How to Make Bets on Total in Football Based on Results of the Team’s Last Matches?

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How to Make Bets on Total in Football Based on Results of the Team’s Last Matches?

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At first glance, it is not a difficult task to predict possible results of a football battle. It is enough to see how the previous matches finished to calculate, for example, the likelihood of the base total. On paper this simple strategy is able to bring the respective revenue in the long-term. However, taking into account some minor factors, the team does not break the total showing minimal results.

Our today’s article covers the topic of how to make bets taking into account the results of the previous matches.

Choice of Bets

First of all, let us outline four possible bets on results:

Total over 2.5 balls;
Total under 2.5 balls;
Both teams score – yes;
Both teams score – no.

Choice of Matches

After consideration of kinds of bets, it is important to find a football battle where one of the enlisted bets will play. It will suffice to only choose any football match. Then we analyse the results of both teams over the last ten matches. It is important to have at least seven out of ten matches for each team to finish with a particular outcome.

Let us illustrate it with an example of a battle at the national championship between Inter and Torino. Having analyzed the results of their last ten matches, we could now see that Inter broke the basic total at nine out of ten matches (we take only results at the championship but not cup meetings). Torino broke the basic total at seven out of ten matches. Therefore, taking into account the results of both teams at the last ten official meetings, you should choose a bet on TO 2.5.

Additionally, you should consider personal statistics of teams. For instance, if the team plays home in the nearest future, you should analyze only the results of home meetings but ignore guest matches as the style and tactics will be completely different there.

The same strategy works with a guest team too. You should also keep in mind that secondary tournaments and competitions should not be taken for consideration. To exemplify, if your choice turns next to a battle at the national championship, you should consider only results of the battles at the very championship. Secondary tournaments, for example, internal cups or international tournaments should not be taken into account as in such matches the team plays entirely different football, with another level of motivation and necessity to get a particular result.

Proper Management of the Bankroll

Obviously, it is not enough just to look for available meetings getting revenue in the long-term. It is also essential to control your bankroll release appropriate sums for every next bet.

At the initial stage, let it be a training stage, you should limit yourself with 3% from the bankroll for every next bet. Some time later, if the results in the long term are positive, you should increase it up to 5%.

You should also set the sum taking into account the odds. For example, if the odds are higher than 2-2.5, your max is 2-3% for a bet. If the odds are up to 2, it will be 5%.

Factors Influencing Match Results

Apart from resultivenes of the last matches, we will outline popular factors that affect the results of the following match directly:

Lack or absence of key footballers. If the next match will be missed by key forwards, you should not expect a fruitful match. If some defenders are absent, the match is likely to show high performance.
Physical readiness of the team. It is also important to look at the calendar making sure that footballers have had a good rest and now they are physically ready for the match. For example, if the team played in European cups in the middle of the week, you should not expect activity at a match at the weekend.
Ball tactics of the teams. Initially, you should make sure that both teams will not hide in defense playing with counter attacks predominantly. In this case a chance of high resultiveness is minimal.
Motivation of the teams. It is important to remember that a poorly motivated team will not try hard to achieve the necessary results. And a lack of motivation leads to absence of footballers’ activity on the pitch.
Principles of the meeting. This aspect refers to battles between teams from one city.

Extra Tips

Let us also outline a row of useful tips that can be advantageous in the long-term:

Live bets. You should not make bets before the start of the battle. The initial reason is minimal odds. Also, some time after the match, a bettor can catch a more profitable option with the same odds, or choose the initial outcome with much bigger odds. For instance, if the better initially chose TO 2.5 for the match, if the score is zero-zero by the middle of the first time, TO 2.0 will be set with the same odds. This way a bettor will only need two scored balls instead of three not to lose the bet.
Choice of matches underestimated by the bookmaker. In this aspect it is important to remember that you should not take matches with minimal quotations. Let us also say that the best choice is underestimated battles where bookmakers set overstated quotations. For example, if, taking into account the previous results, the match is expected to have three scored balls and quotations for TO 2.5 – from 1.95, this battle is attractive for a future bet.
Choice of a bookmaker. Apparently, your success will depend on the bookmaker you will choose, as all of them offer their own quotations for every battle. If a bettor can choose the highest quotations, it will reflect positively on their bankroll in the long-term.

Takeaway

Taking into account all possible aspects, every bettor can choose football matches for their bet. You should not ignore the aspect that affects the outcome of the meeting. Consideration of the aspects and also the additional analysis of the football event is a sure-fire way to profitability of the chosen strategy.

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