Match Prediction: NaVi - One Move | Dota 2
DPC 2023 Tour 2: EEU Division I (Upper)The first game of the final week of the DPC 2023 regular season: EEU Upper Division sees NaVi face off against One Move. The match is a big one.
Both teams are not in contention to qualify for Berlin for the major of the same name. Both clubs hope to stay in the top division of Eastern Europe, but to do so they need to score points here and now.
That won't be easy for either side. The teams play chaotically and this is evident from the performance of the teams.
NaVi are in 6th place in the standings, sharing it with One Move. The team has 1 win in 4 matches.
One Move are having a much tougher time. The collective on the penultimate line of table and have 1 victory in 5 matches.
Let's see which team can improve their critical position in the standings and keep their place in the league standings for next season.
One Move Form
We begin our analysis of the match with an analysis of One Move's form. They are predicted to be favourites for this match.
Bookmakers believe in the success of One Move. The chance of their victory in this match is estimated at odds in the region of 1.7.
It's quite funny to see a team on the brink of relegation have a better chance of winning than their rival with a better position in the standings. However, given that this opponent is NaVi, we shouldn't be surprised.
One Move line-up
Despite all the troubles associated with One Move, they very rarely reshuffle their squad. Kudos to them for that.
One Move players
- Munkushi~
- Ainkrad
- AfterLife
- Gilgir
- pantomem
The team is playing to the best of their abilities and before the new round, it was enough to keep their place in the top division. In theory, that should be enough for the new round, they just need to beat NaVi, which with the coming of DPC 2023: EEU Upper Division - Tour II looks like a very realistic scenario.
One Move's performance
One Move finished last season in fifth place in the DPC. The team won 2 matches and 5.
One Move last round DPC managed to beat Darkside and Nemiga Gaming, which eventually led them to a replay for 5th place. One Move won those replay matches, further indicating the character of the team.
After DPC 2023: EEU Upper Division - Tour 1, the team took part in the local Games of Future 2023 tournament. Winning the four-team mini-event against the only at least somewhat serious opponent was no problem.
In the first match of DPC 2023: EEU Upper Division - Tour II, the team faced the underdogs of the tour - Hydra. The match ended 2-1 in favour of OM, but was quite difficult, with the first map won lasting 59 minutes and matchpoint 40.
In the second series, One Move played a much more serious opponent, Team Spirit. "Dragons" were stronger than One Move, but the latter managed to "bite" the champions of The International 2021 by picking up the second card with the help of Abbadon Carey.
In the next game, One Move faced HellRaisers. One of the main contenders for DPC 2023: EEU Upper Division - Tour II won 2-1.
The game against BB followed a similar scenario. One Move managed to pick up one card, but no more than that.
Next was a clash against Virtus.pro. The scenario was similar: victory on one card and loss in the series.
One Move Heroes
In patch 7.32 and in recent tournaments, One Move are playing the meta, but not without experimentation. Mirana (4 games, 50% wins), Rubick (4 games, 50% wins), Lycan (3 games, 66% wins), Storm Spirit (3 games, 66% wins).
Tiny (2 games, 100% wins), Ember Spirit (2 games, 100% win rate), Enchantress (2 games, 50% wins) appear in spades.
NaVi uniforms
Let's move on to an overview of Natus Vincere's game form. In this match they will have to play in the status of the outsider.
Bookmakers have lost confidence in NaVi. The odds on the Ukrainian club's victory are estimated at around 2.
We shouldn't be surprised by that state of affairs. NaVi look confused and have little to offer their teammates, whoever they are.
Natus Vincere line-up
Every parsing of Natus Vincere's line-up boils down to disappointment in the end. It doesn't work and that's that.
NaVi players
- shigetsu
- mellojul
- Malik
- Danial
- Malady
After all, everything is there for success. The players are kind of skilful, they can show good performance. Here we have seen in the game against Spirit how they manage to realize their ideas and show good execution in the moment, but in the end - failure, failure, failure.
NaVi's efficiency
Last season, with the old team, NaVi finished in last place in the first round. Disgracefully relegated to the second division, "born to win" managed to return here by absorbing the former PuckChamp squad.
PuckChamp (read NaVi) spent the whole of last season in the lower division of Eastern Europe. There the team finished 2nd, winning 5 matches and losing 2.
Before the start of the 2023 season PuckChamp played in the BB Xmas Show commercial championship, where they finished in the top 8.
In the first match of DPC 2023: EEU Upper Division - Tour II, the team won the first match. NaVi defeated Darkside by a score of 2-1.
The second opponent for NaVi was the formidable BB. "The Yellow-Blacks battled it out, but lost 0-2.
In the next game they played against Hydra. It seemed that the newcomers to the top division would be a good target and a suitable opponent to pick up points, but it wasn't to be: 2-0 in favour of Hydra.
Nothing surprising happened, legitimately, in the match against Spirit. "The Dragons took the game 2-0 without any problems.
NaVi Heroes
The most popular hero for NaVi is Undying. The character has appeared in spades three times and has a 33% win rate.
Skywrath Mage and Beastmaster also appeared 3 times. Win rate 33%.
Picked the Leshrac - IO combo twice. Managed to win 1 match out of 2.
History of head-to-head encounters
The teams have not played each other in these line-ups. This encounter in the final week of DPC 2023: EEU Upper Division will be the teams' debut clash.
The outcome
It is difficult to analyze the NaVi match. You look at it and you can't find anything to help them win.
At the same time you understand that still the team is able to beat "average" teams, as we saw in the match against Darkside. But the question here is, "One Move, taking cards from the division's top leaders, is this an 'average' team?"
I admit NaVi's moral high ground, but I don't want to believe in their success. It's up to the strongest to win and it's definitely not NaVi.
Bottom line: victory for One Move.
Bookmakers & Statistics
One Move are listed as the favorites of the match in the majority of bookmakers and odds on them are equal to 1.315. NaVi, in turn, are the outsiders of the match. Odds on their victory are about 4.329.
How did the participants perform in the last matches
Last Matches | NaVi | One Move |
5 matches (wins) | 1 | 3 |
10 matches (wins) | 2 | 4 |
The statistics of personal battles between teams is also important for successful bets.
The competitors have held 2 matches.
In these battles NaVi got 2 victories while One Move managed to take 0 matches.