How to make long-term bets on the winner of the Champions League?
Yuriy SheremetThe winner is known in the majority of the championships before the start. For example, «PSG» becomes the champion in a few rounds before the end in France. And Bayern Munich achieves victory in Germany every, giving its opponents no chances to become the champion. In such situations, the teams try to achieve the result in the Champions League, trying to achieve victory at the main club tournament.
Every year, the winners of the Champions League change due to the power asymmetries, the bad luck of the favorites, or the lack of power for a few tournaments at the same time. However, it is possible to predict the winner of the Champions League with high possibility, considering various aspects.
We will consider in today’s article how to make bets on the winner of the Champions League in the right way.
Time for a long-term bet
First of all, let’s notice that betting at the beginning of the tournament is a wrong strategy. Teams have just started demonstrating results in national championships, they can lose in some moments in a long-term period. Various aspects will demonstrate the true power of the teams in the wrong way. Also, there is a chance that a certain team might not proceed to the playoff stage. But odds do not change a lot before the group stage and during the playoffs, so it will be better not to hurry and wait for the final stage of the tournament.
It is also worth noticing that a row of teams, especially which demonstrate unsatisfying results, will definitely reinforce during the winter transfer window. Even the favorites of the tournament may lose key football players, which will impact the further performance in the Champions League.
As a result, we want to notice that the best moment for a long-term but on the possible winner of the tournament is after the draw of Round of 16 of the Champions League. In this case, a bettor will be able to evaluate the powers and possible advancement of the teams through the bracket.
The number of bets on the winner
The second aspect, which should be considered, is the number of long-term bets. Of course, there is no sense in risking and placing one bet on the winner. It is way more profitable to make a few bets. First of all, you should consider the teams, which will advance to the quarterfinals of the tournament, after the draw. For example, two clubs, which pretend on the title, will face each other in Round of 16. Such a match will help to put aside one contender.
A nice option is to make 3 or 4 long-term bets on the winner. A bettor will probably guess the winner of the tournament, considering the balance of power. Today, the main contenders for the title are «Liverpool», «Manchester City», «Bayern», and «PSG». The rest of the teams definitely have chances to succeed but considering the balance of power, the chances to succeed are minimal.
The winter transfer window is a reason to change your opinion
But the potential of teams should be considered only after the playoff draw. Also, it will be good to consider various transfers in the teams, which pretend on the title. Football players who have left their teams in winter are especially important for consideration. Because a team might not show an expected result without one or two key football players. Also, it is important to consider new football players. If new players are bought for rotation in winter, it will not influence the play of the team a lot. If these football players are for the main roster, the nearest results might change a lot because the new players will need time to adapt and get used to the new team.
A situation in the national championship
The factor of the national championship should be considered additionally. The major part of the teams will probably determine its fate in spring, which will ease the further performance in the Champions League. However, if the team plays on two fronts without having a long bench of substitutes, it is worth thinking about this question. The main coach can simply sacrifice the Champions League to make it to the European cups in the next season. However, if the club is competing for the golden medals, it is not worth worrying about it because it will be more profitable for the main coach to compete for the victory in the Champions League rather than enjoy the gold medals in the national championship.
A bet on the main favorites of the tournament
The final moment in choosing the teams is to consider the options provided by bookmaker companies. Obviously, among the favorites, there will be the teams, which have no necessary set of skills for the victory. For example, bookmakers choose three obvious favorites in the current Champions League (20-21): «Bayern», «Manchester City», and «Liverpool». Liverpool should be mentioned among these three because it does not look like the obvious favorite, considering a row of injuries of the key football players and, also, a mediocre performance in the national championship. Definitely, Bayern Munich has the biggest chances to succeed with the odds of 3.7.
The rest of the teams in the face of «Juventus» (the odds of 14), «PSG» (10.5), «Chelsea» (15), «Real» (15), and «Barcelona» (17) have the chances to succeed in the future. However, it is worth relying on the power of the teams after winter. One of the above-mentioned teams may have bigger chances to prevail. But now, the above-listed clubs do not look like too serious opponents.
Also, it is important to look for «the dark horses», which have chances to succeed. For example, «Atletico Madrid», which can compete with all the above-mentioned teams, looks like «the dark horse» in the current season. However, a bookmaker evaluates the success of the Madrid club with the odds of 18.
Conclusion
Considering the above-mentioned factors and the features of the choice, every bettor can correctly evaluate the chances of every club to succeed in the main tournament of Europe. We want to notice additionally that the blind choice of teams will only make it worse in this case. It will be important to listen to various opinions of the TV hosts, former football players, and commentators who have better thoughts about the balance of power in international football.
Yuriy Sheremet – Expert in mobile gaming and esports among shooters and MOBA games.
At EGamersWorld, Yuriy, as in 2020 when he joined the portal, works with content, albeit with adjustments to his area of responsibility.