Match Prediction: Fnatic - Motivate.Trust Gaming | Dota 2

Following China, teams from other regions come out of a short vacation. Southeast Asia is no exception in this case.

Elite division matches resumed in Southeast Asia today (05.01). We have already talked about the chances of OB Esports x Neon in the match against T1, and so far the forecast is fully justified.

Now I propose to talk about two teams that will potentially join the aforementioned T1 in the first major of the season. It's about Fnatic and Motivate.Trust Gaming.

Both teams went on vacation with statistics 2-2, and therefore their face-to-face meeting will be very interesting in terms of tournament value. We will try to figure out what to expect from this match, and who will eventually emerge from the lobby as the winner.

Fnatic form

It's hard for me to single out a favorite in this match, but bookmakers don't have any problems with this. They predict a victory for Fnatic, let's average odds around 1.6.

In general, one can agree with this. The updated Fnatic looks fresh, but this freshness is clearly not the first, as the performance leaves much to be desired.

Fnatic Roster

• Raven
• Armel
• Jabz
• Dj
• Jaunuel

In the new season, Fnatic has managed to acquire some of the most experienced performers in the region. Let's see if the XP bet plays out at the end of the season.

Fnatic last matches results

• Lost to Fnatic 0-2
• Lost to SMG 0-2
• Beat TNC Predator 2-0
• Lose at BOOM 0-2
• Defeat OB Esports x Neon 2-0

I praised Fnatic above, but when you look at the results in the DPC, here only clear outsiders have victories. It turns out somehow sad.

Fnatic heroes

Most played Fnatic heroes in patch 7.30: Storm Spirit (10 matches, 50% win), Tidehunter (7 matches, 57% win), Snapfire (7 matches, 28% win).

Most successful Fnatic heroes: Wraith King (3 matches, 100% win), Ember Spirit (3 matches, 100% win), Clinkz (2 matches, 100% win).

Motivate.Trust Gaming Form

Motivate.Trust Gaming will act as the nominal catch-up in this match. Here, of course, questions may arise.

MTG is a team with a "status" lower than their counterparts. They do not have such big names, and the tag does not hide a long history. The questions here are, is it necessary?

Motivate.Trust Gaming Roster

• jaCkky
• Fearless
• Masaros
• Q
• Boombul

In the composition of MTG, unlike Fnatic, there are no such big names. But there is fire in the eyes and the desire to win.

Motivate.Trust Gaming latest matches

• Lose from BOOM 2-3
• Defeat Execration 2-0
• Beat TNC Predator 2-0
• Lost to SMG 0-2
• Lose at BOOM 0-2

SMG and Fnatic have a roughly equal situation in terms of the calendar. Both teams squeeze points from outsiders, but lose to the teams a little stronger.

MTG Heroes

Most played MTG heroes in patch 7.30: Lion (37 matches, 62% win), Mars (33 matches, 60% win), Storm Spirit (25 matches, 64% win).

Most successful MTG heroes in patch 7.30: Batrider (4 matches, 100% win), Slardar (3 matches, 100% win), Queen of Pain (3 matches, 100% win).

History of personal confrontations

Previously, in these lineups, the teams did not have to play with each other in official matches. This fight will be the debut face-to-face confrontation in the new season.

Match outcome

In this fight, I expect a roughly equal fight. The safest outcome is to take a head start on MTG, which I recommend doing during the holidays.

Bottom line: +1.5 on MTG.