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The LEC Spring 2025 group stage battles continue. Just like at the Long Stage of the tournament, 10 teams are fighting for places in the LEC Spring 2025 play-offs, and potentially for the EWC and MSI 2025.
Among the contenders for such significant prizes are Heretics and Vitality. Both teams are in the middle of the standings as of week 4 and still have at least a chance to qualify for the LEC Spring 2025 play-offs.
Let's see which of the Vitality - Heretics pair will be stronger and earn important points ahead of the allocation of slots in the play-offs.
Let's go.
Heretics Form
Let's open the Heretics vs Vitality match with an analysis of Heretics' form. In this match they play as favourites with odds to win at around 1.7.
Heretics have been in the LEC structure since 2022. In their "debut" season Team Heretics played on the TIR-2 stage, more specifically in Superliga Summer 2022 (Top 1), European Masters Summer 2022 (Top 1) and Iberian Cup 2022, where they finished Top 2.
In 2023, the Heretics entered the LEC series of tournaments. The successes were not so good: first TOP-8 at LEC Winter 2023, with SK Gaming taking them out.
In spring the situation only got worse: Heretics again failed in the group stage, this time playing it with a score of 3-6 and not making it to the play-offs.
In the next round of the LEC draw, Team Heretics performed their best as an affiliate team. They took the top 4 at LEC Summer 2023, Ledge and Fnatic in a battle for the top 3. Heretics secured $5,512 by finishing in the top 4.
- Team Heretics roster: Carlsen, Sheo, Kamiloo, Flakked, Stend.
After a series of bad performances last year, Heretics changed their roster by signing top European players. Let's see how they will do against the strongest representatives of the region.
The group stage of LEC Winter 2024 was not so good. The team was quite brisk in the group stage, but later slipped to 4-5.
Going into the play-offs Heretics faced BDS - the best team of the group stage of LEC Winter 2024. The French club fully justified their status by winning 2-0 and Heretics travelled to the bottom of the group stage.
The LEC Winter 2024 play-offs did not last long. Heretics defeated SK Gaming 1-2 in the first match of the main stage, leaving the championship at the TOP-8 stage.
At the end of the LEC Spring 2024 regular season Heretics finished in the top 4. In the first round of play-offs Heretics faced BDS and rather ignominiously fell to the bottom net after a 0-2 defeat. Already in a match for life in the first round they played against SK Gaming where they won 2-1 and it was pretty tough. Next was a match with Fnatic, which ended 2-3 in favour of the Orange, and Heretics missed a chance to prove themselves at the Mid-Season Invitational 2024.
The Heretics made it to the LEC Summe 2024 Playoffs by a slim margin. They finished in 6th place with a score of 3-6.
The LEC Summer 2024 playoffs began with a very lacklustre loss against SK Gaming. After a similarly lacklustre performance against GiantX and a top-7 exit.
Heretics finished the group stage of LEC Winter 2025 with a bit of grief, taking the 8th place with a score of 3-6. In the first round of play-offs Heretics fell to Fnatic, where they lost 0-2, which was highly expected. Next up was a lower grid match and a 1-2 loss to GiantX and a Top 8 finish.
At the end of the three weeks of LEC Spring 2025 Heretics are in 6th place with a score of 2-3.
Team Heretics' most popular champions
Aatrox (3 matches, 100% wins) and Renekton (2 matches, 100% wins) appear on LOUD's top line.
Sejuani (4 matches, 100% wins) and Wukong (3 matches, 66% wins) take the jungle.
On the centre line, Taliyah (3 matches, 100% wins) and Lissandra (3 matches, 66% wins) are not the most popular.
Among the shooters Aphelios (4 games, 75% wins) and also Xayah (3 games, 66% wins).
Nautilus (4 games, 75% wins), Nami (4 games, 75% wins) are taken in ѕuрроrt.
Vitality Form
We continue the breakdown of the Vitality - Heretics match with an analysis of Vitality's match form. In this match they play as an outsider with odds to win around 2.2.
Vitality is a rather doubtful team. They showed a rather unstable game throughout last year. Globally speaking, they failed in the 13th season, and seriously.
They started last season by participating in LEC Winter 2023. In the regular season, Vitality went over the heads of their opponents: they played it 7-2 and then went to play the group stage, where they had much less luck. So much so that Vitality failed to get out of their basket, Ledgeiv SK Gaming and KOI. As a result, the top 5.
Next up was an appearance at LEC Spring 2024. This was Vitality's best split where they managed to make it to the top 3. However, that was enough for exactly nothing: just Top 3.
The last tournament last season for Vitality was LEC Summer 2023. And it was a total fiasco: Vitality had their worst performance of the year, going 1-8 in the regular season and finishing the split in the top 10.
- Vitality roster: Photon, Daglas, Vetheo, Carzzy, Hylissang.
The team has a pretty strong lineup, but the realisation is Vitality's kryptonite.
In the first match of LEC Winter 2024, Team Vitality will play against GIANTX, where I see problems for the Bees. I think EXCEL's peppy core will give Vitality a boost. And so it happened. And two more defeats later, against Fnatic and Team BDS.
Vitality were actually pleasantly surprised. After Long Sogpeg 0-3, the "bees" managed to comeback to score 4-5, thus making it to the next stage of the tournament.
In the first round of the LEC Winter 2024 play-offs Vitality played against SK Gaming. Surprisingly, the French were very convincing and closed the series with a score of 2-0. However, things were not so rosy after that, as Vitality played a derby against BDS, which ended with a very convincing victory of the latter. The next match was the last one for Vitality in LEC Winter 2024. They played it against MAD Lions KOI and lost 0-2.
At the end of LEC Winter 2025 Vitality were ranked in the top 6. In the 3 weeks of LEC Spring 2025 Regular Season Vitality are going 1-2.
Vitality's most popular champions
The most frequent guest on the top line is Jax (2 matches, 100% wins). Also picked were KSante, Gnar, Gwen and Ornn, Renekton and Gragas. Ornn and Renekton lost their matches, not quite hitting the season 13 meta.
Bo predominantly played as Vi. One of the most meta characters of the season appeared in spades 4 times and won all his games. There was also Sejuani and Maokai (2 games and 1 win each).
On the centre line, Azir was the favourite character (3 games, 100% wins). The Croatian also played Ryze, Syndra, Cassiopeia, Tristana, LeBlanc and Taliyah. Only Tristana and LeBlanc lost.
Of the shooters, Zeri (3 games, 66% wins), Ezreal (2 matches, 100% wins), Varus (2 games, 100% wins) appeared most often. Caitlyn and Sivir peaked once each: the former won her game and the latter lost.
Of the supporting characters, Yummi (3 games, 33% wins), Ashe (2 games, 100% wins) played three times. Leona, Braum, Nami and Lux won once each.
History of head-to-head meetings between Vitality and Heretics
Over the last year the teams have played each other 4 times. Vitality won every game.
Predicted result of Heretics vs Vitality at LEC Spring 2025
I expect a close game in this matchup. Despite Vitality's advantage over Heretics, which is reflected in their head-to-head history, I don't think Vitality will have much trouble taking the series. I expect a total of +2.5.
Bottom line: total +2.5.
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