Match Prediction: Beastcoast - Thunder Awaken | Dota 2

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The DPC 2023 third round review continues with a betting tee on the Beastcoast - Thunder Awaken match. A pair of teams will close out the third game day of the second week of DPC 2023 SA Division 1.

If the previous matchday games can be described as passable, then this match is the centrepiece. Although the level of the teams is different, and everything is clear on paper, it is not worth rushing to pick a winner.

We will see who will be stronger here and earn, without exaggeration, the crucial points for further participation in the DPC 2023 SA Division 1 Tour 1.

Let's begin.

Form Beastcoast

We begin our analysis of the match with an analysis of Beastcoast's form. In this encounter, the once first team in the region will play as favourites.

The bookmakers confirm the above. The odds on Beastcoast's victory are estimated at around 1.25.

It would seem that everything makes sense. Beastcoast is officially the best team in South America.

The team won the first season of the league, finishing in the top 1 with zero defeats. Yes, on the international stage they had a bit of bad luck: Lima Major 2023 ended in the top 12 for bc, and it was their colleagues in the region - Evil Geniuses who did not let them into the next DPC cycle.

Later Beastcoast took part in DPC 2023 SA Tour 2 Division 1 where the result was identical: 7-0 in regular season and passage to ESL One Berlin Major 2023. The international scene was not for Beastcoast this season - Berlin ended in the top 14 for them, even worse than The Lima Major 2023.

In between was DreamLeague S19, where bc played so-so, but better than the Major ahs. The team got there in the top 6 and that's their best result so far on the International stage.

  • The beastcoast line-up: K1, DarkMago, Sacred, Scofield, Stinger.

We're familiar with the players, so there's no point in discussing their strengths and weaknesses again. It is better to look at the actual results, which BC have good, but there is a big "but".

They have beastcoast three wins (Infinity, Infamous, Hokori). However, in the match before that bc managed to give up a game against Mad Kings, which in principle should not have happened.

Most popular beastcoast heroes

Beastcoast has Tusk and Snapfire among their most chosen heroes. Both have appeared in the Peruvian club six times with Tusk gaining 66% and Snapfire 33%.

Also taking Enchantress (5 matches, 60% wins) and Tiny (5 matches, 40% wins). Also in spades are Terrorblade (4 matches, 100% wins), Pangolier (4 matches, 75% wins), and Batrider (4 matches, 50% win rate).

Thunder Awaken Form

Continuing with the analysis of Thunder Awaken's form. In this match, they are destined to play the role of the outsider.

Bookmakers are not ready to believe in the success of Thunder Awaken. The odds on the team's victory are estimated at around 3.75.

Despite Thunder's consistency in trying to catch up with the region's leaders, they are failing to do so, no matter how hard they try. They're content with a place near the top for now.

In their first season, however, Thunder Awaken did not play as well as hoped. Then the club took only 3 out of 7, which did not allow them to climb above the top 5.

However, in the case of Thunder Awaken such a result is not bad. The team managed to keep their place in the top division, which is already excellent.

Even better for them is the fact that they managed to improve their performance. In the second round of DPC 2023: SA Upper Division Thunder Awaken took third place, Ledge only to the main competitors to win the overall title - beastcoast and Evil Geniuses.

  • The composition of Thunder Awaken: Knight, SLATEM$, ILICH, n1ght, Mjz .

Apart from the DPC ranking ecosystem, the team has played outside its format but local tournaments in the 1XPLORE LATAM series, where they won twice, but the main focus is still on the league.

At DPC 2023: SA Division 1 Tour 3 Thunder Awaken are in a nice position. They are 3-1 overall with wins over Infamous, Balrogs and Mad Kings. Their only loss came against EG, which is not surprising.

Thunder Awaken's most popular heroes

The most frequent guest in Thunder Awaken spades is Crystal Maiden. The character has appeared 15 times with a 60% win rate.

In addition to CM, Dawnbreaker (11 games, 81% wins), Zeus (9 games, 44% wins), Marci (9 games, 33% wins), Nyx Assassin (8 games, 62% wins).

Crucial moment for Thunder. They showed in the course of the season and showed before that they can play Dota in principle, and therefore now is an important match, at the end of which Thunder Awaken can guarantee themselves a passage to the last Major of the season.

Beastcoast - Thunder Awaken head-to-head history

The teams have previously played each other twice. Both matches were won by bc, however in the last series Thunder took away the card.

The outcome of the match

Given what BC did in the match against Mad Kings, I see every chance for Thunder Awaken to pick up at least one card in this match. This is also indicated by the history of personal meetings, and the pre-match position of the teams in the standings.

Bottom line: a +1.5 handicap on Thunder Awaken.

All bookmakers have agreed that Beastcoast is the favorite. This can be noticed because odds on them are 1.564. This number in the favor of Thunder Awaken amounts 4.243. Respectively, the last ones are the underdogs of the upcoming match.

What the team performance statistics say

Last MatchesBeastcoast Thunder Awaken
5 matches (wins)24
10 matches (wins)48

Gamblers will definitely be interested in the statistics of personal meetings between the teams. The participants in the battle before the meeting played 8 matches with each other. In these matches Beastcoast won 3 times, Thunder Awaken active consisits of 4 wins.