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The road to Dota 2 International 2023 is long and thorny. While the best teams of the season are already in the process of preparing for the main event of the year, others, in 6 regions, are fighting for the chance to visit Seattle in October. Teams from Southeast Asia are among them.
The first day of qualifiers promises some very colourful matches. Hopefully, the match between Team SMG and Geek Fam will show a smooth and quality Dota 2 in the opening match. Let's talk about it in more detail.
Team SMG is one of the four contenders to win the qualifiers at all. However, the contender with a stretch, because the same Geek Fam are stepping on their heels, having almost the same number of DPC points in the standings.
Let's see who will be stronger in this match of the first round of qualifications for The International 2023 in Southeast Asia. The winner will advance to the next round of qualifiers where they will face the winner of the Execration/Neon Esports match.
Let's go.
Geek Fam Form
We start the match analysis with the analysis of Geek Fam's form. In this match, the squad will be playing the first number one.
Bookmakers with a stretch, but bet Geek Fam the winner of the game. The odds for a win in this match are at around 1.75.
Such a figure indicates a potentially close fight. I'm sure it will be, as the teams have gone side by side over the season.
Geek Fam has been on fire this season. Geek Fam looked especially quality earlier in the year, at DPC 2023: SEA Upper Division Tour 1.
In the first DPC Tour, Geek Fam very unexpectedly flew into the top 2 of the league. Thanks to this performance, the team made it to the Major for the first time in the club's history.
To go to Lima Major 2023 they went, but did not manage to rock there. But the failure of the performance at Lima Major 2023 can not be called a failure: Geek Fam played the group with the score 2-3-3 and left the tournament at the stage of group stages.
Then there was a clear decline. Geek Fam finished top-7 in the second round of the DPC, followed by a drop to the lower division. During the break between the second and third rounds of the DPC, the team took part in 1XPLORE #1, where they took the first place.
- Geek Fam line-up: Ulnit, Kokz, Force, NARMAN, skem .
The last tournament before the Long Segment of the qualifiers for The International 2023 was the third round of DPC, but in the second division. There Geek Fam had no equal and closed the tourney quite easily with a score of 7-0.
The most popular Geek Fam characters
Undying remains the most popular Geek Fam character. The character has appeared 9 times, of which he won 7 matches.
Lina has appeared in 8 matches and has 75% wins. Also picked DOOM in 8 games, winning half of their games.
Enigma has appeared in 7 matches in spades with 71% wins and Mirana, with a similar number of matches, has a crushing winrate of 28%.
Team SMG Form
We continue the match analysis with the analysis of Team SMG's form. In this match the team will play as an outsider.
Bookmakers do not really believe in the success of the "veterans". The odds for victory are in the region of 1.9.
It is easy to understand the pre-match position of SMG. The team is nominally not bad, but it lacks stability. You can see it in their performance.
Team SMG started the year with a "mediocre" result. The team finished in the top 5 at DPC SEA 2023 Tour 1: Division 1, and then played at The Arena Anthem.
The local The Arena Anthem ended prematurely for SMG, as the team didn't finish it. But they did finish the second round of the DPC.
At DPC 2023: SEA Upper Division Tour 1 MidOne and company took the top 3. This, by the way, was enough to get to The Berlin Major 2023. However, they didn't manage to show their game there.
Team SMG failed The Berlin Major 2023 at the group stage. The team played groupstage with the score 1-2-5, which cut off their chances to qualify for the play-offs. As a result, The Berlin Major ended with SMG in the top 16.
- Team SMG roster: MidOne, None, masaros, ah fu, Januel.
The last tournament before the qualifiers for The International 2023 was the third round of DPC. There SMG took their usual top 5, didn't go to Major, but at least kept a slot in the first league. However, it makes no sense at the qualifiers.
The most popular Team SMG characters
The top of the most popular Team SMG characters is headed by Crystal Maiden. The character has appeared in the peak 6 times and has an 83% win rate.
Apart from Crystal Maiden, Disruptor and Underlord are also appreciated, having been peaked 5 times each with 80% winrate. There was also Skywrath Mage (4 matches, 100% wins), Doom (4 matches, 75% wins), PL, Viper, Slark, Riki appeared 3 times each and has 100% wins.
History of head-to-head meetings SMG - Geek Fam
The teams have met twice during the DPC season. SMG took a dry victory twice.
Predicted result of SMG vs Geek Fam at The International 2023 - SEA Qualifier
Considering the history of head-to-head encounters, SMG should win. However, there are concerns about SMG's recent transfers. None joined SMG before the Long Qualifier. He is an experienced leader, but still it's a new environment, a new region.
All in all, I expect to see a full-fledged bo3. Odds favour it.
Bottom line: total +2.5.
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