - MIBR

Previously, the teams have not played each other in official matches.

Predicted result of MIBR vs sAw at IEM Melbourne 2025

In this match we should expect a close game. However, I will be in favour of MIBR who showed a good game against NaVi despite losing.

Bottom line: victory for MIBR.