Match Prediction: Team Secret - TSM | Dota 2

Welcome to EGamersWorld.

BB Dacha reaches its climax. The commercial tournament with a prize pool of $250,000 will get its champion today.

Three teams are fighting for the right to be called the winner of the tournament. Among them are TSM and Team Secret.

The pair will play each other for a trip to the grand finals, where they will meet Gaimin Gladiators. The International promises to be an interesting match.

Interesting, at least because it's a game for reaching the grand finals. It's also a match between two equal teams, at least on paper.

We are trying to find out which of the Secret/TSM pair will be the second participant of the BB Dacha Grand Final and will compete with Gaimin Gladiators already today. Let's go.

Team Secret uniforms

Let's open the match analysis with the analysis of Team Secret's form. In this match they will have to play the first number one.

The bookmakers also point to the advantage of Secret. The odds for Team Puppey's victory are at 1.8.

Here is a classic situation for close matches. The separation is so minimal that it is essentially non-existent.

After reaching the finals of The International 2022, Secret made some changes to the squad, but the performance was critically affected. So critical that Secret completely failed in the first DPC season, falling to the second division.

In the second cycle of DPC Secret played in the second division. There, Team Puppey won the league, which was expected, but still.

• Team Secret: Crystallis, SumaiL, fbz, yamich, Puppey.

The return to the first league was supposed to be triumphant, but in reality it turned out to be a flop. Secret were terrible, and the result of their game was a repeated relegation to the second division.

After losing the first division of Western Europe, Team Secret played in two commercial tournaments. These were DreamLeague Season 20 and Riyadh Masters 2023.

Both championships Secret, to put it bluntly, failed. At DreamLeague Season 20, Puppey and company finished in the top 12, as they did at Riyadh Masters 2023.

The last event before BB Dacha was the Western European qualifiers for The International 2023. Secret looked good through the qualifiers, but still couldn't break through the most competitive region, ending up in the top 4.

At BB Dacha, SumaiL joined Puppey and that did the team good. Secret made it through the group stage and won the first round of the top set, shutting out beastcoast 2-0.

In the match to qualify for the BB Dacha Grand Final, Secret played against GG. The match ended with an expected win for GG on two maps.

The most popular heroes of Team Secret

Secret Mirana, Tusk and Primal Beast are among the most chosen heroes. All of them have 6 matches and 83% wins.

In addition, Monkey King and Ember Spirit appeared in spades (5 games each and 100% wins). Death Prophet also played 5 matches, however she won 4 matches.

Also Jakiro (3 matches, 100% wins), Enchantress (3 matches, 100% wins). Abaddon (2 matches, 66% wins), Broodmother (2 matches, 100% wins).

TSM Form

We continue the match analysis with the analysis of TSM's form. In this match they are playing catch-up.

The bookmakers are pointing to the minimum gap. The odds on the victory of the North American club are at 1.9.

Again, we have parity here. Although, watching TSM during the BB Dacha, you start to believe in their success in the match against Secret.

The American club had a pretty controversial season, but they achieved their main goal. They are at The International 2023.

Before making it to The International 2023 TSM made a good mark on the domestic scene. The club won two seasons of DPC 2023: NA Upper Division, but in the third and last season they showed a critically low performance: there TSM took the top 3, which in the current realities of the North American Dota 2 scene is not a good indicator.

There were some performances on the international scene as well, but again, very questionable. TSM attended 2 Major tournaments - Lima Major and Berlin Major - and both failed miserably. While Lima had a top-14 ranking, the German event saw the team ranked in the top-18.

In between ranking events, TSM attended commercial andVent events. Among them: DreamLeague Season 19 and DreamLeague Season 20, as well as Riyadh Masters 2023. TSM finished all three championships with essentially nothing: Top 8 at DL S19, Top 14 at DL S20 and Riyadh Masters 2023.

• TSM lineup: Timado, Bryle, Kasane, Ari, Whitemon.

BB Dacha looks like an outlet for TSM so far. The team did well in the group stage of the event, making it to the top set of play-offs.

In the main stage, TSM Ledge or GG in the top set, but struggled. The match ended with the score 1-2 not in favour of the Americans.

Next opponent was 9 Pandas. Representatives of Eastern Europe were the clear favourite, but surprisingly Ledgeili so still dry.

In the match for the small final TSM played against Beastcoast. Another match and another confident victory of the Americans (2-0 in favour of TSM).

The most popular TSM heroes

Natures Prophet and Rubick appeared most often in spades. Both characters were taken 4 times each and have 100% wins.

Vengeful, Beastmaster and Tusk have appeared a similar number of times. They have won 3 matches each out of 4 appearances.

Head-to-head history

Secret and TSM have played each other four times and all 4 times Secret won. Moreover, two of the victories were due to BB Dacha.

Predicted result of the match Secret - TSM on BB Dacha

Although nominally the teams are equal, I believe more in the success of Secret. Their victory is hinted at by the eloquent history of head-to-head encounters, which clearly plays into Secret's hands.

I don't deny that TSM will take the map, but Secret should win. This is worse for the grand final, remembering yesterday's Secret vs GG game, but better for Secret themselves.

Bottom line: Secret wins