Match Prediction: RNG - Aster.Aries | Dota 2
The International 2022: China QualifierPrediction for the fight between Royal Never Give Up and Aster.Aries within the upper bracket of qualification for The International 11 (China). RNG managed to defeat Ybb Gaming with a score of 2:0, while Aster.Aries beat Vici Gaming with a score of 2:0.
In general, in China, most matches end with a score of 2:0, I think that there may be quite an exception here and there will be all 3 maps. We had enough time to prepare for each other.
RNG had a confident series, but Aster.Aries, although they defeated Vici Gaming 2:0, had to comeback on one map and there was a clear gift from Vici.
Royal Never Give Up line-up
- Ghost
- somnus
- Chalice
- kaka
- xNova
Composition of Aster.Aries
- Ulu
- ---
- sheng si
- ponlo
- redpanda
Royal Never Give Up latest results - 5 matches counted
- Victory in the match with Ybb Gaming with a score of 2:0 - qualification for The International 11
- Lost 2-0 to the Outsiders - August 11
- Draw 1:1 against Team Liquid
- Lost in a match with PSG.LGD with a score of 0:2
- Lost in a match with OG with a score of 0:2
Aster.Aries latest results - 5 matches counted
- Victory in the match with Vici Gaming with a score of 2:0 - qualification for The International 11
- Defeated in a match with Wolf with a score of 0:2 - July 29
- Victory in the match with Dandelion Esport Club with a score of 2:1
- Winning the match with Gorilla with a score of 2:1
- Lost in a match with Saiyan with a score of 0:2
The victory of Aster.Aries over Vici Gaming with a score of 2:0 was definitely a surprise, but Royal Never Give Up dealt with Ybb Gaming (ex-Dandelion Esport Club) without any problems.
The teams had 2 days to prepare, it is very interesting to see what they have prepared. The prematch is definitely for RNG, if they take the first one, then there shouldn’t be any special problems on the second one. The main question is whether Chen will be banned.
Used Aster.Aries heroes in The International 11 qualifiers
- Ulu: Phantom Assassin/Morphling
- ---: Ember Spirit
- sheng si: Pangolier/Doom
- ponlo: Chen
- RedPanda: Clockwerk/Ogre Magi
Used Royal Never Give Up heroes in The International 11 qualifiers
- Ghost: Troll Warlord/Morphling
- Somnus: Batrider/Puck
- Chalice: Death Prophet/Necrophos
- kaka: Tusk/Tiny
- xNova: Omniknight/Chen
Both teams play with Chen, RNG has xNova at 5, Aster.Aries has ponlo with him for 4, the midlaner has shown itself only on Ember Spirit so far. Teams also have Morphling in the pool.
- Royal Never Give Up win - odds 1.175
- Aster.Aries win - odds 5.2
- Overtime 2.5 on cards - odds 2.6
- TM 2.5 on cards - coefficient 1.46
Very interesting quotes, I definitely have no doubts that Royal Never Give Up will win, but China shows that teams should not be underestimated. For example, because of 5.2 on Aster.Aries, you can believe in 1 card from Aster.Aries for 2.23. At 2:0 from RNG - odds are 1.61, for me this is the most logical bet, but it's better to look at LIVE, after the drafts and, possibly, change to Aster.Aries if Somnus does not blow the center.
Prediction: Royal Never Give Up will beat Aster.Aries with a score of 2:0 - odds 1.61
Bookmakers & Statistics
Now, the majority of bookmaker companies believe in RNG victory. Odds on them are equal to 1.135. According to bookmakers data, Aster.Aries are the outsider and odds on their victory amounts 7.027.
How the teams played in the last matches
Last Matches | RNG | Aster.Aries |
5 matches (wins) | 1 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 5 | 6 |
The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 4 matches with each other. And RNG won 4 times while Aster.Aries correspondingly became the winner 0 times.